the U.S. government has indeed been spending heavily, and the public deficit has reached $2.1 trillion over the past year. This significant deficit is a result of various factors, including increased spending and lower revenues.
🚨US GOVERNMENT SPENDS MONEY AS IF THE ECONOMY IS IN A CRISIS🚨
US public deficit hit a MASSIVE $2.1 trillion over the last 12 months.
The government spent $6.9T, (24% of GDP) in this period
In August, the gap HIT $380 billion, or $12.3 BILLION A DAY.👇https://t.co/AK868bKNva
— Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) September 26, 2024
As for the Federal Reserve’s ability to avoid a recession, it’s a challenging task. Historically, the Fed has only managed a “soft landing” once since the 1980s23. A soft landing refers to the Fed’s ability to slow down the economy to curb inflation without triggering a recession. The current economic conditions, including high inflation and rising interest rates, make this a difficult balance to achieve.
⁉️CAN THE FED AVOID A RECESSION?⁉️
Since the 1980s only one soft landing has been achieved.
This happened when the job market was improving and the unemployment rate was actually declining.
This time the labor market is deteriorating very fast 👇https://t.co/uPmnoHiZaB
— Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) September 26, 2024
The 10 year yield has done nothing but go up since the Fed lowered rates.
Pretty hilarious. This means your mortgage rate, auto loan rate, and anything else you borrow money for has gone up since the Fed lowered rates.
Thanks Jerome 🤦♂️ pic.twitter.com/qQDq4hYN7n
— QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) September 25, 2024
2/ There’s quite a lot of evidence pointing to an incoming recession
The labor market has already started weakening pic.twitter.com/Cr0S590s4r
— Game of Trades (@GameofTrades_) September 26, 2024
4/ Since 1960, every recession has been triggered by a shock
These include:
– Oil shock
– Housing bubble
– Dot Com bubble
– PandemicThere’s usually a definitive reason for the economic downturn pic.twitter.com/uErWpbseLi
— Game of Trades (@GameofTrades_) September 26, 2024
Sources:
https://www.crfb.org/blogs/deficit-was-21-trillion-over-past-year
https://www.federalreservehistory.org/essays/recession-of-1981-82
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