Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
The index includes all savings of the population, businesses, and governments. Now the United States relies solely on foreign investment. Source: https://research.gavekal.com/chart/week-38-2024/ h/t pure_psycho
Gold is telling you the Federal Reserve is full of shit. Not a single person on earth thinks inflation is 3% pic.twitter.com/E8XedI6Nj1 — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) September 24, 2024 Today, silver prices reached their highest level in over a decade. Widespread skepticism surrounding the metal remains, which, in my opinion, represents one of the most extreme …
"FMS investors have predicted worsening profits for two months in a row." – BofA Hartnett pic.twitter.com/LDOHf9m49q — Daily Chartbook (@dailychartbook) September 18, 2024 “FMS investors” typically refers to participants in the Fund Manager Survey (FMS) conducted by institutions like Bank of America. This survey gathers insights from global fund managers to gauge their outlook on …
30-Year Treasury Yield fell below 4% for the first time this year 🚨 pic.twitter.com/giQ4QczZtV — Barchart (@Barchart) September 11, 2024 Risk appetite has deteriorated sharply in September to its lowest for nearly two-and-a-half years pic.twitter.com/mdIHyhEb5t — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) September 11, 2024 BREAKING 🚨: Crude Oil Hedge Funds are now the least bullish on …
Around 1.6 million pensioners living below the poverty line and who do not receive Pension Credit are set to lose out as a result of the government’s decision to means test the Winter Fuel Payments, according to a report by the former pensions minister. Sir Steve Webb, who is now partner at pension consultancy firm …
🍿POPCORN ALERT 🍿 Yep, the #Nikkei will go first 🎯 Narrator: #BOJ jawboning resumes in 10…9…8… https://t.co/0X6nwtnmui pic.twitter.com/ion27lAheV — JustDario 🏊♂️ (@DarioCpx) August 25, 2024 The Great Carry trade unwind. is a 2nd wave of global selling inevitable ? Breach of support ? pic.twitter.com/kuY0vJSZGX — The Great Martis (@great_martis) August 25, 2024 #JustDarioDaily ⚠️ IF …
Bitcoin Continued major distribution below major support . Could backtest secondary trendline before falling away or could just collapse towards the primary trendline. Its a process. We await. https://t.co/AAEiVemjxJ pic.twitter.com/NkbfrdrW5E — The Great Martis (@great_martis) August 20, 2024
If the price closes below 58k end week, the bears 🐻 are gonna feast 🍖 on the hopefools next week. We await. https://t.co/AAEiVelLIb pic.twitter.com/OmpSh7dTye — The Great Martis (@great_martis) August 19, 2024
In June, both the ISM Manufacturing Index and the ISM Services Index fell below 49. These indices are important indicators of economic activity in the manufacturing and services sectors, respectively. When the index value is below 50, it suggests contraction in the sector. The decline in both indices may signal challenges or slowdowns in these areas of the U.S. …
2YR/10YR Treasury spread steepening in response? Buckle up! — B_radRiffs (@B_radRiffs) July 9, 2024 WASHINGTON (AP) — U.S. job openings fell in April to the lowest level since 2021. But they remained at historically strong levels despite high interest rates and signs the economy is slowing. The Labor Department reported Tuesday that employers posted 8.1 …
Bitcoiners might wanna call Larry and Michael Breaks below 58k and a indiscriminate bloodbath begins. pic.twitter.com/QsxomdM6xi — The Great Martis (@great_martis) July 4, 2024 What happens tomorrow morning when Bitcoin ETFs open for trading and they gap down through stop losses? A: Those stop losses become market orders and Bitcoins get liquidated en masse. And …
Over the same period, the US has gained tech jobs (albeit at a much slower rate), thus growth in non-California tech employment has outweighed all the losses within the Golden State But that means in most subsectors California's share of US tech jobs has now fallen dramatically pic.twitter.com/pZACFn1Rhu — Joey Politano 🏳️🌈 (@JosephPolitano) June 25, …
New month, same trend! #Germany's industrial production declined again in May. The level remains 15% lower than the peak of 2017! pic.twitter.com/DEIhyzExjr — jeroen blokland (@jsblokland) June 7, 2024
$VIX closed the last week below 12, something not happening since 2019 Can it go lower? Sure it can, $VIX All Time Low was 8.56 on Friday 24 Nov 2017… Few months before Volmageddon that triggered in February 2018 ⚠️ Beware, $VIX is like a spring, the more and the longer is… https://t.co/f29dYyuaZh pic.twitter.com/2JZz8TidRh — …
