20-year Archives - Citizen Watch Report

20-year yield hits 4.97%, stocks face a cap, but credit markets are not pricing a recession yet. United Airlines plans for oil hitting $175 a barrel and staying above $100 next year.

March 24, 2026 9:01 pm

United Airlines plans for oil hitting $175 a barrel and staying above $100 next year as industry faces worst shock since COVID The U.S.-Israel war on Iran has delivered the biggest disruption to the airline industry since the COVID-19 pandemic, and United is bracing for a future where oil prices remain high through 2027. …

U.S. 20-year Treasuries down 38% since 2020. Largest collapse in a century, even Volcker era pales. The money supply just hit an all time high and we’re all talking about easing.

August 26, 2025 9:42 pm

Are U.S. Treasuries finally as risky as stocks? First, what is a Treasury? When you buy a U.S. Treasury bond, you’re lending money to the government. They promise to pay you interest (called a coupon) and then return your money when the bond matures. Safe, right? Except prices can swing if yields change. — StockMarket.News …

Stocks drop fast after disastrous 20-year bond auction. Yields spike to 5.1%. Credit market flashing red screaming for relief

May 21, 2025 1:34 pm

The 20-year U.S. Treasury bond auction took place today, May 21, 2025, and the results were troubling. Investors showed weak demand, forcing yields higher and triggering a broad selloff in financial markets. The 20-year yield surged to 5.047%, up from 4.810% in the previous auction, signaling growing concerns about the government’s ability to finance its …

Bond markets rattled across continents: Japan 20-year auction flops, German 5-year sale barely fills lowest demand in over a year

April 15, 2025 7:14 pmApril 15, 2025 3:05 pm

Bond shockwave slamming global markets: Japan 20-Yr Bond Sale Draws Weakest Demand Ratio Since Dec 2023 Oversubscription rate for a 5-year German debt sale lowest since March 2023. — zerohedge (@zerohedge) April 15, 2025 Japan 30-year bond yields spike signaling shift in global bond stability and risk… Japan’s 30-year bond yield just spiked to 2.798%, …

The 20-year Treasury Yield Topped 5% Wednesday For The First Time Since October 2023 -One of The Highest Yield Since 2007

January 12, 2025 10:44 pm

by Ok_Significance_4008 A high 20-year Treasury yield of 5% can negatively impact the stock market in several ways: Increased borrowing costs: Higher yields make borrowing more expensive for companies, impacting their profitability and potentially slowing down economic growth. This can reduce investor confidence and negatively impact stock prices. Reduced attractiveness of stocks: When Treasury yields rise, they …

94% of active fund managers do not beat the market. Even Warren Buffett’s Berkshire has now underperformed the S&P 500 over a 20-year period.

January 10, 2024 9:40 pm

by nobjos Politicians beat the S&P, so there’s that…

China’s economy at a critical juncture: Q3 growth at 4.9%, Real Estate Market down 81% (2021-2022) and 64% (2023), Shanghai Composite tests 20-year ‘Fate Line.’

December 8, 2023 7:12 am

China’s economy is teetering at a “critical stage,” expanding a modest 4.9% in Q3, below the five percent target. The aftermath of draconian Covid measures persists despite their removal in 2022. Surprisingly, an economic model reliant on debt-fueled construction faces challenges. Ghost cities, idle airports, and vacant skyscrapers showcase the limitations of this approach. China’s …