Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
🚨 Computer Equipment Investment hits 1.2% of GDP More than the dot-com bubble. pic.twitter.com/bfLTLL04zt — Hedgeye (@Hedgeye) May 2, 2026 every time 'smart money exits tech' makes a headline, it means they already bought the next thing and need you to sell this one — Peaceful Warrior (@RanjYousif) May 3, 2026 Hedge funds are rushing …
Paul Tudor Jones says the US is more dependent on equity prices than ever, and explains what a 35% correction would trigger in the economy: “We’re 252% of stock market cap to GDP. In 1929 we were 65%. In 1987 we got to ~85-90%. In 2000, 170%. If you think about the periodicity of significant …
Just like the Nasdaq blowoff in early 2000 where every tech index screamed higher right before the crash wiped out years of gains. ⚠️THIS IS ABSOLUTELY INSANE: The Semiconductor Index, $SOX, relative to the S&P 500, rose to an all-time high of 1.39, This means semiconductors are now outperforming the average S&P 500 stock by …
Nobody wants to say it but the real similarity is not the line shape it is the insane focus on a handful of AI names carrying the whole market just like internet stocks did in 1999. When sentiment turns the unwind will punish indexes hardest because so few stocks hold up the weight and the …
by confoundedinterest17 Global uncertainty hits an ALL-TIME HIGH. Higher than Covid, the 2008 financial crisis, and the dot-com crash COMBINED. You know what that means!
Pretending valuations don’t warn of risk is willful ignorance. Ladies and gentlemens, we have now surpassed the S&P 500 price-to-book value of the dot-com bubble by a factor of 1.13 times or 13%. This not good.This very bad God bless and godspeed. pic.twitter.com/PnZugz0tgh — The Great Martis (@great_martis) January 12, 2026 The percentage of S&P …
Everyone’s ignoring cheap defensives again and history warns this won’t end well. This is INSANE: OpenAI is paying $1.5 MILLION per employee in stock-based compensation to 4,000 workers. This is ~46% of the firm’s projected 2025 revenue. This is 34x higher than the avg employee at major tech companies before they went public. 👇https://t.co/MysjOVDWbj — …
Bulls deny that there’s a 1990s-style bubble in AI. There are a few striking similarities, and some notable differences. Is it karma? Coincidence? Either way, the ghost of the dot-com bubble is back 25 years later. Shares in Cisco Systems CSCO -1.85%decrease; red down pointing triangle, the dot-com-era champion that became the world’s most valuable …
2000 had real demand too – internet adoption was exploding. Problem was business models + burn rates, not infrastructure alone. Today: AI has use cases BUT most revenue is still B2B SaaS selling shovels, not gold. Capex is real, ROI still unproven at scale. — klos (@klos) October 19, 2025
NEW from me: California keeps losing tech jobs Amidst the AI boom, the US is in the largest sustained drawdown in tech employment since the dot-com bust And what tech jobs remain continue to leave California for the rest of the US The US continues bleeding tech jobs—tech employment is down 90k from its 2023 …
A Popular Market Misconception “Not a bubble if everyone knows it’s a bubble.” In early January 2000, during the dot-com bubble, everyone called it a bubble before it burst in March 2000. Hope this helps. — The Great Martis (@great_martis) October 7, 2025 "Why buy stocks when we’re in a bubble?" Because I only want …
GOLDMAN SACHS CEO DAVID SOLOMON WARNS STOCK MARKET DRAWDOWN SIMILAR TO DOT-COM BUBBLE COMING WITHIN 12–24 MONTHS — The Rock Trading Group (@The_RockTrading) October 4, 2025 Every single one of them should be fired. 39% of fund managers have a 0% allocation to gold, per Bank of America, $BAC. — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) October 4, 2025 …
We’re f**ked. 👀👀 https://t.co/ISfWNlDKun — Amanda Goodall (@thejobchick) October 3, 2025 AI bubble now 17 times bigger than dot-com boom and four times larger than subprime crisis, analyst warns — MarketWatch — NewsWire (@NewsWire_US) October 3, 2025 Nice bubble you've got there, Jerome Powell – would be a shame if anything were to happen it …
Ladies and Gentlemens, since 1871, this is only the second time the Schiller PE has reached the 40s; the last time was during the dot-com bubble. Hope this helps. pic.twitter.com/JxwOuG9k31 — The Great Martis (@great_martis) September 30, 2025 Mag 7 underperforming for a month. May be nothing, but it's something that shouldn't be ignored. — …
Fed Chair Jerome Powell is slated to speak Friday at the Fed’s annual Jackson Hole symposium. Evercore ISI warns that even a ‘balanced’ tone could trigger a -7% to -15% pullback into October. Fed Chair Alan Greenspan’s 2000 meeting is infamous for popping the dot-com bubble. One cautious rate hike and a hint of tightening …
Apparently diversification is just owning more of the same thing. It's official: The top 10% largest US stocks now reflect a record 76% of the US equity market. This has officially surpassed the previous record set before the Great Depression in the 1930s. By comparison, at the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble peak, the top 10%'s share …
