Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Oil prices fall as Trump says US is 'getting close' to Iran nuclear deal https://t.co/QtJFxXJ2nJ — Daily Mail US (@Daily_MailUS) May 15, 2025 Oil prices fell as much as 3 per cent by Thursday afternoon after President Donald Trump said the US was close to reaching a nuclear accord with Iran. The price of Brent …
Tesla’s Cybertruck inventory has skyrocketed to a new record high of more than 10,000 units. The vehicle program is in crisis. We reported at the beginning of April that Tesla ended the first quarter of 2025 with at least 2,400 Cybertrucks in new inventory available in the US. There’s no exact way to track Tesla’s …
by David Haggith The moves are not big yet, but there are good reasons for that, and they are all in the wrong direction. According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, real GDP just went from a positive 2.4% annual growth rate to -0.3%. It will, of course, take two consecutive quarters of the “growth” rate …
Oil is in free fall lately. $58 today. This is one of the first signs of a recession. We’re getting to price levels near what it costs producers to pull it out of the ground. On the bright side it helps with inflation because it’s a major input cost for mfg. pic.twitter.com/NIdahDZX6m — QE Infinity …
On April 29, the GDPNow model nowcast of real GDP growth in Q1 2025 is -2.7%. 👇🏼 pic.twitter.com/VLdYkdKqYr — Kalani o Māui (@MauiBoyMacro) April 29, 2025 "S&P500 still has plenty of room to fall if a recession is inevitable," per Bloomberg — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) April 29, 2025 Dallas Fed logistics respondent: “Ocean container bookings have …
BREAKING: S&P 500 futures fall nearly -100 points as the selloff from today’s session continues. pic.twitter.com/iz4auNYI5O — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) April 11, 2025 BREAKING: Gold surges to a new all time high of $3,210/oz, now up over +90% since October 2022. pic.twitter.com/Hzcb2mch3B — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) April 10, 2025 This is not a …
BREAKING: More Winning. Oil Prices Drop To Lowest Level Since 2021 In a stunning win for America First policies, oil prices have crashed to their lowest since 2021, with crude tanking to $65.50 a barrel today, proving President Trump’s energy dominance is back in full force.… pic.twitter.com/fjNfC2Fta4 — MAGA Resource (@MAGAResource) April 4, 2025
by Michael Four months of rain is about to fall in five days in some areas in the middle of the country. We are being told that an atmospheric river will produce a “firehose of moisture” that is expected to dump 76 trillion gallons of water on the heartland of America over the next week. This is perfectly …
And his position is so big, there’s not a chance he could exit it without ending up substantially down overall. Unlike these other highly liquid assets that have outperformed him by a wide margin. — Beanie (@beaniemaxi) March 31, 2025 Bitcoin Getting close to a major sell off. Little ore churn before it lets go. …
It looks like a bull flag has formed in CDX HY spread. If that's the case, the real fun is about to start. pic.twitter.com/RuFD8oObMP — Michael J. Kramer (@MichaelMOTTCM) March 26, 2025 So far, the “buy the dip” behavior from retail is very similar to Q1 2022. The $SPX didn’t bottom until Q4 2022. $SPY …
🚨 Large Soda Companies are paying “influencers” upwards of $1,000 PER POST to lobby against the SNAP (food stamp) soda ban Why? Because Coca-Cola and PepsiCo pull in over $5 BILLION each year off taxpayer-funded food stamps. DON’T FALL FOR IT. Big Soda is paying for these… https://t.co/CQmhSUR4oW pic.twitter.com/w9mTRbXZcs — Nick Sortor (@nicksortor) March 22, …
Nvidia shares fell nearly 9% on Monday after President Donald Trump confirmed that tariffs from Canada and Mexico will go into effect on Tuesday. The company’s shares are now trading at the same price they were in September, before the U.S. presidential election. Nvidia, having shed its $3 trillion market cap, is worth $2.79 trillion …
(Bloomberg) — Tesla Inc.’s sales plunged 45% last month across Europe, where rival carmakers saw a surge in electric-vehicle demand. The Elon Musk-led company registered only 9,945 cars in January, down from 18,161 a year ago, according to the European Automobile Manufacturers’ Association. EV sales soared 37% for the overall industry, with carmakers posting big …
In this reaction video, I share my take on a CNN interview with a laid-off 59-year-old HR exec who went from earning $A200K to making $16.50 an hour as a bathroom attendant. Her story—1,000 resumes, life savings gone, startinAg over—reveals the harsh reality of age-related job struggles.
