Heads Up

The sharpest signals, deepst dives and must-read reports from Citizen Watch Report.

Focusing only on GDP and inflation misses the crucial role of unemployment in triggering market volatility and spread widening.

While GDP and inflation are critical indicators of economic health, unemployment also plays a significant role in market dynamics. High unemployment can lead to decreased consumer spending, which in turn affects corporate earnings and investor confidence. This can trigger market volatility and spread widening as investors seek safer assets. Q2 2007 & July stock outlook: …

READ MORE

Media’s defense of Harris: “VP Harris has more experience than Trump and Vance but she had nothing to with anything that happened in the last four years.”

MATTHEW CONTINETTI: The Biden-Harris Mental Gymnastics. Harris last faced serious opposition in 2010, when she barely won the race for state attorney general in navy-blue California. Her 2020 presidential campaign collapsed before Iowa. She has no political base, no signature issue, is not part of a movement, and is best known for her word salads and very online …

READ MORE

At an average annual inflation rate of 4%, our purchasing power would decrease by over 45% over the next 15 years.

2024 current annualized Fed inflation PCE Gauge is at 3.6%. In the previous 3 years, 23: 3.6% 22: 5.5% 21: 5.8% Let’s call it 4% inflation average, that means at the current rate we lose -50% in purchasing power in another 15 years. Good luck! pic.twitter.com/iCHdFqUFlu — The Punisher (of Wall ST) (@GregCrennan) July 26, …

READ MORE

Elon Musk’s child Xavier aka “Vivian” has responded after Musk said his son was “dead” thanks to the woke mind virus

JUST IN: Elon Musk's child Xavier aka "Vivian" has responded after Musk said his son was "dead" thanks to the woke mind virus. Musk said he vowed to "destroy the woke mind virus" after he was tricked into signing papers for puberty blockers. Xavier, now known as "Vivian"… pic.twitter.com/cgNbykOpsP — Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) July 25, …

READ MORE

Barack and Michelle Obama endorse Kamala Harris for President in scripted phone call. Made for video moment, pre-planned with cameras. ‘We are gonna have some fun with this.’

She must’ve agreed to his terms – that he’s actually the boss and she does as she’s told 🔵 BARACK AND MICHELLE OBAMA ENDORSE HARRIS IN VIDEO OF LIVE CALL Full Story → https://t.co/K0j1aCpgdI Former President Barack Obama and his wife Michelle endorsed Kamala Harris' bid for president on Friday in a roughly one-minute long …

READ MORE

BREAKING: Opening-Day Olympics Massive Sabotage Attack on France’s High-Speed Railway. Airports now Closing

BREAKING: Massive sabotage attack against France’s high-speed railway network on the opening day of the Paris Olympics. Arson attacks against critical infrastructure in several places and a major hacking attack. Thousands of passengers are stranded across the country. Russia? pic.twitter.com/XgdJlrRdeF — Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) July 26, 2024   There has been a significant sabotage attack …

READ MORE

Check the list of 30 most recent polls. Emerson Poll | Trump still leads in most swing states. Trump leads Harris 48-47 in nationwide poll.

https://www.racetothewh.com/president/polls https://emersoncollegepolling.com/july-2024-swing-state-polls-harris-trails-trump-in-arizona-georgia-michigan-pennsylvania-tied-in-wisconsin/ In a survey taken after President Biden stepped aside, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are locked in a tight race separated by a single percentage point among likely voters. Vice President Kamala Harris begins a 103-day sprint for the presidency in a virtual tie with former President Donald J. Trump, according to the …

READ MORE

Sunspot Cycle Shows a Big Upturn for Unemployment

by Tom McClellan A lot of people are going to resist accepting the message of this week’s chart, but I am going to show it anyway.  There is a strong positive correlation between the US unemployment rate and the monthly sunspot count.  The trick is that I am using a 36-month forward offset in the …

READ MORE

Homebuilder Inventory of Started But Unsold Homes Is the Highest Since 2008

by Mike Shedlock The homebuilders’ inventory of started but unsold homes is steeply rising as sales drop. It will take price cuts to clear inventory. Data from census department, chart by Mish New Residential Construction Yesterday, the Census Department released the New Residential Construction report for June. New Home Sales: Sales of new single-family houses in June …

