Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Real-time market analysis with charts, signals, and coverage of key financial and geopolitical developments.
Prior to the 1990s, stock prices would decline before drops in earnings. At times, stock prices would anticipate a decline in earnings that would not materialize. But prices would generally lead earnings which slightly led the economy. pic.twitter.com/UcabAxQr6F — Eric Basmajian (@EPBResearch) January 14, 2025 Even in the mid-cycle slowdown of 2016, earnings declined for …
Senators getting absolutely roasted for hypocrisy on divorce, cheating and drinking on the job. byu/TanviVats inAskThe_Donald
When starting to invest, many people often find themselves caught in the mindset of trying to make money quickly. This approach inevitably leads to risky and regrettable decisions that can wipe out a portfolio. Impulsive moves are often driven by the psychological pressure to “fix” financial situations. Intellectually, it is easy to understand that “being …
Ben Affleck Gets A Visit From the FBI as Wildfires Rage Nearby On Sunday, law enforcement officers, including individuals identified as FBI agents and deputies from the Los Angeles County Sheriff’s Department, visited the Brentwood home of actor and filmmaker Ben Affleck. The visit occurred as nearby Pacific Palisades continued to battle devastating wildfires. Witnesses …
Bannon’s attorney, Arthur Aidala, discusses his case with Sid Rosenberg.@ArthurAidala: The crazy part is, with everything going on in Manhattan—vagrants, robberies, subways—I walked into court, and four of the most senior prosecutors are on this nonviolent financial fraud case… pic.twitter.com/WZeTCeuAtT — Bannon’s WarRoom (@Bannons_WarRoom) January 15, 2025
‘The President-elect broke centuries of precedent when he invited world leaders to attend next week’s historic swearing-in ceremony. Italian Prime Minister Georgia Meloni, Argentinian President Javier Milei, El Salvador President Nayib Bukele and Hungarian President Viktor Orban have all been invited to the showpiece event on January 20. Reform UK leader Nigel Farage, a friend …
Thinks it’s not true, it was filmed with no editing for her OF.
And the PM is now hinting at expropriating inherited property!https://t.co/oc1IqMIVz5 https://t.co/kUDYNhj8Tu — Luis Cuende (@luisc) January 14, 2025
Americans are still puzzled over the origins of many drone sightings, particularly on the east coast, throughout December. Rep. Tim Burchett, R-Tenn., says the government and media are downplaying the issue and believes China was waiting to see what the U.S. reaction would be.
Tulsi Gabbard has just pulled an about face… flip flopping on her position the warrantless wiretapping of Americans. According to reports this week Gabbard, who once as a member of Congress pushed to repeal Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act, now says she’ll support it.
Someone just bought $2.8M worth of $MSTR calls that have a 1,080 strike… It is trading at 350 right now pic.twitter.com/pnMxTYt5cE — Cheddar Flow (@CheddarFlow) January 14, 2025
Where were the Bond Vigilantes during the Biden Administration? Now that it's over, they suddenly blame Trump while ignoring Yellen, Brainard, and Biden's embrace of MMT and the idea that deficits don’t matter. We’re drowning in debt at levels reminiscent of a world war! It’s… — James E. Thorne (@DrJStrategy) January 14, 2025 If you're …
by AnonymousTimewaster Is now the time to start buying UK Gilts? With the Bank of England ramping up its Quantitative Tightening (QT) program, the dynamics around UK gilts are becoming increasingly intriguing. The BofE’s aggressive offloading of bonds has not only driven up yields but also sparked debate about its impact on the cost of …
Yikes. So how can Japan keep their 10 year bond yield at 1.1% with their 30 year bond ripping higher? Their 2 year bond yield is .6% None of this seems sustainable Their currency will get trashed. https://t.co/zRpxIojQl6 — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) January 15, 2025 And yet isn’t enough… JGB 30Y yield now rising to …
