Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Apple News stories from conservative outlets rise to a paltry 2% in February from 0%: ‘Damage control’ Less than 2% of the top stories on Apple News last month came from right-leaning news outlets — a paltry increase from 0% a month earlier that amounts to “damage control” in the face of a possible federal …
This may be the trigger that sends their entire movement into complete collapse. pic.twitter.com/OYEpzMZ5Eo — Open Source Intel (@Osint613) January 18, 2026 MIAMI: Andrew Tate, Nick Fuentes, Sneako, Tristan Tate, Clavicular and Sudanese Amrou Fudl (Myron Gaines) arrive to an event last night playing Kanye West’s song “HeiI HitIer” pic.twitter.com/T1N0Kgj4lK — Open Source Intel (@Osint613) …
On a frigid day after Mass at St. Ann’s Catholic Church in rural Nebraska, worshipers shuffled into the basement and sat on folding chairs, their faces barely masking the fear gripping their town. A pall hung over the room just as it hung over the holiday season in Lexington, Neb. “Suddenly they tell us that …
Bitcoin is still in a downtrend, still making lower highs/lower lows and still warning the entire market but most traders won’t recognize it until it’s 30% lower. Yes, #Bitcoin may push toward $97–$100K. That lower high is still on the table. But none of that changes the thesis going into January. A counter trend rally …
For the record, U.S. stocks peaked in October 2007 and the economy entered recession in December 2007. As of now, the S&P 500 peaked in October. ADP private payroll job creation year to date is at the same level it was at when the GFC recession started. Is the AI super bubble killing jobs? It’s …
Comparison: 2020 (COVID crash): ~610 large bankruptcies. 2021: ~400. 2022: ~450. 2023: ~500. 2025 YTD: 655 already. (Reuters) -Large U.S. corporate bankruptcies are on pace to hit their highest level in 15 years, S&P Global data showed on Thursday, underscoring mounting stress across corporate America at a sensitive time for public market investors. Total bankruptcy …
Jerome Powell’s last Jackson Hole speech will test his legacy as he battles inflation, defends Fed independence and pushes back against political pressure. Here's how the 🇺🇸 stock market has performed around Jerome Powell's recent Jackson Hole speeches – Trend Spider pic.twitter.com/BsBVztZIWI — Evan (@StockMKTNewz) August 22, 2025 Here’s how $SPY have reacted to Powell’s …
Gold needed a timeout and it’s still sulking. With gold at $3500, we warned that gold was stretched from its moving averages and needed to fall and correct. So far it fell $380 and 4 months have passed with no new highs for spot gold. Todays chart still shows weakness and potential to fall further, …
Rates are screaming, but the market still hums along. The bulls are running on fumes, but they are still running. Just reviewing some charts this morning, and this one jumped out at me. The ~20% correction in April was a successful test of the running 36-month moving average which is the 7th test since the …
The U.S. economy is showing signs of strain that official headlines aren’t capturing. Despite stock market gains, underlying indicators suggest a slowdown. Labor market indicators are weakening. Initial jobless claims for the week ending June 28, 2025, were 227,980, a slight decrease from the previous week. However, continuing claims increased to 1,974,000, up from 1,937,000 …
Swaps — a historic move, Lehmanesque. The beast inside the market is about to break the Fed. A colossal policy reversal is coming. https://t.co/ewp0mUHB2k pic.twitter.com/r8psEJW3fL — Lawrence McDonald (@Convertbond) April 9, 2025 Literally off the charts, no further comments necessary pic.twitter.com/As70Iob5rv — Michael A. Arouet (@MichaelAArouet) April 10, 2025 If the Yen breaks, liquidity breaks… …
Michelle Obama’s new podcast suffers dismal ratings ranking at number 34 in the Spotify podcast charts, just weeks after launch. Episodes on YouTube have received drastically low viewing numbers with one rapid receiving just over 60,000 views. pic.twitter.com/48xAW0Sexu — Oli London (@OliLondonTV) April 9, 2025
by Michael As a nation, we have literally been in the process of committing financial suicide for decades. Sadly, some people have responded to the new administration’s efforts to get debt levels under control by committing acts of extreme violence. Our society is deeply addicted to debt and that must stop. The 7 economic charts that …
by Michael Most Americans don’t know that for much of U.S. history there was no federal income tax and there was no central bank. But now everyone assumes that we must have a federal income tax and a central bank in order to have a functioning society. Today, there are just a handful of nations …
What did the S&P 500 bottoms from the 2018 Christmas Eve Crash, the Covid Crash, and the 2022 bear market have in common? Your answer can be found below. I'll see you at the next extremes. 🍻🍻 pic.twitter.com/cZUYXmF7IN — Mike (@MarketMike) January 31, 2025 US executives are selling stock at a record pace: The ratio …
