A hub for independent voices and hard truths
by confoundedinterest17 The Fed will likely pause rate cuts/increases when The Fed reveals their plans today. Breaking: Federal Reserve officials are likely to hold interest rates steady at 5.25-5.5%—a 20-year peak—for a 6th consecutive meeting. With inflation still high, rate cuts seem …
by betsharks0 In this case, the interest rates on 10-year bonds higher than s&p It could suggest that people are becoming less worried about the immediate future compared to the long-term outlook. IN RECESSION Scenario: If the yield curve is …
China’s insatiable hunger for gold intensifies with a staggering 2,800 tons imported over the past two years, solidifying its status as a global powerhouse in the precious metal market. As the country’s central bank continues its relentless purchasing spree for …
The outlook for small business sales is beginning to decline, historically signaling a challenging macroeconomic environment. The Small Business Optimism Index plummeted to its lowest level in March since December 2012, marking the third consecutive decline and the 50th consecutive …
by confoundedinterest17 That’s Bidenomics for you! The Conference Board’s Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) continued its decline in January, dropping 0.4% MoM (notably worse than the -0.1% MoM expectations), and December’s 0.1% declin e was revised down to a 0.2% decline. …
by confoundedinterest17 Oh Susie QT. The Fed loves you. And The Fed has put a spell on the economy. Where do we sit today? Bank credit growth has been negative for the last 26 weeks. As M2 Money growth has stalled. …
via Mike Shedlock: Hertz is dumping EVs but the decline in the price of used Teslas started long before that. $2 Billion in Subsidies, Only 2 EV Stations Opened On January 18, I commented $2 Billion in Subsidies, Only 2 EV …
The Ukrainian President has made an unexpected admission amid the ongoing war with Russia. Volodymyr Zelensky said the combined output of the world’s military-industrial complex is not enough! All of the world’s combined output of shells is not enough to …
by confoundedinterest17 Government power is causing inflation and middle class economic repression. For example, US credit card debt is at an all-time high as consumers attempt to cope with inflation under Biden. While inflation RATE is finally cooling off, the …
by confoundedinterest17 So much for “The Fed killed inflation” narrative. Inflation is still alive and well in housing prices. Particularly in cities like Miami and Detroit? Maybe the Lions winning their division for the first time in 30 years helped! …
via CNBC: Sales of previously owned homes were 4.1% lower in October compared with September, running at a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 3.79 million units, according to the National Association of Realtors. It was the slowest sales pace since …
by confoundedinterest17 Biden’s terrible economic policies and horrid fiscal managment has put stress on The Federal Reserve. The Federal Reserve paid an estimated $76 billion to the Treasury in 2022 while banks’ willingness to lend has plummeted. First, let’s look at Biden’s and …
by confoundedinterest17 Back in red? As US fiscal policy deteriorates further thanks to endless Federal spending (not to mention seemingly endless wars under Biden and Nobel Peace Prize winner Obama), we are seeing pain in the bank lending business. Commercial and …
The Bank of England on Thursday ended a run of 14 straight interest rate hikes after new data showed inflation is now running below expectations. The Bank had been hiking rates consistently since December 2021 in a bid to rein …
via Mike Shedlock: If the Fed is taking economic clues from the Services ISM or from energy, it’s not done hiking. Manufacturing is a different story. ISM chart and excerpts below by permission from the Institute for Supply Management® ISM® …
The Ukraine military’s “spring” counteroffensive has clearly sputtered, there’s no sign of advancement and the nation’s leadership is being accused of becoming “casualty averse” by because the populace is losing its willingness to send more soldiers into the meat grinder …
When politicians are tempted to prosecute their enemies for political reasons, they must fear the same thing happening to them. There are 27 Republican attorneys general in the U.S., compared to 23 Democrats. But you’d hardly know it these days. …
Sick. We are not living in normal times. https://twitter.com/_/status/1689657917715177473 h/t Dan
Bidenomics: Small Business Outlook Remains Dismal For 19th Straight Month The Biden White House has been struggling to get the American public to buy into its positive spin on the economy, which it has dubbed Bidenomics. On Tuesday, a survey …
Mitch McConnell doesnt have his problems to seek. Here he is at a public hustings getting booed for 5 mins straight, by his own GOP constituents. Brutal. h/t pathogenalpha
via Mike Shedlock: The manufacturing ISM has been a broken record for nine months. Chart and excerpts below by permission from the Institute for Supply Management ® ISM® Economic activity in the manufacturing sector contracted in June for the ninth …
True “privilege” is not based on the color of your skin. It’s being raised in a stable family with two parents with a focus on education and a faith in God. That’s the ultimate “privilege.” True “privilege” is not based …
by Dismal-Jellyfish Reminder, while banks have the liquidity fairy, ‘we’ get the promise of 2 more rate hikes this year, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic yet again enrichens himself inappropriately from his position. What I want to talk about this afternoon is–Commercial and …
by Dismal-Jellyfish Borrowing from the Bank Term Funding Program is on the increase again! What we are monitoring: Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) Discount Window/Primary Credit “Other Credit Extensions” I hope to shed light on the recent uptick in borrowing …
by confoundedinterest17 Its not always sunny in Philadelphia, particularly when The Philly Fed (Phed?) business outlook is down in July again for the 11th straight month at -13.5. Let’s see how long The Fed (aka, Green Man) keeps removing monetary stimulus. …
by confoundedinterest17 Wasting away again with Bidenomics. US existing home sales crashed by -19% in June, the 23rd consecutive month of declines. At least the median price of existing home sales is decreasing as Fed stimultypto vanishes. Just like inventory …
by Dismal-Jellyfish Borrowing from the Bank Term Funding Program is back on the increase! What we are monitoring: Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) Discount Window/Primary Credit “Other Credit Extensions” I hope to shed light on the recent uptick in borrowing …
Secret Service Refuses to Honor Records Request for Biden Cocaine Scandal Documents . . . . . . Hunter Biden Mystery: Why Did Delaware Prosecutor Not Bring Charges His Office Approved? Slimy Hunter Biden Built Network of Extensive Ties to …