Wow. Notable drop in consumer sentiment in February. American consumers do not like tariffs. "About one-third of consumers spontaneously mentioned tariffs, up from 27% last month and less than 2% prior to the election." "This is only the fifth time in 14 years we have seen such… pic.twitter.com/SpjN6uanoX — Heather Long (@byHeatherLong) February 7, 2025 …
by confoundedinterest17 We are now seeing the aftermath of Biden’s failed, top-down, Soviet-style economic policies (or follicies). And it is grim. Bidenomics is now fully exposed like The Fully Month. Except this is The Full Joe! The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2025 is -1.5 …
All real GDP growth for the last few years has been bought by deficit spending. If we run a balanced budget we are 0 real growth. h/t hv876
December 2024 marks the seventeenth consecutive month of year-over-year rent decline for 0-2 bedroom properties in the 50 largest metropolitan areas of the US. Rents nationally were down by 1.1% from December 2023. The national median asking rent fell to $1,695, dipping below $1,700 for the first time since April 2022. Median rent fell consistently …
Per the @FT: “US companies are defaulting on junk loans at the fastest rate in four years, as they struggle to refinance a wave of cheap borrowing that followed the Covid pandemic.” This is not about weak demand. Rather, it’s the consequence of excessive borrowing by companies,… pic.twitter.com/V9kOs5Y37e — Mohamed A. El-Erian (@elerianm) December 24, …
DUDE We are super close to implosion. Two rosy "strong/resilient" months then complete free fall IMO. Same playbook every cycle. They declare recession is averted then MORE complacency occurs before the rug is pulled out beneath themThose $GME swaps👀💥https://t.co/mq52SLvnLB pic.twitter.com/W6Xo0tDEIE — 🏴☠️Fidel Cashflow🏴☠️🇺🇸 (@fullfieldflicks) December 19, 2024 YOU. CANNOT. MAKE. THIS UP. Yesterday was October …
Need to add a few more… – Jeffrey Epstein ‘suicide’– Trump’s servers connected to Alfa Bank – Inflation is transitory– Emails Hillary deleted were about yoga– Biden is sharp as a tack– Biden created millions of new jobs– Viktor Shokin was a corrupt Ukrainian prosecutor — Uri Blago🇮🇱 (@UriBlago_v2) December 16, 2024 🚨 I've updated …
Former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D., Calif.) was hospitalized and underwent hip replacement surgery after being injured in a fall during an overseas visit marking the 80th anniversary of a World War II battle. Pelosi, 84 years old, was traveling with a bipartisan congressional delegation in Luxembourg when she sustained the injury, said her spokesman …
The median asking rent fell 0.7% year over year in November to $1,595, dropping 1.1% month over month. The asking price per square foot for rental apartments fell 2.2% year over year to the lowest level since December 2021. Rents dropped across all bedroom counts for the fifth consecutive month. Cleveland recorded the biggest rent …
They'll say anything not to lose their power. pic.twitter.com/YvWz5cNszm — Ron (@heavycpl250) December 8, 2024
A banking crash in one part of the world doesn’t stay there; it’s a global game of dominoes where banks fall one after the other. The system is interconnected, fragile, and teetering on the edge. Here’s why. 2/10 Global banks are like a web – intertwined through lending, borrowing, and derivatives. When one node breaks, …
Prices need to fall, not inflation https://t.co/HEYK49sXwX — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) August 16, 2024
Of course Julian Emanuel (Sr Director of Derivatives) wants everyone to stay fully invested. He fails to explain derivatives speculation in small caps while mega caps sell off is always how the market finishes the economic cycle right before collapse.https://t.co/C0RiBmR3J6 — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) July 31, 2024 I'm shocked people think rates will go down instead …
via WSJ: U.S. prosecutors are cracking down on commercial mortgage fraud, a growing push that is sending shudders through the $4.7 trillion industry by raising questions about the numbers underpinning major property loans. Regulators and federal prosecutors say that property loans based on doctored building financials and valuations have been rising. This type of fraud …
