Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Canada’s small business sector is grappling with a severe crisis as its confidence plummets. The Canadian Federation of Independent Business (CFIB) has reported an alarming decline in the Small Business Confidence Index, which dropped to 23.2 in March 2025. This is a staggering 60% drop from the previous year, highlighting the deepening challenges that small …
I asked @grok to categorize your sentiments over the last 5 weeks. So should we expect @menlobear to be on the same page this week? pic.twitter.com/PGUzrv5K4N — Michael Wray (@MichaelWrayJr) March 21, 2025 Recession indicators — Trading 4or Life (@trading4orlife) March 21, 2025
ortugal’s minority government lost a confidence vote in parliament Tuesday, forcing its resignation and bringing the European Union country’s third general election in three years. The government’s fall marks the worst spell of political instability since Portugal adopted a democratic system more than 50 years ago in the wake of the 1974 Carnation Revolution, which …
Masaclown™️is so desperate to make sure the whole OpenAI ponzi scheme doesn’t fall apart because he knows that will expose SoftBank insolvency due to the domino effect on Nvidia and Arm valuations Narrator: I wonder where he is going to find the money since he doesn’t have it https://t.co/chdfOVLF8c pic.twitter.com/i6g5J99I2h — JustDario 🏊♂️ (@DarioCpx) January …
OPEN BORDER: MSNBC finally admitting Joe Biden’s open border policies devastated America. pic.twitter.com/f5iazek8Ux — @amuse (@amuse) January 2, 2025 69% of Americans have “not very much” or no confidence at all in the mass media when it comes to reporting the news fully, accurately and fairly. Full story: https://t.co/YqQoepFdKD pic.twitter.com/VnrULJVEvo — Gallup (@Gallup) January 2, …
by Martin Armstrong The C$ is poised to finally elect a Yearly Sell Signal (Bearish Reversal) warning that Canada may not bottom out until 2026. Even if Trudeau is removed from office, will that prevent the Decline & Fall of Canada into 2026? We will deal with these questions and more in our annual report …
A great example of retail over confidence in the WSJ A guy quit his job to invest full time 6 months ago, which he says is mostly holding MSTR, compares himself “humbly” to Warren Buffet and Charlie Munger. Dunning Kruger effect on full display https://t.co/RrgleWeUG0 pic.twitter.com/xM2TeUQ39A — Novacula Occami (@OccamiCrypto) December 22, 2024 MSTR’s latest …
This chart is eye-opening: The S&P 500 has seen modest growth in corporate earnings compared to its notable price appreciation since 2023, the year where, among other things, ChatGPT was released. pic.twitter.com/N03i8gn7Bs — Otavio (Tavi) Costa (@TaviCosta) December 23, 2024 BREAKING: The US consumer confidence index fell to 104.7 points in December, marking one of …
Highest ever! Renowned contrarians! (Not a precise timing indicator BUT almost always ends badly) Go figure….. US Consumer confidence about the 12m outlook for the US stock market pic.twitter.com/hGtFPqlOWG — Chris Watling (@LongviewEcon) December 3, 2024 Positioning on S&P 500 Is Very Extended pic.twitter.com/ZleRSyP4j3 — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) December 3, 2024 Wall Street Short …
https://twitter.com/liberty_fan_/status/1862064036457631819 Germany faces high taxes; green populists push for even higher taxes. https://twitter.com/MichaelAArouet/status/1862399801301635286 And inflation is rebounding: Good Morning from #Germany where #inflation has picked up for the 2nd straight month. In November, prices rose 2.2% YoY, up from 2% in October. The core #inflation rate accelerated to 3% YoY. pic.twitter.com/IK96JqAp11 — Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) …
TLDR: TIME claims Biden deserves credit, not Trump, for economic success. Article ignores inflation, rising consumer prices, and debt-driven GDP growth. Wage recovery offset by prior months of disproportionate inflation growth. Consumer confidence remains weaker compared to pre-Biden levels. Energy production thrives despite, not because of, Biden’s policies. SPITS OUT COFFEE: TIME Tells Readers ‘Don’t …
“The confidence gap remains,” says @MarkHalperin of the moods of the opposing camps at Mar a Lago and in Wilmington. “Republicans I talked to are sending me their Electoral College guesses. They’re all above 270, some as high as 320 or 322. I don’t have a single Democrat emailing… pic.twitter.com/xxLjVuUcwL — 2WAY (@2waytvapp) November 5, …
The market is up 6540% + since 1967 But ONLY 600% when adjusted for inflation You can’t make this up… pic.twitter.com/d5B3VLrbmL — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) October 6, 2024 It’s no surprise that gold is having its best year in decades. Central banks are stockpiling at record levels since the 1970s. Confidence in fiat currencies is …
September @KansasCityFed Manufacturing Index down to -8 vs. -5 est. & -3 prior … new orders slipped to -14 (-12 prior); workweek declined to -15 (-10 prior); production fell to -18 (+6 prior) … employment fell to -11 (-7 prior), taking out improvement in August pic.twitter.com/x0q2QUV1Y3 — Liz Ann Sonders (@LizAnnSonders) September 26, 2024 "There …
View post on imgur.com https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence Consumers’ view on the economy tumbled in September, falling by the largest level in more than three years as fears grew about jobs and business conditions, the Conference Board reported Tuesday. The board’s consumer confidence index slid to 98.7, down from 105.6 in August, the biggest one-month decline since August …
