Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
by Doditty6567 People keep pointing to the front month of Brent being around 102 dollars and acting like the market has already priced this in and has it under control. I do not believe it does. To be precise, I do not believe in the screen price we are seeing. I am talking about the …
Trump's givin Iran 48 hours to open the Strait of Hormuz… the equities market is giving Trump 24 hours to taco. pic.twitter.com/AUIgO1jn4K — The Great Martis (@great_martis) March 23, 2026 Nikkei nearing a big support level as well pic.twitter.com/uP1v95Olqt — Michael J. Kramer (@MichaelMOTTCM) March 23, 2026 South Korea halts trading for 5 minutes after …
Retail traders—often referred to as “dumb money”—are clearly not betting on the downside for equities. They usually trade leveraged ETFs on both sides, and in the last 4 instances when the “short” allocation was this low, they were wrong 3 times, with the SPX subsequently… pic.twitter.com/ysBOtsr9HM — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) February 2, 2026 Short sellers …
Fed will need to tighten. There are few bubble-like segments in equities and commodities that could pop.https://t.co/cw0WLRfiQC — Marko Kolanovic (@markoinny) January 22, 2026 Commodities collapse up continues pic.twitter.com/gC80f181mg — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) January 24, 2026
BOJ may intervene and it gonna get ugly for equities — Hataf Capital (@hataf_capital) January 13, 2026 Dow Jones✨ Laws of attraction in play. 50k is a possibility as the ascending broadening pattern nears completion. I would stay extremely vigilant as it could let go at any time. The measurement rule of the broadening pattern …
This is how trouble sneaks in, quietly and all at once. When every major bond market starts pushing yields higher together, it means money is getting expensive everywhere, not just somewhere. Stocks can ignore that for a while, but balance sheets cannot. By the time equities notice, the damage is already baked in. A HUGE …
Supreme intervention / coordination with Admin on the ‘grand’ TACO -> stimulus checks coming next year & likely a number of other policies of similar nature Hoover vibes pic.twitter.com/uGrNTjtjyu — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) December 15, 2025 Even though the Nasdaq is not down a lot from its ATH, underneath the index some of the areas …
BOJ rate decision this week.💹 The bond market has decided for the BOJ, which is why it’s most likely they will hike rates and it would be a colossal mistake if they don’t. More importantly, the BOJ is likely to pledge continued gradual rate hikes this week. This could trigger the carry trade unwind and …
Google Searches for Dollar "Debasement" soared this quarter to the highest level in history 🚨🚨🚨 pic.twitter.com/qJJFqd5b5h — Barchart (@Barchart) December 6, 2025 Gold has replaced bonds as a hedge against equities. The negative correlation between bonds and equities has broken, they now move together. If you're looking to hedge both equity and geopolitical risk, gold …
If this AI debt bubble ever pops, it won’t be just the Silicon Valley taking the first hit, it’ll be your pension and retirement funds. Why? Because the AI buildout has gotten so capital intensive that companies are relying heavily on debt rather than equity. Around $800 billion in private credit is needed for these …
Look at HYG and JNK closed at 2 week lows. Credit leads equities… something lurking there 👀 — Will O'Hara, CMT (@WillOHara131) October 8, 2025 Breadth wasn’t good XLF XLC and XLY have broken up trends from April. Also HYG is quietly going lower — Will O'Hara, CMT (@WillOHara131) October 8, 2025 "Credit scores are …
Do you think this signals real confidence or just FOMO buying? Sell to retail and crash the market afterwards? Gen Z needs less Avocado Dubai chocolate! pic.twitter.com/ZRdUGW1WAC — Yessy (@iJesseee) September 22, 2025 "Global equity valuations are elevated" -Goldman Sachs pic.twitter.com/zW4R49L8a2 — Daily Chartbook (@dailychartbook) September 22, 2025 https://twitter.com/DarioCpx/status/1969222325309497349 Once you see it, you cannot …
BTC peaks before stocks. QQQ soon will follow. $BTC is trading near 2 month lows currently. Diverging from the $QQQ lately. Last time BTC was trading this low, Q’s were about 4% lower than current levels. 🤔 pic.twitter.com/ALwrZMOLm9 — Heisenberg (@Mr_Derivatives) September 1, 2025 XRP The rare, majestic broadening top has appeared. The abyss awaits. …
If Bitcoin needs lies to rise, what does that make it worth? BREAKING: Michael Saylor violates promise to shareholders, dilutes MicroStrategy $MSTR with 875,301 new shares https://t.co/aOmYIOWpdn pic.twitter.com/jXqtw9ZDeR — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) August 25, 2025 As #Bitcoin demand dries up fast and the price tanks, watch the maximalists scramble to invent new fake narratives and rumors …
The Fed’s choice to hold rates high is often misunderstood. It removes dollars from circulation, balancing the impact of tariffs and fewer global trades. Liquidity dries up, which means stocks lose their usual momentum. Investors turn to bonds instead, pushing yields lower without direct Fed intervention. “The Fed is cautious because inflation remains a threat …
Featured this chart in last week's ChartStorm, and I think the bigger point (rather than being a wow-chart) is the flows-dollar-performance feedback loops that have been a major tailwind for US stocks over the past decade+ being at risk of reversing… https://t.co/D463XAlmuG pic.twitter.com/GiFq2fi1jC — Callum Thomas (@Callum_Thomas) June 19, 2025 https://twitter.com/Barchart/status/1935794760297353525 This is incredible: A …
The bond market is going out of control worldwide, with long-term yields skyrocketing, and it’s not even blinking at the stock market’s recent dive. This is a big deal because it shows investors are seriously worried about debt and inflation, not just stock prices. Higher yields mean borrowing gets pricier for everyone, from governments to …
DXY has given back all of its gains following China trade news. pic.twitter.com/W9c8dZTGs9 — Michael J. Kramer (@MichaelMOTTCM) May 14, 2025 BREAKING NEWS THAILAND'S RICHEST MAN IS WARNING THAT THE UNITED STATES RISKS LOSING ITS GLOBAL LEADERSHIP POSITION IF COUNTRIES PULL BACK FROM INVESTING IN US TREASURIES Many powerful people now see it… — Gold …
It’s hard to get excited about the rally in equities when Dow Transports look like this. 👇🏼 pic.twitter.com/fVnd7juFbL — Kalani o Māui (@MauiBoyMacro) April 25, 2025 🚨US bankruptcies are rising as if there is a CRISIS: 188 US large companies declared bankruptcy in Q1 2025, the most in 15 YEARS. This is up 35% from …
Goldman Sachs just sent up the flare. CTAs are primed to inject a jaw-dropping $90 billion into global stocks, with nearly half of it coming straight to U.S. equities. This isn’t some distant forecast. This isn’t a “maybe” situation. This is happening right now, regardless of what the market does. Let’s be clear: Commodity Trading …
Short the S&P 500 warns Bank of America 🚨🚨 pic.twitter.com/1zG9DliZfy — Barchart (@Barchart) April 14, 2025 Citigroup downgrades US equities to neutral from overweight. — FinancialJuice (@financialjuice) April 14, 2025 #Breadth and #Momentum indicators are stretched to the downside. @sentimentrader pic.twitter.com/0Qsb8gdt6O — Lance Roberts (@LanceRoberts) April 14, 2025 Foreign demand for US stocks pic.twitter.com/Whq8D1zc6p — …
CITI CUTS U.S. EQUITIES TO NEUTRAL, WARNS ON TARIFF IMPACT Citi just downgraded U.S. equities to Neutral from Overweight, flagging recessionary earnings revisions, rich valuations, and trade risks. They now expect global EPS growth of just 4% in 2025—well below consensus—and see… — Wall St Engine (@wallstengine) April 14, 2025 WSJ: “This is different,” Dimon, …
Now, it’s not just a matter of market cycles. It’s a matter of exposure, risk, and a financial system increasingly tilted toward the reckless pursuit of short-term gains. Those who remain exposed are gambling with their futures—and they might not get a second chance. We’ve hypothesized since last August that the reason we’re seeing such …
It’s the highest level of concern we’ve seen since the Dot Com Bubble. What does this mean? The U.S. economy is heading into dangerous territory. But it’s not just the stock market that’s in trouble. The U.S. government’s interest expense has gone off the charts, pushing past a staggering $1.1 trillion. And if current trends …
by VotedOut Three different U.S. stock market valuation models (the Buffett Indicator, CAPE ratio, and Mean Reversion Model – three different ways of objectively looking at the overall valuation of the current market) are flashing extreme overvaluation warning signs that were both last seen in 2000 and 2021. Both 2000 and 2021 marked market euphoria …
Americans are now holding record shares of their assets in equities pic.twitter.com/iRDrpsvPRI — Longview Economics (@Lvieweconomics) November 8, 2024
(Bloomberg) — A whopping $20 billion flowed into US equity funds on Wednesday, the day Donald Trump claimed a decisive victory in the presidential election, according to Bank of America Corp. strategists. That was the biggest daily addition in five months, strategist Michael Hartnett said in a note citing EPFR Global. Small-cap stocks — which …
⚠️MEANWHILE, US EXECUTIVES ARE SELLING STOCKS LIKE CRAZY⚠️ The insider sell-to-buy ratio jumped to the highest level since 2021 While managers were busy offering promising earnings outlook of their firms, at the same time they were selling their stocks👇https://t.co/bIERMrrT9K — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) October 28, 2024
It's the last chance to get in. pic.twitter.com/9h2BhwrImw — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) August 23, 2024 Good to see equities are rallying because its probably different this time… https://t.co/A6oA4HbHfL — Santiago Capital (@SantiagoAuFund) August 23, 2024 We knew rate cuts were coming, my eyes are on the balance sheet pic.twitter.com/i74BvBOYQG — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) August 23, 2024 …
