Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Energy stocks are making history: The US Energy Select Sector Index has gained for 14 consecutive weeks, the longest streak on record. The index has rallied +43% over that stretch byu/RobertBartus inEconomyCharts
The latest report from Rentals.ca and Urbanation said December 2025 was the 15th consecutive month that average asking rents across the former’s listings network moved lower. When measured across the full year, average asking rents in Canada declined 3.1% in 2025, which was a larger annual drop than during the COVID-19 pandemic. However, while rents …
Canadian apartment rents fell again in December, marking a 15th-consecutive month of year-over-year declines nationwide. Average asking rents for all residential property types dropped to $2,060 in December, down 2.3% year over year and marking the lowest level in about two-and-a-half years, according to the latest Rentals.ca and Urbanation rent report. Rents are now 5.4% …
Santa rally turning into Santa chop — TT3 (@TradingThomas3) December 29, 2025 From @SubuTrade : pic.twitter.com/w6KfyMZwDf — Barchart (@Barchart) December 29, 2025 THE S&P500 7,000 MIRAGE Wall Street is not telling you this. The equity risk premium just inverted to negative 0.69 percent. Stocks are now mathematically expected to underperform risk free Treasuries. This has …
Weak demand, falling property investment, and slumping consumption. China’s retail sales and industrial output missed forecasts in November, highlighting weak domestic demand. Fixed-asset and property investment slumped further, marking the sharpest downturn since 2020. Policymakers pledged support, but analysts remain cautious as consumption and jobs stay under pressure. https://invezz.com/news/2025/12/15/chinas-economic-slowdown-deepens-in-november-as-weak-demand-weigh-on-growth/ h/t -Sliced-
US Rents were down 0.9% over the last year, the 29th consecutive month with a YoY decline. Renting a home is cheaper than paying a mortgage in all 50 of the largest metros in the US. byu/Boo_Randy_II inHouseBuyers
by Martin Armstrong US manufacturing turned down in October on the PMI index, dropping from 49.1 in September to 48.7 in October, marking the eighth consecutive month of contraction. Price pressure may have eased (58 from 61.9), but production (48.2 from 51), inventory (45.8 from 47.7), and deliveries (54.2 from 52.6) have all declined. Employment …
Authored by Mike Shedlock via mishtalk, The manufacturing ISM continues to reek of mild stagflation. ISM chart and excerpts below by permission from the Institute for Supply Management® ISM® Note: Supplier Deliveries is the only ISM® PMI® Reports index that is inversed; a reading of above 50 percent indicates slower deliveries. Please consider the October 2025 Manufacturing ISM® Report …
Interesting read. China has been hoarding gold and adding to it for 10 consecutive months. Meanwhile their treasury holdings have dropped. pic.twitter.com/xh9IdW8iYE — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) September 10, 2025 BREAKING: Global broad money supply rose +9.3% YoY in July, to a record $140 trillion. This metric covers 169 countries and territories, representing 99% of global …
Search for “stocks crash” now in the levels of the Covid crash 5 years ago. It’s time. pic.twitter.com/iktmI58rHs — Heisenberg (@Mr_Derivatives) March 13, 2025 🚨 Heisenberg Observation 🚨$SPX The 2020 March Covid Crash peak to trough, never had consecutive green days. Not one. Until it bottomed. This current drawdown peak to current trough, we have …
by MarkusEF Feb 10 Day 16 update (Investopedia): https://www.investopedia.com/meta-stock-record-16-session-winning-streak-8788971 Trillion dollar / Big Tech longest streaks as of Feb 7 (WSJ): https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/jobs-report-stock-market-today-dow-nasdaq-sp500-02-07-2025/card/meta-stock-extends-winning-streak-to-15-sessions-EkYgAX2FQc5YFmfZWlN1 My analysis: Earnings were reported on January 29, the 8th day of this streak. They did beat expectations, and beat by a lot. However, CONSECUTIVE multi-day post-earnings streaks historically don’t tend to last, since all …
by confoundedinterest17 US home prices surged to the 17th consecutive all-time high. US home prices in the 20 largest cities rose 0.32% MoM in October (the latest data from S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller), considerably hotter than the 0.22% rise expected. However, despite the MoM beat, the pace of annual acceleration has declined to its slowest since Sept …
I am not an expert on the Federal Vacancies Reform Act of 1998, but based on my initial reading of various summaries of the act, Matt Gaetz would not currently be eligible to be named as AG under the act as he is: •Not the "first assistant" to the office.•Not already… pic.twitter.com/GN8aGagQnh — Brick Suit …
Fed flip flopping policy comes with consequence. https://t.co/0LzCCvKTbR — The Great Martis (@great_martis) October 8, 2024 Dow Jones Update✍️ Momentum falling off a cliff.Relative strength lower highs. The churn up against resistance is a Warning signal.⚠️ pic.twitter.com/97dKcEBD3B — The Great Martis (@great_martis) October 8, 2024 US30yr Probable path. pic.twitter.com/NBIfFtd8Hu — The Great Martis (@great_martis) October …