READ MORE

Kamala’s New Bus is the Weiner Mobile. Netflix to Air Trump Documentary

KAMELa's New bus is the wiener mobile!🤣🤣🤣 pic.twitter.com/gEKIc9UEQb — Lewis Miles (@Maga4liberty) July 25, 2024 BREAKING: GovTrack just DELETED their 2019 page that ranked Kamala Harris as THE MOST LIBERAL of all 100 Senators It would be a shame if we made it viral: pic.twitter.com/Pi6KvngOTh — End Wokeness (@EndWokeness) July 24, 2024 https://twitter.com/_/status/1816513493648216495 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sCcaNjzOxrs Democrats: …

READ MORE

Kamala is the Elite’s Candidate – Get Over it

By Martin Armstrong What I am hearing coming down from the Democratic political elites is, DO NOT CHALLENGE KAMALA. Do so at your peril. She checks more boxes than Hillary and has $100 million to spend. So get over it. Kamala for president. The Democrats do not care that the people were denied any means to …

READ MORE

It’s absolutely wild that someone who believes and talks like this can be so close to the presidency.

It's absolutely wild that someone who believes and talks like this can be so close to the presidency. America rejected this but they installed her anyway. https://t.co/w1dFMeNJOl — MAZE (@mazemoore) July 25, 2024 Just a reminder as to who Kamala Harris really is. A radical leftist. It’s chilling that she’s this close to becoming President. …

READ MORE

An interest rate cut right now won’t save them. There’s a lag effect in both directions. A hard landing is baked in. Americans worry more now than during the Great Recession

https://twitter.com/GayBearRes/status/1816446012275229105 Do you remember how painful the Great Recession was?  2008 and the years immediately following were definitely a very dark chapter in our history, but a new study has actually found that the percentage of Americans that worry they won’t be able to pay their bills is actually higher today than it was back …

READ MORE

Whistleblower tips reveal financial firm misconduct; muzzling employees via non-disclosure agreements may violate federal law.

Probably nothing: pic.twitter.com/WBYHyg5qwQ — Jason Mikula (@mikulaja) July 24, 2024 Law enforcement uncovers serious wrongdoing by financial firms through whistleblower tips. Companies may be breaking federal law if they muzzle employees through nondisclosure agreements that deter whistleblowers from coming forward to law enforcement. https://t.co/YAbp6BV7fU — Rohit Chopra (@ChopraUSA) July 24, 2024

Community note: “The BBC and BBC Verify have long been criticised for alleged bias and often not reporting on news that doesn’t align with their political agenda. BBC Verify is not the ultimate arbiter of truth.”

The BBC is the UK’s most widely used and trusted news outlet – and the world’s most trusted international news provider 📢 The BBC is the UK’s most widely used and trusted news outlet – and the world’s most trusted international news provider. Read more ➡️ https://t.co/YNysvmpByl pic.twitter.com/NUgiXpfXHG — BBC Press Office (@bbcpress) July 23, …

READ MORE

GovTrack just DELETED their 2019 page that ranked Kamala Harris as THE MOST LIBERAL of all 100 Senators

The media coverup is in full effect…! BREAKING: GovTrack just DELETED their 2019 page that ranked Kamala Harris as THE MOST LIBERAL of all 100 Senators It would be a shame if we made it viral: pic.twitter.com/Pi6KvngOTh — End Wokeness (@EndWokeness) July 24, 2024 https://web.archive.org/web/20200816001336/https://www.govtrack.us/congress/members/kamala_harris/412678/report-card/2019 CBS: "You're considered the most liberal United States senator." KAMALA: …

READ MORE

The sudden rally of the Japanese Yen sparked widespread liquidation across financial markets, with the AI crash hitting hard.

WEDNESDAY WAS BRUTAL: Magnificent 7 lost nearly $2 TRILLION in market cap in 10 days. This equals ~50% of Apple's value, world's largest company. Amazon, Apple, Google, Meta, Microsoft, NVIDIA, and Tesla combined saw largest daily loss since Oct 2022👇https://t.co/i6teU5IH8V — Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) July 25, 2024 Global Stocks Tumble on AI-Bubble Burst Fears …

READ MORE

King Charles set to receive $88 million pay rise

King Charles is set to receive an $88 million pay rise – official accounts have revealed. The huge jump is put down to a $2 billion profit from the Crown Estate. A percentage of that profit funds the monarchy and the sovereign grants which supports official duties of the royal family.

