Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Michael Saylor: “I give you the upside. You have no downside. And I pay you a dividend while you wait to get rich.” pic.twitter.com/UaukM20gTW — The Assembly (@InTheAssembly) June 26, 2026
Mac10 @SuburbanDrone This is the story of the stock market year to date as viewed by the equal weight NDX and the World ex-U.S.: Back in late January, U.S. stocks got hit by AI panic – The fear that AI was going to implode sector after sector including many Tech stocks. So Wall Street pundits …
Retail traders—often referred to as “dumb money”—are clearly not betting on the downside for equities. They usually trade leveraged ETFs on both sides, and in the last 4 instances when the “short” allocation was this low, they were wrong 3 times, with the SPX subsequently… pic.twitter.com/ysBOtsr9HM — Guilherme Tavares (@i3_invest) February 2, 2026 Short sellers …
Global institutional investors have never held so little cash: Cash allocation by fund managers is down to just 3.2%, the lowest since data began in the 1990s. This marks a -1.6 percentage point decline since April, one of the fastest drops since the survey started. Cash… pic.twitter.com/4hoUh1JNNa — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) January 22, 2026 …
Jim Zelter’s warning hit hard because he was not talking about a normal slowdown. He was describing the kind of break that wipes out entire business models and leaves companies with no way back. He spoke calmly, but the message underneath was anything but calm. “I think you’re going to get more secular distress than …
The Financial collapse is near: 1. You heard Jamie Dimon warn you the Bond market will break soon.2. US is desperate for a HOT war with China, and more on debt, Military spending. War is their masking agent for financial collapse. https://t.co/27Xe9T6rXe — TheMarketSniper – MBA, CMT. #HVFmethod (@themarketsniper) June 1, 2025 Dealer's hedge or …
$TEM DOWN OVER 16% AFTER SPRUCE POINT SHORT REPORT Spruce alleges AI drives just 2% of revenue, cites questionable leadership and aggressive accounting — sees 50–60% downside 👀 pic.twitter.com/ONPxUYyYQM — Shay Boloor (@StockSavvyShay) May 28, 2025 Tempus AI is facing a sharp selloff after Spruce Point Capital released a scathing short report questioning the company’s …
Its never been more obvious the markets are setting up for an epic downside crash. I know you have been spoiled on the “up-only” markets, but the FED cannot save you without causing massive inflation. They have to let equity markets fall. Its coming, its obvious. Its never been more obvious the markets are setting …
Economic data keeps surprising to the downside!! Citi Surprise Index 👇 pic.twitter.com/DPdKUV0ji2 — James E. Thorne (@DrJStrategy) December 29, 2024 They are currently 10 million Americans who are delinquent on their student loans. On January 1, they are going to start seeing their credit scores deteriorate. Not a good outcome for consumer credit growth! pic.twitter.com/IjOZy4tos1 …
"US data consistency surprising to the downside since May has re-kindled recession concerns among US credit investors." – BofA Seliger pic.twitter.com/I4Wkn40UWg — Daily Chartbook (@dailychartbook) July 29, 2024 "The US economy is slowing, which is just fine with the Fed," per Bloomberg. — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) July 29, 2024 BREAKING: Personal saving rate declined to 3.4% …
Authored by Charles Hugh-Smith via oftwominds, Confidence / complacency doesn’t map the real world, in which liquidity dries up and markets go bidless. When Alan Greenspan issued his mea culpa in late 2013 about missing the subprime mortgage implosion and the resulting Global Financial Meltdown (Why I Didn’t See the Crisis Coming Foreign Affairs), he started by …
Small caps have seen substantial downside earnings revisions this year. pic.twitter.com/yOyoCRjzHy — Piker Capital (@PikerCapital) July 18, 2024 Earlier this week, 72% of Small Cap Stocks were trading above their 200D moving average, the most in 3 years pic.twitter.com/6SLq3pFIJw — Barchart (@Barchart) July 19, 2024
(Reuters) -BlackRock has launched a ‘buffer’ exchange-traded fund that seeks to offer a 100% downside hedge to risk-shy investors looking to tap the equity markets, the world’s largest asset manager said on Monday. So-called buffer or risk-managed ETFs help maximize returns from an asset for investors and simultaneously provide downside protection over a specific period. …
CAUTION: Bitcoin has now broken back into its rising channel after spending 4 months above it Until the channel resistance is reclaimed, downside risk is elevated pic.twitter.com/joLSQk2hcA — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) July 2, 2024
by confoundedinterest17 Households have too much debt, thanks to trying to cope with Bidenomics and Bidenflation. And much of the debt burden falls on the middle class. Serious auto delinquencies are on the rise. And lowest earners saw the biggest increase in credit card delinquenices. And who voters prefer as of today? Trump on interest …
via mishtalk: Interest rate odds still imply no rate cut by the Fed until March of 2024 despite year-over-year CPI inflation falling to 3.0 percent. Higher for Longer According to CME Fedwatch, the first rate cut will not be until March of 2024. CME data represents the futures and options positioning of traders. Only recently did …
The Airbnb collapse is real. Revenues are down nearly 50% in cities like Phoenix and Austin. Watch out for a wave of forced selling from Airbnb owners later this year in the areas hit hardest by the revenue collapse. 1) What's scary for the US Housing Market is just how many Airbnbs there are. Data …