The Shelter Consumer Price Index (CPI) has indeed increased by 5.2%, marking the 29th consecutive month of housing inflation above 5%. This is the longest period of elevated housing inflation since the early 1980s. Rising shelter costs continue to be a significant factor in overall inflation, impacting affordability for many households. h/t Perfect_Alarm_2141
Overseas investors have been selling Chinese stocks for eight consecutive days, marking the longest streak since October. During this period, they offloaded a total of 30 billion yuan ($4.1 billion) on a net basis via the northbound link between Hong Kong and mainland stock exchanges. Kweichow Moutai, a prominent stock, experienced significant selling, with the …
For the 38th consecutive month, CPI came in above 3%. That’s the longest period of high inflation since the late 1980s to early 1990s. byu/Perfect_Alarm_2141 ineconomicCollapse The Consumer Price Index (CPI) has been on the rise. As of April 2024, the CPI in the United States has been consistently above 3% for 38 consecutive months. …
Texas Instruments faces a grim reality as first-quarter results reveal a stark 16% revenue drop, extending a troubling trend over six consecutive quarters. Despite high hopes pinned on the AI boom and economic growth, the company grapples with persistent declines, prompting skepticism and scrutiny from analysts. Amidst growing concerns, the narrative shifts to confront uncomfortable …
The outlook for small business sales is beginning to decline, historically signaling a challenging macroeconomic environment. The Small Business Optimism Index plummeted to its lowest level in March since December 2012, marking the third consecutive decline and the 50th consecutive month below the 50-year average of 98. Small biz sales outlook starting to deteriorate… Historically …
via Mike Shedlock: The ISM services index was a bit stronger than the Bloomberg consensus estimate of 52.1. Notably, 64 percent of respondents report increasing prices, up from 56.7 percent. ISM chart and excerpts below by permission from the Institute for Supply Management® ISM® If Fed chair Jerome Powell was looking for another excuse to …
by Dismal-Jellyfish Borrowing from the Bank Term Funding Program hit a NEW all time high–the 15th consecutive week above $100 billion! What we are reviewing: Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) Discount Window/Primary Credit “Other Credit Extensions” I hope to shed light on the recent uptick in borrowing due to an attempt to offset the initial …
by confoundedinterest17 The glories of Bidenomics is on fully display. Despite what Lyin’ Biden says, Bidenomics is only working for the elites (top 1%). How Soviet/CCP command economy of him! Here is an ugly chart showing Bidenomics in action! We all know that Covid unleashed a torrent of Fed monetary stimulus AND Federal spending on …
by Dismal-Jellyfish Borrowing from the Bank Term Funding Program hit a NEW all time high–the 13th consecutive week above $100 billion! What we are monitoring: Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) Discount Window/Primary Credit “Other Credit Extensions” I hope to shed light on the recent uptick in borrowing due to an attempt to offset the initial …
https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h41/20230824/ https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/H41RESPPALDKNWW
by Dismal-Jellyfish Borrowing from the Bank Term Funding Program hit a NEW all time high–the 11th consecutive week above $100 billion! What we are monitoring: Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) Discount Window/Primary Credit “Other Credit Extensions” I hope to shed light on the recent uptick in borrowing due to an attempt to offset the initial …
by Dismal-Jellyfish What we are monitoring: Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) Discount Window/Primary Credit “Other Credit Extensions” I hope to shed light on the recent uptick in borrowing due to an attempt to offset the initial shrink in M2 and dip in deposits. Buckle up! Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP): https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h41/20230810/ https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/H41RESPPALDKNWW 781.1%!!! Date …
by Dismal-Jellyfish Source: https://www.evestment.com/news/hedge-fund-industry-asset-flow-report-june-2023/ Highlights: June 2023 witnessed the 13th straight month of net outflows in the hedge fund industry. June’s redemptions were lighter compared to previous years, with an estimated net $13.12 billion taken out, though it still resulted in the industry’s assets growing by $39.5 billion to approximately $3.439 trillion. Historically, June is …
National Instant Criminal Background Check System (NICS) numbers released by the FBI at the end of July show the U.S. has enjoyed four years of one million-plus gun sales a month. The National Shooting Sports Foundation (NSSF) goes through the FBI’s figures following their release each month, and Public Affairs Manager Director Mark Oliva commented …
