Housing affordability has rarely been worse:
94 million American households cannot afford a $400,000 home, according to a National Association of Home Builders analysis.
By comparison, the estimated median price of a new house is ~$460,000.
To put this differently, 70% of US households cannot afford a typical-priced home.
Concerningly, ~53 million households cannot even afford a house priced at $200,000 or more.
Meanwhile, there are only 22.4 million houses in the US valued at less than $200,000.
We have a massive housing imbalance.
Housing affordability has rarely been worse:
94 million American households cannot afford a $400,000 home, according to a National Association of Home Builders analysis.
By comparison, the estimated median price of a new house is ~$460,000.
To put this differently, 70% of US… pic.twitter.com/o5YuPAaTwX
— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) May 18, 2025
Mispriced Real Estate
What happens when a multi-decade trend reverses?
We’ve spent the past few days poring over state-level data to determine how home prices or mortgage rates would need to adjust to return to the 10-year average for affordability.
What we found is shocking,… pic.twitter.com/ZLHTt57f1b
— Reef Insights (@ReefInsights) May 18, 2025
Housing is broken pic.twitter.com/b9rRVjNewm
— BuccoCapital Bloke (@buccocapital) May 18, 2025
LOL Denver is so fucking fucked pic.twitter.com/Z9m1xMSvaD
— Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) May 19, 2025