Investors are on high alert as a critical chart indicates the possibility of a significant downturn on the S&P 500, with historical precedent suggesting a 50% decline if certain thresholds are breached. If this chart falls below the small green circle, history tells us to expect a 50% drop on the #SPX. It makes a …
The outlook for small business sales is beginning to decline, historically signaling a challenging macroeconomic environment. The Small Business Optimism Index plummeted to its lowest level in March since December 2012, marking the third consecutive decline and the 50th consecutive month below the 50-year average of 98. Small biz sales outlook starting to deteriorate… Historically …
https://www.univision.com/especiales/noticias/infografias/2024/eclipse-solar-2024-en/ This is pretty cool. Enter your zip code for the exact time you will see the eclipse in your location. https://t.co/LxlmUxRvlA — Juanita Broaddrick (@atensnut) April 6, 2024
The age of overpopulation is over. The age of underpopulation is here. After decades of warnings and fear about an overpopulation crisis, population is now rapidly declining in most of the world. The overpopulation disaster predicted by world elites did not occur. Total fertility rate is the average number of children born per woman. Demographers …
🍿POPCORN ALERT 🍿#JustDarioDaily ⚠️IS IT FINALLY $VIX SHOWTIME?👀 TL;DR: we discussed a lot about the risks of a “Volmageddon” to strike again, potentially much harder than in 2018. Is this about to happen? Full article in link👇🏻https://t.co/GeO8sjKbFa — JustDario 🏊♂️ (@DarioCpx) April 5, 2024 Banks don't keep all their cash in a vault – they …
Tesla published its first-quarter vehicle production and deliveries report on Tuesday showing deliveries of 386,810, a steep drop from the same quarter last year. According to a mean of 11 estimates compiled by FactSet, analysts were expecting deliveries of around 457,000 for the first three months of the year. This was Tesla’s first year-over-year decline in deliveries …
This trend could have serious repercussions. Functional illiteracy is fundamentally a democracy problem too. — The Intellectualist (@highbrow_nobrow) March 18, 2024
Cautious #ECB last week amid upside risks to inflation due to solid wage growth. More data is needed to confirm that inflation is sustainably converging to target. Encouragingly, compensation per employee eased in Q4 to 2.8% from 3.6% Y/Y in line with negotiated wages. pic.twitter.com/rLmagWxE3n — Sabrina Khanniche (@skhanniche) March 14, 2024 The Eurozone’s economic …
Mark Zuckerberg and his wife Priscilla Chan were seen admiring Anant Ambani’s $1 million watch during at lavish pre-wedding party branded ‘enchanting’ by fellow attendee Ivanka Trump – just yards away from some of India’s poorest slums. The couple were left in awe over the luxury Richard Mille timepiece sported by Indian billionaire Ambani, 28, …
Property investment in China dropped 9.6% in 2023 from the same period a year earlier, after slumping 9.4% in January-November, according to data from the National Bureau of Statistics. — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) January 25, 2024
It’s been an ugly ‘sell the news’ period since spot bitcoin ETFs were unleashed by a desperately begrudging SEC. Having peaked above $49,000 on the day the new ETFs opened, bitcoin has broken back below $39,000 overnight.. This is (purely coincidentally) ‘great news’ for Liz Warren and Gary Gensler who can gloat at their warnings …
by confoundedinterest17 Nobody manipulates markets like The Federal Reserve! Nobody but The Fed. Here we sit with core inflation rate BELOW the current Fed Funds Target Rate (upper bound). So is it time to start withdrawing its more than ample monetary stimulus. Like the Bank Term Funding Program. The Federal Reserve is likely to retire the …
by confoundedinterest17 Are US financial conditions loose as a goose? Despite resilience in US data, 30Y Yields have plunged back below the 4.00% Maginot Line this morning… Source: Bloomberg The last few weeks have seen US macro data reverse its recent trend of disappointment… Source: Bloomberg The long-end of the curve is outperforming… Source: Bloomberg But, …
The recent decline in China’s Shanghai Composite Index, plummeting below 2,900 and marking a 15% drop from its April peak, raises concerns about the nation’s structural challenges. This significant 28% performance gap when compared to the MSCI World Index (USD) since April underscores a deeper issue at play. While psychological explanations for economic conditions are …
