Dan Niles says market is topping, his best investment idea right now is cash 👀
— TT3 (@TradingThomas3) December 4, 2025
Niles told CNBC that “my best idea right now is cash”, citing concerns that the market is stretched and vulnerable to a pullback.
Market back to September and October. Grind grind grind, chop chop chop, rotation rotation rotation, puts getting squeezed dried.
— TT3 (@TradingThomas3) December 3, 2025
The Fed will be forced to start QE very soon.
According to most analysts, it will as early as Q1 2026.
But here’s why this QE will be very different:
1. The pace of QE will be very slow
The balance sheet is expected to increase by about $20bn per month…
Which is tiny compared to the $800bn per month in 2020.
2. The type of QE will be different
The Fed will be buying treasury bills, not treasury coupons.
– Buying treasury coupons = real QE
– Buying treasury bills = slow QE
So, here’s the main takeaway:
The overall direct effect on risk asset markets from this QE will be minimal.
The Fed will be forced to start QE very soon.
According to most analysts, it will as early as Q1 2026.
But here's why this QE will be very different:
1. The pace of QE will be very slow
The balance sheet is expected to increase by about $20bn per month…
Which is tiny… pic.twitter.com/bH5pdikWFf
— Milk Road Macro (@MilkRoadMacro) December 3, 2025
Always a good sign👀
byu/No_Negotiation_8733 inwallstreetbets