A recession is still likely — Many indicators are signaling that the US is at an increased risk of entering a recession, with the following indicators worsening from the prior quarter

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by TonyLiberty

1) Worsening job sentiment indicators suggest that employees are growing more pessimistic about the economy, the labor market, and their ability to find a job.

• If job sentiment is weakening, it implies consumers will pull back on discretionary purchases. This can negatively impact GDP growth as spending slows. It also signals potential issues brewing in the job market that could lead to higher unemployment. Overall, deteriorating job sentiment is a troubling sign for the health of the economy.

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2) A rise in initial jobless claims points to increasing layoffs and unemployment. More workers filing for unemployment benefits means companies are cutting jobs as business conditions worsen. The risk is rising unemployment will weigh on consumer confidence and spending.

3) Declining truck cargo volumes indicate lower demand for transported retail goods and manufacturing materials. This implies slowing economic activity and consumer spending.

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• Businesses may be producing and shipping less, while consumers are reducing purchases. Overall, falling trucking activity is a worrying sign of slowing economic growth.

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