Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
• Xi has called Trump; active China talks underway • Claims “200 tariff deals” done — formal announcements in 3–4 weeks • Says he “owns the store” on tariffs, will set ‘fair prices’ for each country • Says keeping tariffs 20–50%+ one year from now would be a “total victory” • Tariff strategy aimed at …
A skeptical U.S. Supreme Court heard arguments Thursday in a momentous case that is expected to determine whether Donald Trump can continue his run for president. At issue is a provision of the 14th Amendment of the Constitution that bars insurrectionists from office. Six Republican and independent voters from Colorado sued to block Trump from …
by uslvdslv Key Takeaways: 1) Seven of the last eight recessions have started within the +/-1 Sigma birthing zone, which we just entered on July 20th, 2023. The only recession that started outside of this zone did so less than 3 months above this zone. 2) The projected start date of the next recession is …