Thank Elon for Community Notes.

What we’re witnessing is the attempt to push her over the goal line by any means necessary. Rewrite history, invent a new hagiography, point to the new facts as being what everyone objectively has to use and those who don’t are irredeemably deplorable! This is horrific to watch in real time. GovTrack should now be …

READ MORE

Deutsche Bank warns of significant losses from commercial real estate, reports €143M Q2 net loss. Blackstone Mortgage REIT cuts dividend amid distress

Deutsche Bank: Deutsche Bank has indeed reported significant losses from its commercial real estate exposure. The bank posted a net loss of €143 million for Q2 2024, largely due to provisions for credit losses and a substantial litigation charge. Blackstone Mortgage REIT: Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT) has cut its dividend by 24% due to rising defaults …

READ MORE

An actual rational and sane statement from BLM about Democrats

I think this is a very reasonable ask from BLM, which is quite rare if we’re being honest. The process and timelines for Kamala to be named the presumptive nominee is suspicious. Timeline of Events Sunday•Joe Biden drops out.•Kamala Harris announces campaign with Biden endorsement.•Kamala Harris says she is going to work hard to earn …

READ MORE

So, while the media claims everything’s perfect, apparently 3 out of 5 Americans just don’t get the memo

Left: TodayRight: 2007 — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) July 24, 2024 Roughly 3 out of 5 Americans feel so. This isn’t some Jedi goddamned mind trick. Don’t piss on my back and tell me it’s raining. People are hurting. It’s noticeable. They don’t need the mainstream media telling them how they’re doing, although they insist on telling them …

READ MORE

Caleb T. Maupin: “Amazon banned my book on July 22nd, 2024 after it had been for sale since 2020.”

I have been raising the alarm about Kamala Harris and who she really is for years. Amazon banned my book on July 22nd, 2024 after it had been for sale since 2020. You can now order it on Lulu: https://t.co/XcHMkoUE4n It has great reviews: https://t.co/1hIwJG7IYM pic.twitter.com/Tx7cTV9WWu — Caleb T. Maupin (@RealCalebMaupin) July 24, 2024 Kamala …

READ MORE

Market getting REKT. Tech annihilated. When is the emergency rate cut? VIX on watch

https://twitter.com/bonker_99/status/1816128649189298302 TechPlosion: pic.twitter.com/3CRnqaoXpM — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) July 24, 2024 Tesla & Google earnings breakdown $TSLA $GOOGL pic.twitter.com/iCo5zPYeXO — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) July 24, 2024 The gold standard of recession indicators is issuing a clear warning. While the yield curve is starting to un-invert significantly, it still has a long way to go. Currently, 76% …

READ MORE

CNN Is Coping After Learning Unlikeable Kamala Isn’t a “Gamechanger” Among Young Voters [VIDEO]

CNN Poll: 73% of Democrats Want Someone Other Than Kamala Harris as Nominee Over three-fourths of Democratic-leaning registered voters want Vice President Kamala Harris to be the party’s nominee, a CNN poll found Wednesday. Harris has emerged as the party’s de facto nominee, selected by party elites after President Joe Biden announced he would no longer run …

READ MORE

Relentless selling on Wall St. this morning… Bitcoin topped first and now $NVDA joining the drop?

U.S. STOCKS EXTEND FALL, NASDAQ DOWN 440 points as Big Tech like $META, $NVDA, $TSLA, $AAPL, and $GOOGL are falling again. #StockMarket #NASDAQ #BigTech #marketupdate pic.twitter.com/RzhbTEm8CD — Allen Shkair (@AllenShkair) July 24, 2024 #Bitcoin topped first and now $NVDA joining the drop? pic.twitter.com/fyiSyCm9TU — Peter Spina ⚒ GoldSeek | SilverSeek (@goldseek) July 24, 2024 h/t …

READ MORE