“US consumers’ outlook on their longer-term financial situation has deteriorated to the worst level in over a decade.”
#recession … #GFC2 US #Consumer edition
Just a "vibecession", right? 🙃 https://t.co/JkqRlanAj8
— Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) October 14, 2024
Flows turned negative for HY
BofA pic.twitter.com/7sVRTRIzyx
— Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) October 14, 2024
JUST IN: OPEC has cut global oil demand growth forecasts for a third month
— unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) October 14, 2024
Negative EPS guidance by sector.
via @FactSet pic.twitter.com/kZzfI36QlC
— Daily Chartbook (@dailychartbook) October 14, 2024
The emergency BTFP loans made to the banks were up to 12 month duration, but the recent runoff only makes sense if you assume the 2nd wave was 10 months.
If all the remaining BTFP is 10 months, then the liquidity is completely gone in November 2024. https://t.co/oZixHjNdUr pic.twitter.com/C4asVxOMXW
— Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) October 13, 2024
Tough labor market conditions continue. Add in H1Bs & 10 million new laborers to the competition pool & it’s brutal for American workers. pic.twitter.com/iQP04l7Xig
— Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) October 14, 2024
“It’s a bull market in bankruptcies.
Q2 data on chapter 11 bankruptcy filings shows 2,462 defaults among U.S. corporations, which is the highest level since 2012.
The default rate began moving steadily higher following the start of the Fed’s rate hiking campaign in Q1 2022.
Monetary policy acts with a lag, and U.S. corporations are now feeling the full brunt of higher borrowing costs.
Likewise, it will likely take many months and a series of additional rate cuts before the Fed’s shift to an easier monetary policy offers any relief.
While the stock market seems unconcerned for now, surging default rates typically occur closer to the end of a bull market rather than the beginning.”
It's a bull market in bankruptcies.
Q2 data on chapter 11 bankruptcy filings shows 2,462 defaults among U.S. corporations, which is the highest level since 2012.
The default rate began moving steadily higher following the start of the Fed’s rate hiking campaign in Q1 2022.… pic.twitter.com/OY5d8lsGEN
— Porter Stansberry (@porterstansb) October 14, 2024