The most dangerous 48 hours for risk assets this year starts Monday.

NEXT WEEK: TWO RATE DECISIONS, 24 HOURS APART, BOTH POINTING THE SAME WAY. TIGHTER.

🇯🇵 BoJ, June 16: expected to hike toward 1%, a 30-year high.

🇺🇸 Fed, June 17: expected to hold, inflation near 3.8%, no cuts priced.

Here’s what’s different.

Past BoJ hikes rattled markets too, but back then the Fed was cutting, cushioning the blow. This time the Fed is on hold.

The yen carry trade unwinds into a Fed that isn’t there to catch it.

That’s the setup worth respecting.