Everyone sees the train coming, but no one wants to leave the tracks. We are living in the largest Bubble ever. It is insane (….and it will burst)! Market Capitalization to GDP: Long-term average: 88%Typical historical range: 70% – 115% Peak before Great Depression (1929): 81%Peak Dot-com Bubble (2000): 136%Peak before Great Financial… — Henrik …
SPX historically drops 2% after similar signals since 2011 According to BofA's Michael Hartnett, #sell #signals have been triggered.– BofA FMS Cash Rule: cash as % AUM in FMS 3.9%. = sell signal…average SPX loss in following most from 15 "sell" signals since 2011 = 2%;– BofA Global Breadth Rule: 64% of MSCI ACWI equity …
Understanding cycles lets you rotate before the herd… Why is Macro important? Because you will beat the market by 700% If you understand Business Cycles – and allocate your Funds so that you are invested in Risk Assets when Business Cycles are bottoming, strengthening or strong – and in TLT when Business Cycles roll over …
⚠️US stock market concentration Bubble is huge: The top 10 largest S&P 500 stocks reflect ~38% of the index market capitalization, just shy of a RECORD high. This is over 10 percentage points higher than at the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble peak. The market is dependent on few stocks. pic.twitter.com/7jfzEfhx6L — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) June …
Retail has been relentlessly buying. Net buyers in 44/51 sessions. Every day individuals want to believe in the American dream, growth and continuous prosperity. -Goldman Sachs pic.twitter.com/jB7K3DGanf — THE SHORT BEAR (@TheShortBear) March 23, 2025 🚨This is NOT going to end well: Investors' allocation to US stocks is at an all-time high of 51%. This …
The Trends Journal is a weekly magazine analyzing global current events forming future trends. Our mission is to present Facts and Truth over fear and propaganda to help subscribers prepare for What’s Next in these increasingly turbulent times.
⚠️US HOUSEHOLDS STOCK ALLOCATION HIT A NEW RECORD⚠️ Americans' exposure to stocks as a % of financial assets rose to a record 43.4% in Q3 2024. The percentage has DOUBLED over the last 15 years. It has now surpassed the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble levels by 5 percentage points. pic.twitter.com/2cegQ67N3s — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) December …
Whenever Michael Saylor talks it always reminds me of this scene. https://t.co/3LGMYV3Frm pic.twitter.com/lPOAmVFA0T — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) December 17, 2024 History often repeats 🙃 Michael Saylor’s MicroStrategy lost $13.53 billion during the dot-com bubble.The company’s stock price plummeted from $3300 to $4 (-99.99% decline).Saylor’s paper wealth was wiped out by over $6 billion in a single …
by Martin Armstrong QUESTION: Marty, is it possible we are witnessing the greatest financial trap to unsuspecting global citizens as they ‘build a digital prison’ as many opine OR is this the perfect monetary system that will give opportunity to impoverished nations to rise out of the ashes? We see kids, millenials to Gen X, buying …
‼️S&P 500 IS AS EXPENSIVE AS DURING THE DOT-COM BUBBLE‼️ 90% of the market sectors have their P/E ratios in the top 25% historically. This is in line with levels seen during the Dot-Com Bubble and before the 2022 bear market. Long-term expected returns are not promising now. pic.twitter.com/8ECIeiuVR4 — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) September …
Is 2024 Eerily Similar To The 2000 Dot-Com Bust? Details, Signals, & Scores: https://t.co/k9LEOyqNFi#NFP #Recession #Powell #HardLanding $SPY $SPX $XLK $IWM $QQQ $SMH $AGG $IEI $TLT $VIX $RSP pic.twitter.com/yPzSS47425 — Chris Ciovacco (@CiovaccoCapital) August 3, 2024 NEW – Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway dumped nearly half of its gigantic Apple stake in a "surprising move."https://t.co/YKcd8Yxkbu — …
The last time CCC/B diverged, it was the dot-com warningHigh yield bond option-adjusted spreads, bps pic.twitter.com/sDAF8NwPHI — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) July 17, 2024 $NVDA insider sales… https://t.co/YEvN9BqB3t pic.twitter.com/7AlhT8f5Yz — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) July 16, 2024 How big the Magnificent 7 has become? The Magnificent 7's market cap is higher than any non-US stock market in …
Oh my … https://t.co/E0OsOaNh9c pic.twitter.com/7gmY4SMx5L — The Great Martis (@great_martis) June 18, 2024 (Bloomberg) — The year was 1999. Steve Jobs had recently returned to lead Apple. Intel was the dominant force in semiconductors. And a little-known chipmaker named Nvidia made its debut on the Nasdaq stock exchange. It took less than three years for …
Amazon, Apple, Google, Microsoft and Nvidia (5 largest stocks) COMBINED now account for a record 27% share of the S&P 500. This is up from ~19% in just 2 years. In 2015, the percentage of 5 largest stocks was just 11%. It is 9 percentage points higher than in Dot-com bubble. pic.twitter.com/ywNf927cWE — Global Markets …