The Cook Political Report on Monday shifted the Pennsylvania Senate race into the “toss-up” category and moved the Nebraska Senate contest from likely to “lean Republican” with just 15 days until the November election.
With Pennsylvania shifting to the right from “lean Democrat,” three of the “blue wall” states are now toss-ups.
Sen. Bob Casey (D-Pa.) is looking to nab a fourth term in office over Republican David McCormick, who has narrowed the gap to inside the margin of error.
According to Cook, McCormick’s closing of the gap and Casey’s latest ad showing that he sides with former President Trump on trade and tariffs are two of the main reasons behind the shift.
“While public polling in the Keystone State still shows Democratic Sen. Bob Casey with a slight lead, both Republican and Democratic internal polls show this is now a margin-of-error race, with Casey holding a slim, statistically insignificant lead of between one and two points,” the Cook Political Report’s Jessica Taylor wrote.
“Though many of the fundamentals may still very slightly favor Casey, this race is now close enough that it belongs more in the Toss Up column than in Lean Democrat alongside Arizona and Nevada, which have clearly become tougher lifts for the GOP,” she said.
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