Mario Nawfal flips hard, admits he no longer believes the war is over.

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Kinda wild seeing Nawfal completely flip tone today. He spent weeks talking like some truce was right around the corner, now suddenly he’s posting that the Gulf situation looks like “permanent war” territory after the Saudi airspace stuff.

People in the replies noticed it fast because he was sounding way more hopeful before this.

Mario Nawfal

@MarioNawfal
UPDATE: I NO LONGER STAND WITH THIS STATEMENT

I know I’ve been saying the war is over since Trump made the threats to ‘wipe out Iran’s civilization’, and doubled down since as it became obvious Trump wanted to walk away

But things have changed.

The Iranian demands have gone from reasonable, to almost impossible for Trump to accept

If the latest reports from Iran are true, Iran wants to:

– Not concede on their ballistic missile program and proxy network (fair, expected)

– Control the Strait of Hormuz and charge a fee, as well as ban some countries (maximalist, but workable)

– According to Bloomberg: Reparations (This is impossible for Trump to accept)

– Unfreezing of assets and lifting of sanctions BEFORE any negotiations on nuclear program (That’s according to Iran’s Fars. If true, that would be a deal breaker, as logically the lifting of sanctions was always a concession linked to the nuclear program, similar to the JCPOA)

If the above reports are true, then the likelihood of war is even higher than 50%. However it’s impossible to know what Iran’s actual stance is, and which “conditions” are throw away terms.

Either way, things are not looking good at all.