Megyn Kelly drops a polling bomb on Kamala and Democrats. Black vote for Trump is off the charts.https://t.co/3cYJFzvK9A — Citizen Free Press (@CitizenFreePres) October 22, 2024 HOLY CRAP! This is the truth that the media doesn’t want you to see. Kamala had a booth with NOBODY at it. Trump had a booth with MASSIVE crowds …
It always amazes me how similar these charts are to the lead up to the 2020 crisis. It's like they used it as a trial run. https://t.co/u8ikkuZAeC pic.twitter.com/7QSS4ykBPb — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) October 5, 2024 Ask yourself why the Federal Reserve would pull $110B of liquidity out of the banking system in Jan 2020, when they …
Source with further context I was curious if the same thing happened in the US, I looked up the data and here’s what I found: Since 2012 US business starts have jumped dramatically and it has remained pretty consistent, it’s below its COVID highs but still substantially above the 2012 figures. Quarterly number of business …
86 large wildfires this year where 300 or more acres were burned 532% compared to five-year avg of large wildfires year-to-date 698,074 acres burned this year from local, state and federal wildfires 476% compared to five-year avg of acres burned year-to-date https://calmatters.org/california-wildfire-map-tracker/ California wildfire is consuming 5,000 acres/hour. A raging inferno whipped by winds, California’s …
Donald Trump could turn America’s spy services into weapons of “retribution” against domestic political opponents, skew intelligence findings in favor of authoritarian leaders and undermine information sharing with U.S. allies if he wins a second term, more than a dozen former intelligence officers, Western officials and lawmakers tell NBC News. Given Trump’s track record during …
via moneymetals: It was deja vu all over again. The Biden administration ran yet another massive budget deficit in March. Tax receipts were up last month compared to February, but so was spending. That led to a $236.46 billion budget shortfall, according to the latest Monthly Treasury Statement. With another huge monthly deficit on the books, …
The viewership at corporate media: It's a bloodbath 🔥 pic.twitter.com/U8ZlyXpgKQ — Wall Street Mav (@WallStreetMav) March 20, 2024 Trust in media is so low that half of Americans now believe that news organizations deliberately mislead them BYDAVID BAUDER AND THE ASSOCIATED PRESS February 15, 2023 at 2:13 PM EST Half of Americans in a recent …
by theSilverVigilante Rising #bond #yields is hurting #US #banks and it starts to show up in the #cds – see below. With US Treasuries at 5%, Bank of America is close to 45x levered, at 6-7% infinitely levered. Maybe the #Fed should have stress-tested the banks not only on credit quality but also duration… Source: …
Look guys. In #JamaalBowman’s defense, obviously FIRE stands for “For Initiation of Room Entry”. You know it, I know it, everyone knows it, and @MSNBC especially knows it. pic.twitter.com/ZeFqQvNiWf — American Trumpocracy (@FeudalDemocracy) September 30, 2023 The way this entire thing happened is truly amazing: – Bowman pulls the fire alarm – He then claims …
By Graham Summers, MBA Inflation is back. While mainstream economists prance around on television claiming that inflation has been defeated, the real data suggests otherwise. It’s a well known “secret” on Wall Street that the official inflation measure, the Consumer Price Index, or CPI, is heavily massaged to UNDER-state inflation. However, even the CPI, with …
by confoundedinterest17 Bidenomics is a train wreck. But unlike E. Palestine Ohio, the site of a train derailment and massive toxic spill (for which Biden has yet to visit), Bidenomics is a continuing train wreck. The first chart is the record decline in US net cash farm income. Now in negative growth! Second, US office …
by confoundedinterest17 Yes, The Fed has a line on you! And will likely keep raising rates as inflation stays elevated. This means higher mortgage rates unless China slips into a deflation doom loop. Thanks in part to The Fed, housing affordability is at the lowest level since the 1980s. And we are seeing tail volatility in the …
Next week will be interesting because many charts are indicating market weakness which lines up with week 21. https://t.co/ggQXxGybX0 pic.twitter.com/U2aMp07RLv — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) July 29, 2023 Here's an interesting chart. Volatility spikes have been occurring on the same weekly intervals the last two cycles. Weeks 8 & 17 are common across both, implying a large …
By Graham Summers, MBA As I keep emphasizing, the U.S. is becoming an emerging market. Two of the hallmarks of emerging markets are a weak domestic currency and higher inflation. While neither of these are good for those living in the nation, they do make the performance in the domestic stock market look fantastic. Case in point, …
