Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
The sharpest signals, deepst dives and must-read reports from Citizen Watch Report.
by Michael Inflation is a tax that nobody can escape. No matter how hard you may try, the rising cost of living is going to catch up with you eventually, and we live at a time when the cost of living has become exceedingly painful. The reason why the cost of living has become such …
by Michael The constant drumbeat of terror attacks is rising in intensity, and the next major incident could literally occur at any moment. It might happen in a really big city, or it might happen in a very small town. It might happen on the other side of the planet, or it might happen right …
IBM’s CEO said there is “no way” that the massive spending on AI and data centers will ever pay off. For the first time in this bubble cycle people are finally wondering if maybe he is right. It couldn’t have come at a more critical time in light of Oracle’s shocking results. And then Broadcom …
BOJ rate decision this week.💹 The bond market has decided for the BOJ, which is why it’s most likely they will hike rates and it would be a colossal mistake if they don’t. More importantly, the BOJ is likely to pledge continued gradual rate hikes this week. This could trigger the carry trade unwind and …
A national pizza chain is the latest victim in the decline of fast-casual dining. The Little Brown Box Pizza, parent company of Pieology Pizzeria, filed for bankruptcy earlier this week, according to QSR Magazine. The chain, founded in 2011, listed between $100,000 and $500,000 in assets and $1 million and $10 million in liabilities. The …
by David Haggith 70% of Americans now understand what is really happening in the US economy, and they SERIOUSLY don’t like it. Under a chaotic government where real data just isn’t available, even the Fed no longer trusts what little data is coming out. For example, Fed Chair Jerome Powell doesn’t buy the government’s job …
THE THERMODYNAMIC RECKONING Oracle just lost $35 billion in market cap. In 48 hours. Wall Street thinks this is an earnings miss. It is not. This is the first domino. What happened on December 11 was not a revenue shortfall. It was a confession. Oracle revealed 57 percent of its $523 billion backlog depends on …
You don’t get to accuse others of “living off welfare” when you’re a net recipient of the system. Most people receive more in government spending than they pay in federal taxes. That’s not an insult, it’s arithmetic. Meanwhile, high earners fund the overwhelming share of income tax revenue. Calling the primary funders of the state …
Australia is taking on powerful tech companies with its under-16 social media ban, but will the rest of the world follow? The country’s enactment of the policy is being watched closely by politicians, safety campaigners and parents. A number of other countries are not far behind, with Europe in particular hoping to replicate Australia, while …
Bulls deny that there’s a 1990s-style bubble in AI. There are a few striking similarities, and some notable differences. Is it karma? Coincidence? Either way, the ghost of the dot-com bubble is back 25 years later. Shares in Cisco Systems CSCO -1.85%decrease; red down pointing triangle, the dot-com-era champion that became the world’s most valuable …
Eric Daugherty @EricLDaugh Brown University tuition is $70,000. Its endowment is $8 billion and just hit a new record. AND THEY DON’T HAVE A SINGLE SECURITY CAMERA THAT GOT A CLEAR VIEW OF THE SHOOTER IN THE BUILDING!!! You can afford it! BUY SOME. Brown University tuition is $70,000. Its endowment is $8 billion and …
https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/2000173175716614212 🚨 Shooting at Bondi Beach, in Australia . pic.twitter.com/mjqWFLKQJs — keshav tripathi (@keshavramtripa2) December 14, 2025 Insane footage shows a bystander attacking and disarming one of the terrorists, who appears to have been armed with a long rifle, during today’s shooting attack on an event celebrating Hanukkah at Bondi Beach in Sydney, Australia. pic.twitter.com/mJceco22bJ …
by David Haggith Shoppers are strongly complaining about how much they are struggling under inflation this Christmas season as they try to buy gifts. The Trump Administration, on the other hand, keeps insisting it is all a Democrat hoax, and conveniently, hasn’t gotten an actual inflation report out in months for us to see whether …
Mass public protests in Bulgaria just brought down their government. Total SILENCE from the UK MSM! pic.twitter.com/G8ZxhRDNF9 — UNN (@UnityNewsNet) December 12, 2025 The government of Bulgarian Prime Minister Rosen Zhelyazkov has resigned after protesters took to the streets in cities across the country and filled the centre of the capital Sofia on Wednesday night. …
And there are people who think this is not enough. If only the government had more money to waste things would be better In the 76 day period between Trump winning and Biden leaving office $93 BILLION was sent from the DOE, who gave it away with no oversight, to entities with no business plans …
