Did The US Treasury Yield Curve Predict Trump’s Victory? Mortgage Rates Rising With Rising 10Y Treasury Yield

by
Sharing is Caring!

by confoundedinterest17

Put it where you want it. Trump that is!

The US Treasury yield curve (10Y-2Y CMT) went negative on April 1, 2024. And remains positive.

The US Treasury 10Y-2Y CMT (constant maturity Treasury) peaked locally on March 29, 2024 and then fell, eventually turning negative on April 1, 2024. And remained negative until August 30, 2024 just prior to the election. It looks like the yield curve accurately predicted the election of Trump.

See also  76% of Americans struggle with inflation; 45% have paid a bill late last year, even high earners feel financial pressure rising.

The 10-year Treasury yield is rising with a positive economic outlook under Trump. And with that optimism we see mortgage rates rising too.

See also  Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by a quarter point

The market is feeling comfortable under Trump. Not Harris.

Views: 58

Leave a Comment

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.