Banks Terminate 60,000 Workers In One Of The Bleakest Years For The Industry Since 2008
The collapse of three US regional banks – First Republic Bank, Silicon Valley Bank, and Signature Bank – marked some of the largest failures in the banking system since 2008. Central banks contained the “mini-crisis” earlier this year with forced interventions and the mega-merger of Credit Suisse and UBS. Despite the interventions, global banks still axed the most jobs since the global financial crisis.
A new report from the Financial Times shows twenty of the world’s largest banks slashed 61,905 jobs in 2023, a move to protect profit margins in a period of high interest rates amid a slump in dealmaking and equity and debt sales. This compared with the 140,000 lost during the GFC of 2007-08.
“There is no stability, no investment, no growth in most banks — and there are likely to be more job cuts,” said Lee Thacker, owner of financial services headhunting firm Silvermine Partners.
The Fed begins liquidity injections at the end of a cycle because it gives them complete control over when the rug is pulled for the top 1%.
They did this with REPO in 2008 & 2020, they're doing the same thing with BTFP now.
Fundamentals show we're on the verge of a recession. https://t.co/prtkgbZrmR pic.twitter.com/TRPzeeza5p
— Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) December 26, 2023
Market expectations for Fed Funds Rate path…
-Jan 31, 2024: Pause
-Mar 20, 2024: 25 bps cut to 5.00-5.25%
-May 1, 2024: 25 bps cut to 4.75-5.00%
-June 12, 2024: 25 bps cut to 4.50-4.75%
-July 31, 2024: 25 bps cut to 4.25-4.50%
-Additional cuts to 3.14% by Dec 2025 pic.twitter.com/7qF3lBLKsQ— Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) December 27, 2023
Will this time be different? pic.twitter.com/fOBEHLDSdQ
— Ayesha Tariq, CFA (@AyeshaTariq) December 26, 2023
The new normal for Commercial Real Estate (CRE):
Properties are selling for less than half of what they were worth just 5 years ago.
A downtown Los Angeles office building that sold for $92.5 million in 2018 just sold for $44.7 million.
2 days ago, the Aon Center, Los Angeles'… pic.twitter.com/7rmoZKJYer
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) December 27, 2023
Fed will likely end Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) in March 2024, Wrightson says – Bloomberg https://t.co/2RhyVZh9fE
— Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) December 27, 2023
This has been the biggest two-month easing in financial conditions in history, surpassing the announcements of QE1, 2, 3, and so on. The market has priced in 136bps, or 5.5x rate cuts since the start of November. pic.twitter.com/zfldYgBBxr
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) December 27, 2023