Looming Non-Confidence Vote With the New Democrats recently announcing an end to their supply-and-confidence deal with the Liberals, which would have kept the minority Liberal government in power until June 2025, the return of Parliament has been accompanied by questions over whether a non-confidence vote will be held. While Poilievre has said he will table …
Knock Knock Knock 2,500 bucks … pic.twitter.com/Cnr3A65tzZ — Peter Spina ⚒ GoldSeek | SilverSeek (@goldseek) August 16, 2024 “Gold has shown strong buying on pullbacks, which do not develop into larger consolidation phases,” said Peter Spina, founder and president of https://t.co/cP4ims2omc “This just tells me that the gold market is well supported by the new …
Germany & France continue to underperform the rest of the region, IFO & INSEE business indicators have also disappointed. Yet, Germany consumer confidence has improved with a higher propensity to buy led by income expectations but remains weak as seen with high saving ratio. pic.twitter.com/uMP6kujXzX — Sabrina Khanniche (@skhanniche) July 26, 2024 Early signs of …
Fed Chair Jerome Powell expressed satisfaction with the progress on inflation but said he wants to see more before being confident enough to start cutting interest rates. “We want to be more confident that inflation is moving sustainably down toward 2% before we start the process of reducing or loosening policy,” he said. While Powell …
US consumer confidence eased this month due to a more muted outlook for business conditions, the job market, and incomes. The Conference Board’s gauge of sentiment decreased to 100.4 from a downwardly revised 101.3 reading in May . Specifically, expectations for the next six months fell nearly 2 points to 73, while present conditions increased from a …
by confoundedinterest17 The US economy is going down. 2024 hasn’t been a good year for Bidenomics. The Economic Surprise Index is falling to its lowest point in years. The economic confidence index has been terrible since Covid and Biden’s Reign of Ecoomic Error. We need to give Biden the hook!’ And I don’t want The …
by confoundedinterest17 After (unexpectedly) tumbling in March, existing home sales were expected to rise modestly (+0.8% MoM) in April. Analysts were wrong as March’s data was revised marginally up from -4.3% MoM to -3.7% MoM and April printed -1.9% MoM (a big miss). That left existing home sales down 1.9% YoY… Source: Bloomberg That pushed the …
🇺🇸 US Conference Board Consumer Confidence Expectations minus Present Situation -77.2 Leading indicator for #recession! Chart: @LizAnnSonders pic.twitter.com/nYsQcGlMBq — Alex Joosten (@joosteninvestor) March 27, 2024 As economic indicators send warning signals, analysts are keeping a close eye on the pulse of the trucking industry. The latest data points to a downturn in the number of …
There’s some serious political drama unfolding up north in Canada. It’s all eyes on Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s government as a no-confidence vote is looming large on the horizon, set for March 21st. Now, the mainstream media might be downplaying it as a joke, but there’s a twist in the tale that could shake things …
by confoundedinterest17 Confidence! It’s what consumers DON’T have under Bidenomics. For the fourth straight month, The Conference Board revised its consumer confidence data significantly lower. In fact January’s was the biggest downward revision since Feb 2022. And Conference Board Consumer Confidence was DOWN to -3.90 in January, the worst since Feb 2022. It really isn’t surprising …
S&P Global: composite PMI shows service sector expansion outpacing manufacturing contraction w/ business confidence rising and fastest private sector growth in 6 months, though still very low by historical standards – we’re basically coming off near-zero: S&P Global: composite PMI shows service sector expansion outpacing manufacturing contraction w/ business confidence rising and fastest private sector …
The new year traditionally offers a window for an upbeat economic mood in China, falling between the Communist Party’s annual economic work conference in December – the usual arena to inject support for growth and the private sector – and the celebratory Spring Festival, typically in late January or early February. But this new year …
The Yahoo Finance article sheds light on a concerning decline in consumer confidence, especially among American families earning under $100,000. While the inflation rate has ostensibly dropped to 3.4% in December 2023 from a peak of 7.2% in December 2021, the alleviation is not translating into relief for many households. The culprit? Skyrocketing interest rates. …
The recent decline in China’s Shanghai Composite Index, plummeting below 2,900 and marking a 15% drop from its April peak, raises concerns about the nation’s structural challenges. This significant 28% performance gap when compared to the MSCI World Index (USD) since April underscores a deeper issue at play. While psychological explanations for economic conditions are …
The German economy faces increasing challenges as the latest data reveals a decline in private consumption and a drop in the IFO business confidence index. With household consumption decreasing and trade numbers showing a slump, Germany grapples with economic headwinds that contribute to a 3.8% year-on-year contraction in industrial performance. German Economy’s Downturn Driven by …