Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
🇯🇵 Japan's 40-year bond yield is on the move again. Someone get the Bank of Japan on the phone. pic.twitter.com/mkrag1Z9sc — Jesse Cohen (@JesseCohenInv) May 28, 2025 Bloomberg: “Japan’s auction of 40-year bonds Wednesday met demand that was the weakest since July, an outcome that risks fueling further volatility in global debt markets” Listen to …
Tonight at 3:35 AM JST (2:35 PM EDT), Japan will auction its 40-year government bonds. These auctions used to fly under the radar. Not anymore. Markets are watching closely, and for good reason. The Bank of Japan no longer owns 80% of all government bonds. Its grip has loosened. It now holds just over half …
When Japan’s 40-year yield spikes…It’s not just a Japan problem.It’s a global leverage problem ticking louder. — FromRedToRiches (@FromRedToRiches) May 20, 2025 Japan’s 10 year yield the past month💀☠️: I mean this is so far below where their 40 year bond is trading which trades at 3.5% plus. Inflation is way higher than 1.52% My …
In 1975, 81% of American men under 30 were married. For women, it was 91%. Today, only 16% of men and 25% of women under 30 have a spouse. This is not a social drift. It is a free fall. A collapse that says more about the cost of living than it does about the …
With a debt-to-GDP ratio over 200%, rolling over that debt at higher rates is a financial death sentence. Worse, the Bank of Japan holds 70% of their bonds — meaning if the market crumbles, the central bank collapses too. Japan’s experiment of perpetual debt-funded growth is unraveling fast. Once confidence breaks, their economy could implode …
Saudi Aramco has initiated its first dollar bond sale in three years. The oil-rich kingdom’s state-owned company is seeking to raise at least $3 billion, with the possibility of increasing the size based on investor demand. The debt offering includes three tranches with maturities of 10, 30, and 40 years. Initial pricing thoughts indicate spreads of approximately 140, 180, and 195 …
US government debt market collapse has started This has MASSIVE implications for the economy A thread 🧵 pic.twitter.com/woy4GFEsH6 — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) July 9, 2024 3/ Treasury bonds, typically 40% of an investor's portfolio, have led to significant losses due to their sharp decline — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) July 9, 2024 5/ Constantly rising government …
Endless spending and low interest rates resulted in 40-year high inflation. Now, over half of American adults believe we are in a recession. Even with endless deficit spending, consumer sentiment is horrible. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops. — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) June 10, 2024 Food Costs are soaring to …
The Department of Justice (DOJ) is demanding a 40-year prison sentence for David DePape, who was recently convicted of attacking Paul Pelosi husband of former Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi. DePape was convicted last November of assault and attempted kidnapping after he broke into the Pelosi residence and bludgeoned Paul Pelosi with a hammer …
by TonyLiberty The housing market is in a difficult state, with low inventory, high mortgage rates, and high prices making it difficult for buyers to afford homes. Despite aggressive interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, home prices have remained high. First-time homebuyers are having difficulty competing with investors, who are able to make all-cash offers …
On top of printing $4 trillion, the Fed lowered rates to 0% overnight in March 2020. Now, we have the fastest rate hike campaign in history. It’s unclear if zero interest rate policy was a net positive. Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops. — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) July 31, 2023 …