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3.6%,

GDP grew 1.4%, deflator 3.6% — most of the “growth” is inflation. Productivity is terrible. Forget shutdown excuses. PCE spikes, GDP crashes 68% sequentially — stagflation alert

February 20, 2026 4:00 pm

For those arguing the GDP data "isn't that bad" due to the gov't shutdown, the ACTUAL data DISAGREES. The GDP Deflator came in at 3.6% – meaning most of the 1.4% GDP was inflation, NOT real growth. Forget the shutdown …

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Categories Markets Leave a comment

Consumer Prices Rise 3% YoY, Shelter Rises 3.6% YoY (US Treasury Yield Curve Remains Upward Sloping 3Y-30Y)

October 27, 2025 9:38 pm

by confoundedinterest17 Good news! Consumer prices rose only 3% YoY. Lower than the growth in M2 Money of 4.66% YoY and Federal government spending of 7.8% YoY. While consumer prices rose only 3% YoY, housing (shelter) rose 3.65 YoY. The …

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Categories Markets Leave a comment

US Inflation Headline CPI Rose 0.4% MoM, 2.9% YoY In August (Shelter UP 3.6% YoY)

September 11, 2025 9:23 pmSeptember 11, 2025 11:38 am

by confoundedinterest17 According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), headline inflation rose 0.4% MoM and 2.9% YoY in August. Shelter (housing) is up 3.6% YoY. Gimme (expensive) shelter! Of course, Federal government spending is the source of inflation. Notice the lag …

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Categories Markets Leave a comment

Asia’s deflation wave is real. China’s PPI down 3.6%. Japan softens. ASEAN flooded with cheap goods. The second phase has begun.

July 14, 2025 6:16 amJuly 13, 2025 6:56 pm

Asia’s deflation wave is no longer a theory. It’s a measurable shift. In June 2025, China’s producer price index dropped 3.6% year over year. That marks the sharpest contraction since July 2023 and extends the deflation streak to 33 consecutive …

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Categories Heads Up Leave a comment

Lehman’s first-day NASDAQ loss of 3.6% now dwarfed by current market drop… It is just starting?

April 3, 2025 8:59 pm

https://www.cnbc.com/2009/09/14/the-financial-crisis-this-dayone-year-ago-sept-15-2008.html HOLY FUCK. This is worse than the nuclear option:https://t.co/bYpi0vI8Zl The good news is that I think the Fed will be cutting rates by next week when markets go into Trump Lehman mode this week. EM currency crisis on deck. …

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Categories Heads Up Leave a comment

Back In Red! Factory Order Plunge -3.6% In October, Largest Drop Since COVID Lockdowns

December 4, 2023 10:55 am

by confoundedinterest17 US factory orders are back in red. Factory orders tumbled even more than expected, down 3.6% MoM – the biggest drop since the COVID lockdowns (April 2020). September was also revised lower (making October’s decline even worse) from +2.8% MoM to …

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Categories Markets Leave a comment

Grocery prices rise 3.6%, food prices 4.9%, surpassing overall 3.2% increase of consumer prices

August 15, 2023 9:46 pm

Grocery prices rose 3.6% for the year, higher than the overall 3.2% increase of consumer prices, per CNN. Food altogether, including menu prices, went up 4.9%. — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) August 15, 2023 Food and Gas Prices Continue to Rise, Putting …

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