Last quarter I rolled out Microsoft Copilot to 4,000 employees. $30 per seat per month. $1.4 million annually. I called it “digital transformation.” The board loved that phrase. They approved it in eleven minutes. No one asked what it would actually do. Including me. I told everyone it would “10x productivity.” That’s not a real …
The European Union has agreed to indefinitely freeze Russian central bank assets worth around 245 billion dollars, moving closer to securing a long-term financial lifeline for Ukraine amid the ongoing war. The decision removes the need for renewals of sanctions every six months that risked vetoes from Kremlin-friendly member states and follows Russia’s central bank …
https://twitter.com/nicksortor/status/1999964184772063270 🚨 BREAKING: MASS CASUALTY event declared at Brown University as now a possible 20 VICTIMS reported following an active shooter situation Several reports that a masked suspect is now IN CUSTODY, thankfully Say a prayer for these victims. The exact number of deceased versus… pic.twitter.com/6FetYiAHU5 — Nick Sortor (@nicksortor) December 13, 2025 Police rushed …
Michael Burry warns the U.S. might be headed towards full nationalization of the Bond Market 🤯👀😱 pic.twitter.com/Enwbs6ZFnS — Barchart (@Barchart) December 12, 2025 10Y 4.2 Powell is fuming — Don Johnson (@DonMiami3) December 12, 2025 10 year yield right back up to 3 month highs despite the Fed announcing t-bill QE. The bond market is …
$MSFT news last week now this, what is SEC doing? https://t.co/ieuyGXnoC3 — TT3 (@TradingThomas3) December 12, 2025 Grok: Oracle stock fell after Bloomberg reported delays in some OpenAI data centers to 2028 due to labor/material shortages. Oracle denied it, stating no delays to contractual sites and all milestones on track. This echoes last week’s report …
To celebrate the Nation’s Semiquincentennial (SemiQ), the United States Mint is proud to unveil one-year-only changes to well-known American coinage, such as the circulating dime and quarter, as well as the collectible half dollar. The Mint will also release special numismatic coins and medals in 2026 featuring unique designs and enhancements for core products and …
Trump better start keeping some campaign promises or we're fucked — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) December 12, 2025 So riddle me this: Inflation on electricity is already running at 4-6% and this is before we started building most of these data centers. What’s your electric bill going to look like 3 years from now? 🔥💀 pic.twitter.com/Qi8OtXCVQV …
This is one of those stories that should not even exist anymore. Measles was eliminated in this country. That was not an opinion. That was the result of decades of boring public health work that nobody noticed because it worked. Now it is back and spreading and people inside the system are saying out loud …
@grok when will this be confirmed — the special one (@the_specialtwi) December 12, 2025 Grok factcheck: The Bank of Japan’s policy meeting on December 18-19, 2025, is expected to confirm a rate hike to 0.75% and signal further increases, potentially to 1.0% by September 2026, based on economist surveys and reports from Reuters and others. …
🚨Major development. The FDA just widened its Covid vaccine safety investigation to include adult deaths. pic.twitter.com/woPMvfPcfe — MAHA Action (@MAHA_Action) December 10, 2025 The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) is investigating whether the COVID-19 vaccines were associated with any deaths across all age ranges. “FDA is doing a thorough investigation, across multiple age groups, of …
and out of all photos dumped, there was 4 photo's of Trump not doing anything illegal. Another big fail for the fake news. 😆😅😂🤣 — JoshWhoX (@JoshWhoX) December 12, 2025 Those are beauty pageant contestants, and you are a complete piece of shit https://t.co/LBjzsOV5ml — (((Charlie Martin))) (@chasrmartin) December 12, 2025 Trump owned beauty pageants …
by Michael Do you remember all of those people over the years that warned us that the cost of living would eventually spiral out of control? It turns out that they were right. Our leaders flooded the system with trillions upon trillions of new dollars, and now we have a real life nightmare on our hands. …
by Michael If there is going to be peace, why are we witnessing the largest military buildup in Europe since the end of the Cold War? When it comes to the major players on the geopolitical stage, it is far more important to watch what they do than it is to listen to what they …
From the recent earnings of Oracle and Broadcom, two things have become unmistakably clear. For Oracle, debt has surged nearly 50%, while operating cash flow is declining—a troubling combination that markets quickly punished. The stock fell roughly 11% after the earnings release. For Broadcom, the issue is different: Google’s TPU chips are now creating real …
A huge atmospheric river is hitting hard, causing historic flooding and forcing people out of their homes. Authorities say up to 100,000 people are being told to evacuate as rivers overflow. Reports from Weather.com, NBC, and Times Now all confirm the flooding is worse than anything seen in years. A state of emergency remains in …