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downturns,

Record-high U.S. consumer confidence in the stock market often signals impending downturns.

December 3, 2024 4:16 pm

Highest ever! Renowned contrarians! (Not a precise timing indicator BUT almost always ends badly) Go figure….. US Consumer confidence about the 12m outlook for the US stock market pic.twitter.com/hGtFPqlOWG — Chris Watling (@LongviewEcon) December 3, 2024 Positioning on S&P 500 …

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Stocks often drop before economic downturns, with unemployment rising afterward.

September 5, 2024 4:14 pm

Stocks ๐Ÿ“‰ often lead the way in economic ๐Ÿ“‰, with unemployment ๐Ÿ“ˆ only after the damage is done. This happened in both 2000 & 2008โ€”Nasdaq collapsed ๐Ÿ“‰, followed by a ๐Ÿ“ˆ in unemployment. This highlights why unemployment is a **lagging …

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The recent drop in this economic indicator signals 2024 recession, mirroring past sharp downturns.

July 8, 2024 10:43 am

This economic indicator just saw a big move down At this rate, the recession threshold will be hit in 2024 The last 3 times it was hit ended in sharp economic downturns Leading to significant stock market declines pic.twitter.com/3h673lqYys — …

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Economic warning signs emerge as historical patterns hint at potential downturns.

March 8, 2024 10:52 am

Chart for future history books pic.twitter.com/uHb3DSTgRX — Michael A. Arouet (@MichaelAArouet) March 8, 2024 In the intricate dance of financial markets, certain patterns emerge as echoes of the past, and the current landscape seems to be no exception. The prevailing …

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The 2008 housing bust suggests China’s only halfway through its property crisis. Here’s how the downturns compare.

February 14, 2024 8:40 am

The 2008 US housing market crash stands as one of the worst collapses in economic history โ€” and its lessons remain relevant as China deals with its own real estate crisis. Beijing is facing a narrow policy path toward an …

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Americans fear recession as low unemployment links to economic downturns, intensified by alarming job market.

January 6, 2024 7:56 am

A staggering 96% of Americans express deep worry about the current economic landscape, according to a survey by Intuit Credit Karma. The surprising link between low unemployment and imminent recessions is now causing widespread anxiety. While historically, a low unemployment …

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