Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Highest ever! Renowned contrarians! (Not a precise timing indicator BUT almost always ends badly) Go figure….. US Consumer confidence about the 12m outlook for the US stock market pic.twitter.com/hGtFPqlOWG — Chris Watling (@LongviewEcon) December 3, 2024 Positioning on S&P 500 Is Very Extended pic.twitter.com/ZleRSyP4j3 — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) December 3, 2024 Wall Street Short …
Stocks 📉 often lead the way in economic 📉, with unemployment 📈 only after the damage is done. This happened in both 2000 & 2008—Nasdaq collapsed 📉, followed by a 📈 in unemployment. This highlights why unemployment is a **lagging indicator** when it comes to stock trends. pic.twitter.com/uieAbRkjK3 — The Coastal Journal (@1CoastalJournal) September 5, …
This economic indicator just saw a big move down At this rate, the recession threshold will be hit in 2024 The last 3 times it was hit ended in sharp economic downturns Leading to significant stock market declines pic.twitter.com/3h673lqYys — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) July 7, 2024 RECESSION IN THE US USUALLY COMES WITHIN 18 MONTHS …
Chart for future history books pic.twitter.com/uHb3DSTgRX — Michael A. Arouet (@MichaelAArouet) March 8, 2024 In the intricate dance of financial markets, certain patterns emerge as echoes of the past, and the current landscape seems to be no exception. The prevailing narrative of economic optimism faces scrutiny as key indicators suggest a departure from the rosy …
The 2008 US housing market crash stands as one of the worst collapses in economic history — and its lessons remain relevant as China deals with its own real estate crisis. Beijing is facing a narrow policy path toward an economic rebound this year, and the International Monetary Fund has warned that the country is …
A staggering 96% of Americans express deep worry about the current economic landscape, according to a survey by Intuit Credit Karma. The surprising link between low unemployment and imminent recessions is now causing widespread anxiety. While historically, a low unemployment rate signals a robust economy, recent data challenges this notion. Former Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen …