Consumer pessimism at current levels last showed up during recessions like 2008 and the early 1980s. The gap between sentiment and economic data also looks like a typical pre-recession signal.

American consumers have NEVER been this pessimistic about the economy: The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 49.8 in April, the lowest reading EVER in over 70 years of polling, with declines occurring across all income levels, ages, …

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No confirmation that any current Chinese vice chair died; purges under Xi are verified

中国政局正经历近百年最大变局。张升民协助习近平完成军队北部权力重组后,随即被宣布在家中“自杀”。军委体系七人相继落马或死亡,集体制衡被彻底清空。表面仍是制度运行,实质只剩一人独掌军权。 pic.twitter.com/7Ee8Mq8Koc — 刘敏 (@liumin1988) February 1, 2026 Reuters and AP do not report that any current Central Military Commission vice chair was “found dead at home” or died by suicide, despite online posts spreading that claim. What is verified …

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How ICE Already Knows Who Minneapolis Protesters Are: Agents use facial recognition, social media monitoring and other tech tools not only to identify undocumented immigrants but also to track protesters, current and former officials said.

How ICE Already Knows Who Minneapolis Protesters Are Agents use facial recognition, social media monitoring and other tech tools not only to identify undocumented immigrants but also to track protesters, current and former officials said. On the morning of Jan. …

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Millennials are “pro-socialist” because they think our current system is capitalism, e.g. the Fed inflates away workers’ wages to redistribute wealth to asset owners.

Millennials are "pro-socialist" because they think our current system is capitalism, e.g. the Fed inflates away workers' wages to redistribute wealth to asset owners. pic.twitter.com/FNFeJmgXuf — Anthony Galli (@AnthonyGalli) December 3, 2025

Japan is the (potential) black swan no one sees coming, which could derail the current (massive) U.S. stock market mega bubble.

Japan is the (potential) black swan no one sees coming, which could derail the current (massive) U.S. stock market mega bubble. #carrytradeunwind #fireinacrowdedtheatre https://t.co/vvBZJSFdyR — Gordon Johnson (@GordonJohnson19) July 16, 2025 Japan's next 10-year government bond (JGB) auction is scheduled …

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Fed warns of inflation risks, recession almost likely under current forecast, tariffs expand beyond expectations, policymakers face economic dilemmas

*FED STAFF SAW RECESSION “ALMOST AS LIKELY’ AS MAIN FORECAST *FED MINUTES: TARIFFS MUCH LARGER, BROADER THAN EXPECTED pic.twitter.com/GoXICkMydr — Investing.com (@Investingcom) May 28, 2025 Federal Reserve officials are raising concerns over inflation, tariffs, and the weakening labor market. The …

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Russia says it won’t accept US cease-fire proposal ‘in its current form’ in sign Ukraine peace talks may have stalled

Russia says it 'cannot accept' US proposal for Ukraine peace deal and issues fresh set of demands https://t.co/mo5uK4f4Bs via https://t.co/bW2q6pdcHt — Doris Bivings♏🦂🦃🎃💙💙❤❤🇺🇦 (@BivingsDoris) April 1, 2025 Russia is taking US proposals for a cease-fire in Ukraine “seriously” but can’t …

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