Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Between prices rising faster than earnings and now higher interest rates drastically pushing up borrowing costs, the typical American family has gotten crushed financially – it's the equivalent of knocking about $7,800 off their annual income, compared to Jan '21: pic.twitter.com/VoUU3aRyqr — E.J. Antoni, Ph.D. (@RealEJAntoni) June 12, 2024 Inflation Impact: Inflation has indeed surged, …
Revenue Declined Y/Y Price to sales ratio: 12.43x Negative margins for 5 years straight 40.25% of their revenue comes from Data centers Yet, net revenue is down since 2022. Flat since 2021 60B market cap 1B in Revenue Negative cash flow https://twitter.com/ClaytonS537144/status/1797312636352451013 https://twitter.com/ClaytonS537144/status/1797318530872025551
https://twitter.com/leadlagreport/status/1789817492648419406 US technology stock prices are ~2x larger relative to the S&P 500, the most ever. Even more than in the Dot-com bubble However, what do their valuations look like? Are the US tech stocks in a bubble again? The full analysis is under the below link👇https://t.co/KRQ2mT0oVC — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) May 13, 2024 …
https://twitter.com/Willhappen411/status/1778727446147207511 Energy prices, particularly the cost of electricity, have skyrocketed since President Biden took office, outpacing inflation and putting a dent in Americans’ wallets. Since January 2021, electricity prices have soared 29.4% — 50% more than overall inflation — rising 13 times faster than the previous seven years, according to a Wall Street Journal analysis of Bureau …
High priced in growth indicates lower future expected returns. For the future, expect low price growth or price contraction if AI isn’t the cash cow the market thinks it is, all while Microsoft remains a highly profitable company that will keep paying it’s dividend. h/t ChampionshipUsed9855
New vehicle inventory is now at the *highest* level since early spring of 2021. Expect incentives to keep rising for most brands. — Car Dealership Guy (@GuyDealership) December 23, 2023 Updated market day supply for NEW vehicles, major markets.Compared to October numbers (just over 2months):Chevrolet, Nissan, Subaru, Kia almost 50% increase in MDS, and Dodge …
by confoundedinterest17 The Federal Reserve reminds me of The Stones’ song “Tumbling Dice.” Why? The Fed can’t tell if inflation is cooling or re-accelerating. Hence, they are just rolling dice. Let’s start with mortgage rates, a critical component of the housing and CRE markets. Mortgage rates remain up 163% since 2021, not great for housing affordability. Despite …
Global Supply Chains continue to function well and are no longer a valid excuse justifying above-average inflation. pic.twitter.com/Tt2AT8AxG6 — Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) October 24, 2023
Fastest Declining US Housing Markets (1-Year Drop): 1. Austin, TX: -11.6%2. Boise, ID: -8.6%3. New Orleans, LA: -8.0%4. Lake Charles, LA: -8.0%5. Phoenix, AZ: -7.0%6. Las Vegas, NV: -7.0%7. Provo, UT: -6.7%8. Reno, NV: -5.7%9. Chico, CA: -5.7%10. San Jose, CA: -5.5%… — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) October 22, 2023 As mortgage rates hit 8% …
In 2021, a Tesla employee and a tech industry researcher filed a whistleblower complaint to the SEC with concerns that Elon Musk’s car company may have violated securities law and flouted accounting standards. The complaint contained detailed allegations about Tesla’s financials and business practices, including that it improperly categorized repairs and had poor control over …
Step back for perspective. Aside from Nvidia, this AI rally is far weaker than the one in 2021. And consumer sentiment is far weaker as well. pic.twitter.com/RqMQLu6w2z — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) August 28, 2023 Here we see we're tracking last year's August robo rally/robo crash very closely. Ahead of schedule. pic.twitter.com/V3qdPgiswW — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) August 28, …
by Dismal-Jellyfish https://www.finra.org/sites/default/files/fda_documents/2020067139101%20Instinet%2C%20LLC%2C%20CRD%207897%20AWC%20gg.pdf STILL NOT COMPLETE!!! Wut Mean?: Instinet was mandated to start reporting order data to the CAT Central Repository from June 22, 2020. Instinet hired a third-party vendor for CAT reporting, but their internal data specifications were inadequate for proper CAT-format reporting. In June 2020, Instinet informed FINRA that they foresaw CAT reporting …
⚠️CHINESE PROPERTY GIANT EVERGRANDE BANKRUPT – NY COURT — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) August 17, 2023 WOW!CHINA’S SECOND LARGEST PROPERTY DEVELOPER #EVERGRANDE HAS JUST FILED FOR BANKRUPTCY Chapter 15 bankruptcy protection (NY) pic.twitter.com/2x9mPowevW — jeroen blokland (@jsblokland) August 17, 2023 👀 pic.twitter.com/M2Ge4Cxn36 — Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA (@GRDecter) August 17, 2023
Democrats, Republicans, Liberals, far left or right, white or black, male or female, rich or poor, this is what I am seeing coming out of the circulatory system during the embalming process since early 2021. In the prior 20 years I don’t recall ever seeing this before. Something is causing this problem and I think …
https://twitter.com/Barchart/status/1690117530449235968 https://twitter.com/SuburbanDrone/status/1690096400414003200 https://twitter.com/SuburbanDrone/status/1690091076390920193
The only question on the table is can "stocks" rally without the Tech sector. The answer is they didn't last time. Here we see the Dow peaked about a month after Tech stocks in 2021. And next week is a month this time around. pic.twitter.com/27lgnRIIn2 — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) August 11, 2023 The meme stock rally …
US job openings fell in June to the lowest level since April 2021, suggesting some softening in demand for workers in an otherwise resilient labor market. pic.twitter.com/fXipTISecT — Cheddar Flow (@CheddarFlow) August 1, 2023
by confoundedinterest17 Biden loves to brag about Bidenomics, or should I say selective stats like the labor market. But the mortgage market hurts so bad. Mortgage applications decreased 1.8 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending July 21, 2023. The Market …
by confoundedinterest17 Jared Bernstein was VP Joe Biden’s former Chief Economist and is now chair of the United States Council of Economic Advisers. Pretty impressive! Except that Bernstein is not really an economist. He has a PhD in social welfare from Columbia University. In other words, Bernstein is a Progressive Marxist cheerleader, not a real …
Seems like you are the problem if you cant address and correct your number priority in 20 years. https://twitter.com/thekevindalton/status/1675250179220574208?s=46&t=z4S3SbHryFIVFQgblrJk4Q And remember, when was in charge of San Fran he gave the homeless bus tickets to go out of town, to any town but his. h/t labbond
Former BlackRock Exec, Ed Dowd, says younger people began dying at a higher rate than older people in 2021, according to excess mortality data and the data shows the trend seems to be continuing. Why is this not front page news in the US?pic.twitter.com/sYWQyhXz4x — TexasLindsay™ (@TexasLindsay) June 12, 2023 h/t MonkeyWrangler
First-time jobless claims rose sharply last week in a potential sign that the labor market is softening up after more than a year of interest rate hikes. Initial filings for unemployment benefits totaled a seasonally adjusted 261,000 for the week ended June 3, an increase of 28,000 from the upwardly revised level of the previous …
