Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
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What do you expect? They all feed the same bubbles, it’s just one big circle. After governments, the ones I trust the least are banks and financial institutions pic.twitter.com/qyusdt0VwF — 구미호 (@ThinkInError) September 16, 2025 Banks are so short on easy collateral that they’re forced to borrow overnight money at a higher rate than the …
by Michael How can we possibly undo the severe long-term damage that has been done to an entire generation of young people over the course of several decades? One of the most powerful pieces of evidence that our society is a failure is the fact that we have produced a “lost generation” of young adults …
by confoundedinterest17 Participants in the mortgage market are hoping for relief in the mortgage market when The Fed lowers rates tomorrow. But the reality is the the bond market is expecting declining short-term rates, but not much change at the 10-year tenor. Mortgage rates have fallen since October 23, 2023 as the yield curve has …
The debt pressure in the system is reaching a tipping point that could trigger cascading failures across households and corporations. With high leverage and stagnant wages, even a minor shock in energy, rent, or credit markets could force millions into defaults within months. Corporate restructuring and AI adoption are quietly hollowing out sectors that appear …
George Zinn, the guy who distracted officers by falsely claiming he was Charlie Kirk’s shooter, has now been charged with possession of child exploitation material. That’s on top of his obstruction charge. He will most likely die in prison, and the public may never get answers about who this guy really is or what his …
The text messages prosecutors released are supposed to show motive, but anyone under 25 would just laugh. Young people do not write in full sentences with perfect punctuation, yet that is exactly how the government says these texts appeared. It looks less like evidence and more like a script written by someone who never used …
The Brookings Institute calls gold’s rise “weird” – but it isn’t. Nations are dumping dollars, debt demand is down and silver faces historic scarcity. The message is clear: Government promises have fallen out of favor, and here’s what’s replacing them… By Peter Reagan Your News to Know rounds up the most important stories about precious …
Holy. Shit. Atlanta Fed is now projecting that Q3 GDP will be +3.4%… a massive expansion. The US economy is running HOT. pic.twitter.com/aDQHxtq4iY — Geiger Capital (@Geiger_Capital) September 16, 2025 For the rate of inflation to be dropping (LOL Trump) or even flat during this time frame tells you that consumption has completely evaporated. It …
Total disconnect with what’s going on a consumer level. Restaurants did terrible in the summer. I expect many closings next year. Those that were making money will survive and those that aren’t will close. — PANDITO (@pandittto88) September 16, 2025 U.S. Margin Debt jumps to $1.02 Trillion, a new all-time high 🤯👀 pic.twitter.com/3wtNr5tXRT — Barchart …
via notayesmanseconomics This morning has brought us up to date with the latest official figures on the UK labour market and we can start with this. Estimates for payrolled employees in the UK fell by 142,000 (0.5%) between July 2024 and July 2025, and by 6,000 (0.0%) between June 2025 and July 2025…….The early estimate …
Retail might be strong today, but underlying generational debt pressures and stagnant wages signal that this trend cannot sustain for more than a few quarters without breaking. "Gen Z and millennials are delaying traditional milestones like marriage, homeownership, and parenthood due to high housing costs and stagnant wages," per FORTUNE — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) September 16, …
The real danger isn’t that prices are high, it’s that the velocity of wealth erosion is accelerating unseen. If inflation continues at the current pace, the average American could lose another 15–20% of real purchasing power by mid-2026, leaving millions unable to cover basic expenses. Gold climbing toward $4,000 signals a massive shift in investor …
They did not investigate. They fabricated. And now they face a lawsuit designed not to correct the record, but to dismantle the institutions that published it. President Donald Trump has filed a $15 billion defamation and libel suit in Florida federal court against The New York Times Company, four of its senior reporters, and Penguin …
JUST IN – Israel military issues evacuation order for Yemen's Hodeidah Port, the country's second largest port. An attack is imminent. pic.twitter.com/z9TwF525BQ — Disclose.tv (@disclosetv) September 16, 2025 “Urgent warning to everyone present at the Port of Hodeidah in Yemen… The Defense Army will attack in the coming hours in the area specified on the …
by David Haggith For our top economic article today, I’ve chosen one by Bill Bonner who lays out in crisp terms the socialist/fascist transition that is sweeping our nation: Stagflation is here. We wait to find out how long it will last and how deep it will go. The worse it gets the greater the …
