The Commercial Real Estate/Small Bank Boogie! CRE Crisis Could Cause Small Banks To Collapse (Bank Credit Growth Now Negative As 10Y-2Y Yield Curve Remains Inverted)

by confoundedinterest17 We are back in the USSR! And the economy taking commands from Washington DC! Introduction During the COVID-19 pandemic the occurrence of remote work jumped, out of sheer necessity. The technology was already available, but the pandemic accelerated its adoption and bypassed the hesitation of employers to allow people working …

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“DeSantis Campaign slapped with a VIOLATION letter from the FEC”, Laura Loomer: “DeSantis could be facing jail time”

Looks like @RonDeSantis could be facing jail time for his FEC violations that I have exclusively reported on this morning. I obtained a copy of the letter sent to @TeamDeSantis by the FEC, notifying DeSantis’s campaign that they are in violation of federal campaign finance laws.… https://t.co/odkpfpBXYc — Laura Loomer …

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Dershowitz: ‘Jack Smith Could be Indicted for Fraud’

Jack Smith’s vendetta to take down former President Donald Trump could backfire, according to Harvard Law School professor emeritus Alan Dershowitz. Smith recently indicted Trump on four criminal charges related to his alleged involvement in the events of January 6, 2021. Dershowitz noted how Smith omitted a key portion of …

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Regional banks could be the source of a US banking catastrophe

Keep an eye on regional banks. If something is going to break in the U.S. that’s where it will be. https://twitter.com/multi_finance/status/1689836136943009792 These charts are saying we're early and only 3 weeks away 👀 https://t.co/VmxG6W0a21 pic.twitter.com/OPR0D6KClY — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) August 11, 2023 Gamma Exposure (GEX) has peaked and fallen away indicating …

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“Jack Smith Could be Indicted!” – Alan Dershowitz Responds to Latest Federal Charges Against Trump (VIDEO)

Noted attorney Alan Dershowitz responded to Jack Smith’s latest federal indictment against President Trump. On Tuesday Trump was hit with 4 counts in Jack Smith’s January 6 case: Conspiracy to defraud the United States, conspiracy to obstruct an official proceeding, obstruction of and attempt to obstruct an official proceeding, and …

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THAT’S BAD, BUT COULD WE EMPTY OUT EVEN MORE FEDERAL OFFICES? We’re paying billions in taxes for federal offices that are sitting mostly empty.

I’m a lot happier paying for an empty federal office building than I am paying for one filled with anonymous apparatchiks wrecking the country. We need many more empty federal office buildings. via based-politics: The pandemic changed how people work, with remote work becoming wildly more prominent. And the federal …

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This market melt-up is in the glue sniffing stages… Today’s pundits all make linear predictions. No one is willing to say this WILL all explode. Because they could lose credibility.

This market melt-up is in the glue sniffing stages. It won't be pretty on the way down. Momentum in. Momentum out. pic.twitter.com/z3tlx4DAe8 — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) July 28, 2023 Today's pundits all make linear predictions. No one is willing to say this WILL all explode. Because they could lose credibility. So, …

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CRE Storm: Over $800 Billion In Office Space In Nine Cities Could Become Obsolete By 2030 (Office Vacancy Rates Soar As Fed Went Crazy With Stimulus)

by confoundedinterest17 Thanks to The Federal Reserve, office property values have gone crazy despite rising vacancy rates. US office space vacancies (white line) have soared since 2008 as The Fed’s massive monetary expansion (blue and green line) has not helped. But Fed monetary expansion DID help drive office prices! At least …

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The Fed Will Almost Certainly Hike Interest Rate Next Week. This Could Add Accelerant To Market Downturn

Valuations have expanded significantly since Sept 2022 S&P 500 PE has risen from 19 to 25 in just 9 months pic.twitter.com/r6Mk47KHQc — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) July 20, 2023 Beware: Long big tech seems to be the most crowded trade in the market pic.twitter.com/eiTzAsXxMl — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) July 20, 2023 …

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FEDNOW goes live at 3am. What could go wrong?

As of 3am EST the FedNow transaction network is live paving the way for real-time CBDC payments. As of July 20th, 41 banks & 15 service providers are certified to use the settlement service, including community banks & large lenders like JPMorgan Chase.https://t.co/1a4HFvD4qR — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) July 20, 2023 "Market …

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Liquidity Fairy Alert! Bank Term Funding Program usage rose this week ($102.305B vs $101.959B on 7/5), marking the 6th straight week over $100B. It’s looking more and more like there’s an over-reliance on Fed Funding. Could this be a moral hazard?

by Dismal-Jellyfish Borrowing from the Bank Term Funding Program is back on the increase! What we are monitoring: Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) Discount Window/Primary Credit “Other Credit Extensions” I hope to shed light on the recent uptick in borrowing due to an attempt to offset the initial shrink in …

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‘We’re not Amazon’: UK Defence Secretary says Zelensky could show more ‘gratitude’ over contributions from West

The UK Defence Secretary has told President Zelenskyy to display more “gratitude” if he wants Western countries to continue sending weapons to Ukraine Ben Wallace has also hit out at Ukraine’s weapons “wishlist” as he urged the country’s leader to show more appreciation for Western military aid after Volodymyr Zelenskiy’s …

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Inflation Alert! The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s Monetary Policy Review July: The Official Cash Rate (OCR) held at 5.5%. Employment above sustainable level, Consumer spending slows. Could this be the start of other central banks pausing this time as the Fed take the lead with the July rate hike?

by Dismal-Jellyfish https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/hub/news/2023/07/official-cash-rate-remains-on-hold Highlights: The RBNZ has decided to keep the Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 5.50%. Remember, this is the rate of interest which the RBNZ charges on overnight loans to commercial banks. The RBNZ expects the OCR to remain at this level for a while to ensure inflation …

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Northwest Territory hits 100* for first time… Phoenix could see 18 straight days above 110*…

Blistering temperatures reached unheard-of northerly latitudes in Canada over the weekend amid dangerously hot and dry conditions, lightning storms and new blazes that intensified the country’s historically severe fire season. The temperature soared as high as 100 degrees in the Northwest Territories on Saturday, the hottest temperature ever measured north …

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Capitol Police Chief informs Tucker J6 crowd loaded with federal agents; Fox fired Tucker before he could air the interview

HUGE: Capitol Police Chief told Tucker that J6 crowd was loaded w/federal agents Fox fired Tucker before he could air the interview The Biden regime doesn’t want the country to know the truth about J6 It was a highly coordinated federal operation pic.twitter.com/RAuj9MUjgJ — DC_Draino (@DC_Draino) July 7, 2023 Tucker …

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‘How could we possibly feel safe.’

WSJ: ‘How Could I Feel Safe?’ Japan’s Dumping of Radioactive Fukushima Water Stirs Fear, Anger JEJU, South Korea—For years, Kim Young-goo ran a thriving seafood restaurant so close to the docks that the day’s catch could be hand-delivered. The freshness of the sea urchins, flounder and conches made it a …

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IMF worries inflation can’t be stopped… Dallas Fed President Logan expresses concern about sustainable inflation return… US could face a severe recession beyond Powell’s forecast.

IMF worries inflation can't be stopped pic.twitter.com/TE6PwuvYFj — Peter St Onge, Ph.D. (@profstonge) July 6, 2023 Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan gets right to the point in her speech: “I remain very concerned about whether inflation will return to target in a sustainable and timely way. And I think more-restrictive …

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