Dangerous divergence between stocks and bonds

"Impervious" Nasdaq Risks Big Downside If Mideast Conflict Spirals https://t.co/pZGX7DJyvn — zerohedge (@zerohedge) October 19, 2023 Hedge Funds have increased their short stock exposure to the highest level of the year pic.twitter.com/IXb4OHLPA5 — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) October 23, 2023

The surge in benchmark interest rates is hammering the $10.6 trillion market for US corporate bonds once again.

by DesmondMilesDant Caption: High-quality debt created by data provider BondCliQ. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl…   Caption: This H-portfolio contains 30 bonds covering major sectors such as tech, utilities, energy and financials, and includes bonds sold by Deere Capital Corp., Lowe’s Cos Inc., AMZN …

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The situation is becoming rather worrisome: The slump in 10-year and 30-year bonds is approaching the epic drops we saw in stocks during the 2008 financial crisis and the dot-com bubble bust. Accelerating Junk Bond default is coming.

The Bear Market never ended. The end of this bear market rally is rapidly approaching……. https://t.co/kf0JCvL7XA — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) October 5, 2023 G, we already there… Long-duration US TSY bonds have now lost more in % terms than …

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Ed Yardeni believes that the sell-off in Treasury bonds reflects widespread worry about the United States’ fiscal policy, particularly the growing federal budget deficits.

Everyone’s waiting to discover the level at which yields spur financial instability. From @kitjuckes this morning: “For now, the FX market is a bystander, watching Treasuries and waiting for them to break something.” — Lisa Abramowicz (@lisaabramowicz1) October 3, 2023 …

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Faster bonds sell off the greater collateral hit and impairment to Global liquidity. Hedge funds cut stock leverage at fastest pace since 2020 crash.

Sounds right until it isn't! Problem is that the faster bonds sell off the greater collateral hit and impairment to Global #liquidity https://t.co/6GW0EYopoj — CrossBorder Capital/ GLIndexes (@crossbordercap) September 26, 2023 #recession … #StockMarket Bubble edition#Leverage 📉 #MarginCall 📈 https://t.co/nig1oqQvQ8 …

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10-year yields rise above pre-SVB collapse, highest since 2009. Higher nominal yields impact corporate bonds, increasing refinancing costs. Will we see another blow-up in the next few weeks?

Real yields on 10-year Treasuries closed yesterday at the highest since 2009. pic.twitter.com/Ujfb0Lco7l — Lisa Abramowicz (@lisaabramowicz1) August 15, 2023 Nominal yields keep going higher and this affects corporate bonds $LQD, therefore cost of refinancing is increasing. We can expect …

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The US national debt has increased by $1.8 trillion since the “debt ceiling crisis”. They did it in less than 2 months. At this rate, in 3 months, the debt will be 4 trillion. US Treasury is issuing $102B of long-duration bonds in the upcoming weeks.

by RedditIsOwendByTheWS The government now lives from month to month. soon it will be from week to week. Then from day to day. and finally from hour to hour. Source : Traders Brace for $102 Billion Wave of Treasury Bond Sales …

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