fairy

Inflation ripping higher while real spending collapses is the exact combination that breaks markets and no amount of AI fairy dust changes that math. SPY has just officially topped?

Keep acting like the consumer is still strong and spending like nothing’s changed… and yeah, it’s going to look fine until it suddenly isn’t. Inflation still hot and people already stretched, that’s the kind of setup where things can roll over, but timing is always the tricky part. U.S. inflation picture is the worst in …

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The La-La-Land Fairy Tale of a “Soft Landing”

Authored by Charles Hugh-Smith via oftwominds, When everyone finally leaves the La-La-Land casino and abandons the fairy tale, household wealth held in stocks is a fraction of what it was in the heady days of hot hands rotating into the next hot sector. The reason why a “soft landing” is a fairy tale straight out …

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Another Tech fairy tale implodes.

Iphone sales are plunging:https://t.co/2pl6vtOpp9 Another Tech fairy tale implodes. pic.twitter.com/oavBpeuxWf — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) April 19, 2024 Apple $AAPL flirting with disaster once again as it closes at lowest price since October 26 pic.twitter.com/7MOQtTXZvz — Barchart (@Barchart) April 19, 2024

Elon Musk once promised endless growth, and now Nvidia’s CEO is generously offering us the same. Clearly, the market is a never-ending fairy tale of wonders!

Two years ago Elon Musk was promising 50% growth for the foreseeable future. That was the all time high for the stock and the market. Now Jensen Huang Nvidia CEO is promising the same feat. Nothing changes, except the fools who speak and the fools who listen. Two years ago Elon Musk was promising 50% …

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Liquidity Fairy Alert! It just keeps going up! Bank Term Funding Program usage above $100B for the 15th consecutive week! ($107.993B vs $107.855B 9/6). An over reliance on central bank funding, the BTFP is a moral hazard! As of 8/31/23, $2,173,066,000 in interest to survive another day.

by Dismal-Jellyfish Borrowing from the Bank Term Funding Program hit a NEW all time high–the 15th consecutive week above $100 billion! What we are reviewing: Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) Discount Window/Primary Credit “Other Credit Extensions” I hope to shed light on the recent uptick in borrowing due to an attempt to offset the initial …

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Liquidity Fairy Alert! Up and up it goes! Bank Term Funding Program usage above $100B for the 13th consecutive week ($107.527B vs $107.386B 8/17). An over reliance on central bank funding that is growing faster than the rate of inflation, BTFP is a moral hazard!

by Dismal-Jellyfish Borrowing from the Bank Term Funding Program hit a NEW all time high–the 13th consecutive week above $100 billion! What we are monitoring: Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) Discount Window/Primary Credit “Other Credit Extensions” I hope to shed light on the recent uptick in borrowing due to an attempt to offset the initial …

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Liquidity Fairy Alert! Bank Term Funding Program usage UP AGAIN (.4% to $107.242B vs $106.864B 8/9), marking the 11th consecutive week over $100B. This looks more and more like there’s an over-reliance on Fed Funding–growing faster than inflation ‘should be,’ I believe the BTFP is a moral hazard!

by Dismal-Jellyfish Borrowing from the Bank Term Funding Program hit a NEW all time high–the 11th consecutive week above $100 billion! What we are monitoring: Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) Discount Window/Primary Credit “Other Credit Extensions” I hope to shed light on the recent uptick in borrowing due to an attempt to offset the initial …

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Liquidity Fairy Alert! Bank Term Funding Program usage rose this week ($102.927B vs $102.305B on 7/12), marking the 7th straight week over $100B. It’s looking more and more like there’s an over-reliance on Fed Funding. I believe this be a moral hazard.

by Dismal-Jellyfish Borrowing from the Bank Term Funding Program is on the increase again! What we are monitoring: Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) Discount Window/Primary Credit “Other Credit Extensions” I hope to shed light on the recent uptick in borrowing due to an attempt to offset the initial shrink in M2 and dip in deposits. …

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Liquidity Fairy Alert! Bank Term Funding Program usage rose this week ($102.305B vs $101.959B on 7/5), marking the 6th straight week over $100B. It’s looking more and more like there’s an over-reliance on Fed Funding. Could this be a moral hazard?

by Dismal-Jellyfish Borrowing from the Bank Term Funding Program is back on the increase! What we are monitoring: Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) Discount Window/Primary Credit “Other Credit Extensions” I hope to shed light on the recent uptick in borrowing due to an attempt to offset the initial shrink in M2 and dip in deposits. …

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