Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
U.S. government debt is projected to grow by 9.9% according to consumer data. Federal deficits are now the primary driver of inflationary pressure in the economy. Treasury yields are elevated because the bond market demands a premium. Fiscal spending is effectively acting as a secondary stimulus to an overheating economy. Policymakers have zero room to …
Donald Trump called Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell a “stubborn MORON.” He urged the Fed board to take control of interest rates if Powell refuses to cut them. Trump said, “IF HE CONTINUES TO REFUSE, THE BOARD SHOULD ASSUME CONTROL, AND DO WHAT EVERYONE KNOWS HAS TO BE DONE!” https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-fed-board-should-assume-control-if-powell-wont-lower-interest-rates-2025-08-01/ Powell had to wait until …
In a delicate balancing act, the Federal Reserve chose to keep its benchmark interest rate steady, resisting the pressure to cut rates as the economy faces cooling growth alongside persistent inflationary pressures. As households and businesses await the central bank’s decision, the stakes are high, with implications for borrowing costs, economic activity, and the trajectory …
Despite a decline in the value of the Japanese yen, the Producer Price Index (PPI) in Japan continues to indicate a deflationary trend. In other words, the prices that producers receive for their goods and services are still experiencing a decrease, despite the currency’s depreciation. This scenario can have implications for the overall economic conditions …