BREAKING: Trump signs order to send National Guard, ICE and other agencies to "restore public safety" in Memphis — Insider Paper (@TheInsiderPaper) September 15, 2025 🚨 BREAKING: President Trump announces he is signing an order for a DC-STYLE CRIME CRACKDOWN in Memphis "We HAVE to save our country from vioIent crime!" "Our team will deploy …
250 state legislators from all 50 US states flew to Israel, and they did not go to observe or question. They went to perform. They went to endorse. They went to fuse domestic governance with foreign allegiance at a moment when Israel faces global scrutiny, rising civilian deaths in Gaza, and mounting calls for accountability. …
What we need is a massive crackdown on trans terror cells, not some "hate speech" police. AG Bondi… yikes. pic.twitter.com/JmalZhcXy6 — End Wokeness (@EndWokeness) September 16, 2025 Hate speech does not exist legally in America. There's ugly speech. There's gross speech. There's evil speech. And ALL of it is protected by the First Amendment. Keep …
via notayesmanseconomics This week has opened with some sobering news for La Belle France as late on Friday we were told this. Fitch Ratings – Frankfurt am Main – 12 Sep 2025: FitchRatings has downgraded France’s Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to ‘A+’ from ‘AA-‘. The Outlook is Stable. This is hardly a surprise …
by Michael The video that I have to share with you today is absolutely chilling. In the aftermath of Charlie Kirk’s assassination, I have been horrified by the thousands of celebration videos that have been posted all over social media. Sometimes I think that I don’t even recognize this country anymore. For a lot of …
by Clint Siegner Americans are feeling the pinch when it comes to price inflation. Rising prices are a political football with politicians on both sides of the aisle eager to pin blame on the other party. Both sides are correct. Politicians, along with the central bank they created and continue to endorse, are fully responsible …
JUST IN: The Washington Post has fired race hustler Karen Attiah. pic.twitter.com/lPKOfHFR8M — Bad Hombre (@Badhombre) September 15, 2025 "The Washington Post fired me" over Charlie Kirk posts, writes @KarenAttiah. "I have been canceled by Columbia. I have now been canceled by the Washington Post." https://t.co/3kLfcwq99h — David Weigel (@daveweigel) September 15, 2025 She didn’t …
A mortgage buydown is a financing technique where upfront fees (paid by the buyer, seller, or builder) lower the interest rate on a home loan, either temporarily (e.g., 2-1 buydown: 2% reduction year 1, 1% year 2) or permanently via discount points. It reduces initial monthly payments but they may rise later. Often used by …
BIS warns of mounting disconnect between debt and stock markets LONDON (Reuters) -The Bank for International Settlements has warned that record global share prices appear increasingly disconnected from the rising concerns about government debt levels in the bond markets. The BIS, which acts as an umbrella group for the world’s central banks, said the rise …
https://www.kitco.com/price/precious-metals Experts are calling for $50 silver and maybe much higher. Commodities short squeeze in view. Silver most shorted commodity on the planet. https://youtu.be/6Yg7wL8YFvc They want the gold. If tether is buying gold.And the administration is recommending tether and cryptoThen the US controls tether as well as intel now.All this while gold purchases ramping up …
Sherwin Williams cutting its 401(k) match is a pretty loud signal about where the cracks are showing in the economy. The company lives and dies by housing turnover and renovation cycles. Normally, people buying and selling homes drive paint demand, and DIY projects keep the volume steady. But with mortgage rates still locking people into …
France is not Greece. Saying it is makes people underestimate the problem. Public debt is €3.35 trillion in 2025. That is 114 percent of GDP and could hit 118.4 percent next year. The government ran a €169.6 billion deficit in 2024. That is 5.8 percent of GDP. Public spending takes up 57.1 percent of the …
Beneath the noise of campaign slogans and media distractions, a serious shift is underway, one that shakes the heartbeat of corporate reporting and forces space for long-term thinking. Donald Trump did not float a suggestion. He issued a command. He bypassed regulators, skipped committees, and posted the demand directly on Truth Social. He told the …
Trump will dump the nations debt into stablecoins. If it were up to him, he would insist that Powell cut at least 200 basis points, maybe 300. 😆 — no pullbacks in inflation (@no_pullbacks) September 15, 2025 Cut to 0 on Wednesday pic.twitter.com/humeodNuJm — TT3 (@TradingThomas3) September 15, 2025 It's that time again. When people …
by Martin Armstrong Former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro has been sentenced to 27 years in prison for allegedly plotting a coup to overturn the presidential election. Politicians who defy the new world order are silenced through assassination or imprisonment. This has become a worldwide phenomenon, from Germany to Brazil, as politicians who rebuke the globalist …