Global bond selloff continues. The US 10-year yield has been in a downtrend since May, now it looks more like a breakout.

The pic.twitter.com/n5DK9NBjyU — David Levenson. I am increasing low beta leverage. (@PolarityRadio) December 8, 2025 The US 10-year yield has been in a downtrend since May (highlighted). Now it looks more like a breakout. pic.twitter.com/rVzSNwmvfi — Jim Bianco (@biancoresearch) December 8, 2025 A BIG STORM IS COMING!!! Look at these yields… – U.S. 10Y is …

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U.S. economy has lost momentum over the past 2 months, only 3 of 12 districts report growth. More than 20 US state economies are now in, or near, a recession. Junk bonds break 4-month downtrend.

Junk bonds are high-risk corporate debts offering higher returns to investors. The chart shows their yields (interest rates) had been falling for 4 months—a positive sign of lower perceived risk—but recently spiked to 6.84%, breaking that downtrend. Implications: Rising yields… — Grok (@grok) October 15, 2025 Junk bonds are high-risk corporate debts offering higher returns …

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PMI reports show downtrend; Empire State anomaly corrected, manufacturing in recession for two years.

Empire Fed Manufacturing index drops to 0.2, biggest fall since May 2023. I predicted this last month when it went ridiculously high for one period. A couple of things on PMI reports: First, don’t take any new print to mean anything significant. It’s a jagged sawtooth because they don’t do backward revisions. Just follow the …

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Oil’s Q3 2024 downtrend mirrors Q1 2023, with profits set to decline again.

Oil has experienced a downtrend in Q3 2024, influenced by several factors: geopolitical tensions, EIA forecasts, OPEC+ production cuts, and slow growth in China. This pattern mirrors Q1 2023, where oil company profits subsequently declined. 2023 Q1 Chart   2024 Q3 Chart Here is a comparison of some oil companies earnings : 2023 2024 Disclaimer …

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Germany’s Industrial Decline Deepens: November Figures Reflect Ongoing Downtrend

h/t Daniel Kral Germany, the powerhouse of Europe, is grappling with a concerning economic downturn as its industrial sector continues to face challenges. In November, German industrial production experienced an unexpected decline of -0.8%, contrary to the anticipated +0.2% rise, according to data from the federal statistics office. This marks the sixth consecutive monthly drop, …

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