Treasury Alert! $1.859 trillion is what Treasury expects to borrow the rest of the year. For the 3rd quarter, Treasury expects to borrow $1.007 trillion in privately-held net marketable debt. For the 4th quarter Treasury expects to borrow $852 billion in privately-held net marketable debt.

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by Dismal-Jellyfish

Source: https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy1662

The U.S. Department of the Treasury today announced its current estimates of privately-held net marketable borrowing[1]for the July – September 2023 and October – December 2023 quarters.

During the July – September 2023 quarter, Treasury expects to borrow $1.007 trillion in privately-held net marketable debt, assuming an end-of-September cash balance of $650 billion.[2]  The borrowing estimate is $274 billion higher than announced in May 2023, primarily due to the lower beginning-of-quarter  cash balance ($148 billion) and higher end-of-quarter cash balance ($50 billion), as well as projections of lower receipts and higher outlays ($83 billion).[3]

During the October – December 2023 quarter, Treasury expects to borrow $852 billion in privately-held net marketable debt, assuming an end-of-December cash balance of $750 billion.[4]

During the April – June 2023 quarter, Treasury borrowed $657 billion in privately-held net marketable debt and ended the quarter with a cash balance of $402 billion.  In May 2023, Treasury estimated borrowing of $726 billion and assumed an end-of-June cash balance of $550 billion.  The $70 billion decrease in privately-held net market borrowing resulted primarily from the lower end-of-quarter cash balance ($148 billion), somewhat offset by lower receipts and higher outlays.

Additional financing details relating to Treasury’s Quarterly Refunding will be released at 8:30 a.m. on Wednesday, August 2, 2023.

https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/136/SourcesUsesJul2023.pdf

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At least $33.317438 trillion before year end now?

TLDRS:

  • July-September 2023: Treasury plans to borrow $1.007 trillion, ending with a cash balance of $650 billion.
    • This is $274 billion more than the May 2023 prediction.
  • October-December 2023: Treasury anticipates borrowing $852 billion, ending the period with a cash balance of $750 billion.