1980s

Consumer pessimism at current levels last showed up during recessions like 2008 and the early 1980s. The gap between sentiment and economic data also looks like a typical pre-recession signal.

American consumers have NEVER been this pessimistic about the economy: The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 49.8 in April, the lowest reading EVER in over 70 years of polling, with declines occurring across all income levels, ages, and political affiliations. This comes as gasoline prices posted the largest monthly jump in pump …

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It’s hard to get excited about the rally in equities when Dow Transports look like this. The Conference Board Leading Indicators dropped to the lowest since the 1980s.

It’s hard to get excited about the rally in equities when Dow Transports look like this. 👇🏼 pic.twitter.com/fVnd7juFbL — Kalani o Māui (@MauiBoyMacro) April 25, 2025 🚨US bankruptcies are rising as if there is a CRISIS: 188 US large companies declared bankruptcy in Q1 2025, the most in 15 YEARS. This is up 35% from …

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Dollar’s surge threatens Asia’s markets, mirroring 1980s Latin American crisis. S&P 500’s five-day decline mirrors 2022 and 1987 market crashes.

pic.twitter.com/BmgN8RzSM3 — Jack Krzewinski (@JackKrzewinski) January 2, 2025 "The relentless surge of the U.S. dollar is primed to cut a swath of carnage through Asia’s asset markets, leaving economic strain in its wake. The dollar wrecking ball similar wreaked havoc with Latam currencies in the 1980s… Historically, when the dollar flexes its muscle,… pic.twitter.com/y9Sc5afXM0 — …

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Shelter CPI increased 5.2%. That’s the 29th consecutive month above 5%, the longest period of elevated housing inflation since the early 1980s.

The Shelter Consumer Price Index (CPI) has indeed increased by 5.2%, marking the 29th consecutive month of housing inflation above 5%. This is the longest period of elevated housing inflation since the early 1980s. Rising shelter costs continue to be a significant factor in overall inflation, impacting affordability for many households. h/t Perfect_Alarm_2141

US Economy Slowing Like Biden, Down To 1.7% (According To Hot ‘Lanta Fed), Mortgage Payment As % Of Income Near Highest Since Early 1980s

by confoundedinterest17 Hot ‘Lanta! Or perhaps COLD ‘Lanta! And despite what Biden says, thiere isn’t an economic revival. Yes. everyone can see the mental decline in President Biden and he should be in a nursing home. While he vows to run for President against Donald Trump, can you imagine what he will be like in 2 years? …

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For the 38th consecutive month, CPI came in above 3%. That’s the longest period of high inflation since the late 1980s to early 1990s.

For the 38th consecutive month, CPI came in above 3%. That’s the longest period of high inflation since the late 1980s to early 1990s. byu/Perfect_Alarm_2141 ineconomicCollapse The Consumer Price Index (CPI) has been on the rise. As of April 2024, the CPI in the United States has been consistently above 3% for 38 consecutive months. …

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Japan’s Currency Hasn’t Traded Here Since the Late 1980s!

By Graham Summers, MBA Japan’s currency is now collapsing. Japan’s central bank, the Bank of Japan (or BoJ for short) is currently engaged in an open-ended Quantitative Easing (QE) program. In its simplest rendering, the BoJ starts buying the 10-Year Japanese Government Bond any time that bond’s yield rises to 1% or higher. It’s possibly the boldest …

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US recession probability showing highest level since 1980’s for May ’24

by marketsimulator Source: https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/capital_markets/ycfaq.html#/overview The yield curve as a leading indicator uses the 10y-3mo value to predict the probability of recession. July report came out last week and May ’24 is higher than any time in the last 40 years at 70.85%. Estimates currently go through July ’24. This is not the fed’s official prediction but …

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Recession probability reaches highest since 1980s.

Warning: The probability of a recession is at its highest level since the early 1980s pic.twitter.com/1XmuWtjmdW — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) July 12, 2023 Business inventories are a leading indicator of inflation A continued decline in inventories indicates lower inflation However, sharp drops have coincided with a recession since 1995 pic.twitter.com/IGHSrhJoF8 — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) July …

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Recession probability reaches 1980s levels

“We’re now at an average 62% chance of a recession by May 2024” The probability of a recession has skyrocketed to levels last seen in the 1980s We’re now at an average 62% chance of a recession by May 2024 pic.twitter.com/gDXIzvtP56 — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) June 28, 2023 ‘Greatest Economic Reset In Our Lifetime’ Is …

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