Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
The question is urgent and deceptively simple: will the market face a persistent drag as Baby Boomers begin liquidating 401Ks in retirement, and the answer might be more unsettling than most people realize. Historically, the S&P has returned about eight percent annually, a figure so often cited that it feels like gospel, but the reality …
“.. The findings highlight that many workers don’t have a rainy-day fund.” Link to article:https://t.co/w6wkWBVBqv — Kalani o Māui (@MauiBoyMacro) June 24, 2025 More Americans are tapping their 401(k)s just to get by. Hardship withdrawals from retirement plans have quadrupled since 2019. This is the downstream effect of money printing, inflation, and a decade of …
A silent crisis is forming under the surface of a broken economy and collapsing financial markets: America’s growing population of baby boomers may never have a chance to retire. We’re on the verge of a national retirement crisis that will affect our entire society, but most people don’t even know how big are the risks. …
As economic uncertainties deepen, the latest findings from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Credit Access Survey paint a concerning picture for consumers. The survey reveals a notable decline in credit demand, with weakening application rates and rising rejection rates, notably in auto loans. Looking forward, households express a decreased likelihood of applying for …
by Martin Armstrong Credit card balances in the US have surpassed $1 trillion for the first time, with balances up almost 20% from a year ago. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York reported that total credit card debt stood at $986 billion in the first quarter of 2023, unchanged from the record hit at …