$2.2T in commercial mortgages maturing, $500B in losses, 63 banks nearing collapse, impending banking crisis.

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Approximately $929 billion of the $4.7 trillion outstanding commercial mortgages held by U.S. lenders and investors are set to mature in 2024, marking a 28% increase from the $729 billion that matured in 20231. Additionally, regulators have identified the near $6 trillion pile of outstanding commercial real estate loans as a top threat to the financial system in 20242. As property values fluctuate and interest rates rise, landlords may face challenges with maturing debt. It’s a critical time to monitor how much equity borrowers still have in their properties

Estimates suggest that around $533.2 billion to $570 billion of commercial mortgages are likely to mature in 2025

Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA): Their 2023 Commercial Real Estate Survey indicates a total of $1.2 trillion maturing across 2024 and 2025, without a specific breakdown for 2025.
Trepp: They project $533.2 billion in total commercial mortgage loans maturing in 2025 [2].expand_more
Moss Adams: They mention $570 billion in loans reaching maturity in 2025.

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