Here's one of my objective measures to value #gold; it’s undervalued. Like 1974 & 1980, gold won’t be overvalued until red line crosses blue line, which is presently $10,902 (assumes #CentralBanks have in their vaults the gold they claim to own; so fair value probably higher). pic.twitter.com/1HCgJmL2ni — James Turk (@FGMR) January 14, 2025 Fair …
Government spending is now half of the economy in most of the developed world…. pic.twitter.com/PoEfWCuf7X — The Long View (@HayekAndKeynes) January 15, 2025 Fiat currency isn’t just a tool for inflation – it’s a weapon for endless wars. Without it, governments couldn’t fund trillion-dollar conflicts without your consent. — GoldSilver HQ (@GoldSilverHQ) January 15, 2025 …
Huh? What? AOC goes on a rant against a bill banning males from competing in girl's sports and claims “women are bleeding out in parking lots across the country.” What?? Why does AOC want boys to beat up girls?? pic.twitter.com/dveTSvy0Ur — Libs of TikTok (@libsoftiktok) January 14, 2025
He literally just said what we think he said and I can't believe how openly just he said it. Watch out Trump. They're not hiding their plans. — Someone Important (@justimportant2) January 15, 2025
This is so messed up https://t.co/PVKdHZcMRS — Elon Musk (@elonmusk) January 15, 2025
Russian sanctions triggered more than a surge in oil prices. Financial markets near-panicked bought in near-term futures contracts. While the jump in energy is already being called an huge inflation risk, it isn’t even close. On the contrary, oil spikes always end a certain way.
by David Haggith There is an old joke that someone was touring heaven and asked St. Peter (definitely not Peter Navarro) why one room had an endless wall covered with clocks. “Oh, those are meters,” Said the venerable saint. “There is one for each person living, and anytime that person lies, the meter moves ahead …
Dollar at highest level since 2022 against major currencies. byu/SunAdvanced7940 inwallstreetbets
US Bank has recently launched the US Bank Smartly Visa Signature Card, an enticing option for those who maintain a high balance in their accounts. This card promises substantial rewards, offering up to 4% cash back on all purchases for customers who keep a qualifying balance of $100,000 or more. This innovative approach is part …
by confoundedinterest17 The latest jobs report was like the Cornell Hurd song, “It’s just the whiskey talking.” Except that this time it’s just the Biden Administration talking … and their jobs reports have been corrected/revised repeatedly. The latest jobs report saw Nonfarm Payrolls rise by 256k and mortgage rates (conforming) rose above 7%. But what happens when …
WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. (AP) — Former first lady Michelle Obama will skip the inauguration of President-elect Donald Trump, the second time in two weeks that she is not attending a gathering of former U.S. leaders and their spouses, but former Presidents Barack Obama, George W. Bush and Bill Clinton will be there. Laura Bush …
🇺🇸 CPI FORECAST: Zero firms on Wall Street are expecting a cooler inflation print tomorrow. 📈 $SPY pic.twitter.com/O8Y7LJru2U — LuxAlgo (@LuxAlgo) January 14, 2025
Zuckerberg is successfull businessman, he is not moved by moral high ground or betterment of the society but he is very good at reading the room. He will make choices only based on what would make him more money. — Risa 🇺🇸 (@a8u8s8t8i8n) January 14, 2025 h/t Flight ER Doc
Ackman is cooking in 2025 already Fannie Mae $FNMA is up 28% today Freddie Mac $FMCC is up 21% today https://t.co/b2cpCOyyNw pic.twitter.com/6gVGIYCAPy — Michael Burry Stock Tracker ♟ (@burrytracker) January 14, 2025 I believe the government will release $FNMA and $FRCC within the next couple of years. This is long overdue. Trump tried to do …
Looks like the TOP is in for stocks for the foreseeable future: https://t.co/mO4EAthnNs — Sold At The Top (@soldatthetop) January 14, 2025 This is the worst start to a fiscal year EVER:– Spending is up 10.9%– Receipts are down 2.2%– FYTD deficit up 39.4% at $711 billionThey're handing Trump a ticking time bomb… pic.twitter.com/q1DYC1Ep5q — …
Not really shocking at all if you’ve been paying attention. Scary? Yes Shocking? No