Nick Gerli: Rents in hard-hit cities like Austin, Las Vegas, and Phoenix are down 6% in the last year, with taxes, insurance, and interest costs rising. This could lead to forced selling in H2 2023.

Rents are dropping. 📉 Hardest-hit cities include Austin, Las Vegas, and Phoenix, where rental rates are down -6% over the last year. Meanwhile – taxes, insurance, and interest costs are up significantly. Cocktail that could mean forced selling in H2 2023. pic.twitter.com/nKiLmPRW0V — Nick Gerli (@nickgerli1) July 4, 2023 “Landlords who purchased in the last …

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Banks would lose $541 billion in ‘hard landing’ contingency… Most investors believe there will be no recession in 2023… Retail has been wonderful exit liquidity for big players.

Banks would lose $541 billion in ‘hard landing’ contingency: Fed The Federal Reserve said Thursday that banks are well capitalized enough to endure a severe recession but stand to lose $541 billion if the economy heads south. The findings came from the Fed’s annual stress test of the banking sector, which is based on major …

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Bidenomics?? US Gross Domestic Income Drops -1.8% QoQ For Q1 2023, REAL GDI At -0.8% QoQ (US Added 12.53M Jobs After April 2020 (Trump) While Bidenomics Took 2 1/2 years To Add 12.56M Jobs)

by confoundedinterest17 Bidenomics is a great marketing ploy where you have out of control Federal spending and magically decide to reopen the economy and school after Covid and focus only on jobs added after Biden was selected President and ignore the jobs added during Trump. Real gross domestic income (GDI) is a measure of the incomes …

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U.S. Representative Josh Gottheimer’s top five most well-timed stock purchases in 2023.

Gottheimer purchased Nvidia stock, $NVDA, on March 6th. The stock has risen 89% since. pic.twitter.com/TxnvspCWcw — Quiver Quantitative (@QuiverQuant) June 6, 2023 Gottheimer purchased MongoDB stock, $MDB, on February 13th. The stock has risen 82% since. pic.twitter.com/Uy4G4Lljvj — Quiver Quantitative (@QuiverQuant) June 6, 2023 Gottheimer purchased AMD stock, $AMD, on February 13th. The stock has …

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Balaji: In 2008, the banks were too big to fail. In 2023, the stats are too fake to tell.

TOO FAKE TO TELL?In 2008, the banks were too big to fail.In 2023, the stats are too fake to tell. But here's why @DavidSacks may be onto something. – They "beat" expectations 14 months in a row[1]– They admit using statistical models to augment[2]– They have a 600k… https://t.co/TnrWTTEsk6 pic.twitter.com/c2ebm3Axbh — Balaji (@balajis) June 3, …

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CCLF reset effective July 1, 2023. “All members are reminded that CCLF requirement provided by MBSD will be incorporated into such Member’s liquidity planning.”

by Dismal-Jellyfish https://www.dtcc.com/-/media/Files/pdf/2023/6/1/MBS1227-23.pdf This follows up on changes to the reset date and Look-Back Period: What is the Capped Contingency Liquidity Facility (“CCLF®”)? On April 25, 2017, the Commission approved FICC’s adoption of the Clearing Agency Liquidity Risk Management Framework (‘‘Framework’’), which broadly describes FICC’s liquidity risk management strategy and objective to maintain sufficient liquid …

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Barclays offered and sold $17.7 billion in securities, SEC requests an extension.

by Dismal-Jellyfish https://www.sec.gov/litigation/admin/2023/34-97632.pdf Source: https://www.sec.gov/litigation/admin/2023/34-97632.pdf In the Order, the Commission found that BBPLC failed to put into place any internal control around the real-time tracking of securities being offered or sold off of its Commission-registered shelf registration statements. As a result of this failure, between June 26, 2019 and March 9, 2022, BBPLC offered and sold an …

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High Probability Recession Hits U.S. in Late 2023

  Top Chart: Over the past +50 years, the inversions of the 50 day SMA of the 10 year treasury rates minus the 50 day SMA of the 3 month treasury rates have all preceded the start of a U.S. recession (there have been no false indicators or exceptions to this rule). The 8 recessions …

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Why printer is back on… 2023 is worse than 2008 in terms of deposits held by failed banks.

Total deposits across all banks are much higher now, $17.6t now vs $6.7t in 2008. https://wolfstreet.com/2023/03/16/fed-loaned-160-billion-to-banks-and-142-billion-to-fdic-but-qt-related-roll-off-continued/ In 2008 banks had trouble because they were holding lots of mortgages and MBSs and their value went down a lot, losing them ton of money, forcing liquidation. In 2022, old TBills value went down a lot due to …

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