Low rates push SPY valuation to 25× forward earnings, NVDA trades at 45× earnings, far above historical norms. The three longest and dominant US CAPEX cycles suggest a CAPEX downturn until early 2036.

When CAPEX history meets nosebleed valuations, the only direction for risk is down. “What lower short term rates have done is keep stock prices elevated & valuations stretched. That distortion shows up clearly in the data. The $SPY currently trades …

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All the Dominant Models Are Collapsing

Authored by Charles Hugh-Smith via oftwominds, Every nation is operating on models that are collapsing without those at the controls being aware that the implicit assumptions of their models no longer map reality. A recent article lays out the collapse …

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Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen says to expect a gradual decline in the dollar’s share of global reserves, but greenback remains dominant (“Gradual decline” is a whopper right up there with “inflation is transitory”)

via businessinsider: The US should expect the dollar’s share of global reserves to slowly decline, but no alternatives exist that could completely displace the greenback, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said on Tuesday. Her comments came during a Housing Financial Services …

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