Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
via confoundedinterest17 The gap between 2s and 10s Treasuies is now the widest it’s been since early 2022. According to the Atlanta Fed GDP Now report, the current real GDP growth rate is 3.7%. But the yield curve is a forward looking measure.
⚠️BREAKING: *U.S. Q1 GDP FALLS -0.3%, EST. 0.2%; PREV. 2.4% 🇺🇸🇺🇸 pic.twitter.com/mahT0YOWbX — Investing.com (@Investingcom) April 30, 2025 Breaking Q1 GDP first look. -.3% vs -.2% exp. Recession? Pricing index 3.7% vs 3.2% expectations Stagflation? Oof 🤦♂️ — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) April 30, 2025 Yields up. Stocks getting REKT pic.twitter.com/ZVvzwrx8hX — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) April …
Latest estimate: -3.7 percent — April 01, 2025 The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2025 is -3.7 percent on April 1, down from -2.8 percent on March 28. The alternative model forecast, which adjusts for imports and exports of gold as described here, is …
Latest estimate: -3.7% – April 01, 2025 h/t Cool-Entrepreneur-68
by confoundedinterest17 COVID was a gift to Biden. The furious Federal spending of Q2 2020 through Q1 2021 helped keep GDP growth above recession levels. Ignore Biden’s demented rants/lies about cutting the debt in half. Biden has claimed he cut the $34+ trillion national debt by $7 billion, $1.4 trillion, $1.7 billion, $1.7 trillion, and …
by confoundedinterest17 Preliminary benchmark revision smaller than some had projected Biggest payrolls adjustment in transportation and warehousing Are you surprised that the Biden Administration has been lying about job creation?? Not really since Biden compulsively lies about everything. Including his corruption. US job growth was probably less robust in the year through March than previously …
by confoundedinterest17 Welcome to why I am always dubious about Federally-reported economic numbers, like GDP. GDP was adjusted up to 2% QoQ for Q1. But what was the reason for the dramatic revision? Net trade was the biggest change: exports were revised from 0.58% to 0.86%, while imports subtracted only -0.28% from the bottom line …
by confoundedinterest17 Under Biden, the US economy is a land of confusion. Under Biden’s Reign of Error, Mortgage Purchase Demand is down -44%, Refi Demand is down -87%, and Mortgage Rates are UP 106%. Mortgage applications (demand) decreased 3.7 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for …
I was gonna put some into the CD. 3.75 apr. Just today they pulled that offer from the website. This is not looking good folks. AC