The bond markets in Japan, UK, and EU are not discounting higher growth—rather, they’re reflecting caution and risk aversion. Retesting the 45-year-old channel could lead to Japan selling dollars, triggering capital outflow from US equities.

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Peter Schiff: The JGB 10 Year Yield is now 1.18%. That may not seem high, but the direction is more important than the level. Once the yield rises above 2%, which I think it will do this year, the yield can quickly double to 4%. Such a move will wreak havoc in global bonds and risk assets.


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