Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Just days after investors started questioning the entire AI trade, Micron delivered one of the most explosive earnings reports in the sector. The numbers were staggering. Fiscal Q3 2026 revenue reached $41.46 billion. That was a 346% increase from a year earlier. Non-GAAP earnings came in at $25.11 per share, crushing analyst estimates of roughly …
By Peter Reagan Your News to Know rounds up the week’s most important stories about precious metals and the overall economy. This week, I want to look past the surface-level headlines and focus on what the recent pullback in gold may actually mean. Gold’s recent selling looks more technical than fundamental France’s gold reserve upgrade shows how …
Gold and silver joined a broad sell-off on Thursday. The metals shed around 5% and 10%, respectively, as fears about the Iran war and inflation gripped global markets. Mining stocks and ETFs linked to gold and silver also fell. https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/19/gold-and-silver-sell-off-as-inflation-fears-grip-global-markets.html Makes LITERALLY ZERO sense. GOLD the hedge for geopolitical instability is crashing in the face …
Nearly four months of choppy price action within this range on $QQQ. pic.twitter.com/BwtyvB89mz — Connor Bates (@ConnorJBates_) February 19, 2026 If this were a genuine crash, you wouldn’t see this methodical delivery.$QQQ You’d see price trade into 606–617 and then violently displace $30 lower with urgency, thin books, no bids, pockets collapsing. Instead, what we …
They thought they were reassuring debt markets over AI cash. Instead, the company kicked a hornet’s nest, unleashing a MAJOR selloff that is sweeping through private credit. It isn’t just the BDCs (publicly traded funds) this time, either. The asset managers themselves are now getting swept up in the money outflows. Looks like they figured …
Japan was always the endgame https://t.co/Aa2Z1PAwu2 pic.twitter.com/MVzGkZfB1G — zerohedge (@zerohedge) January 14, 2026 THE GLOBAL COLLAPSE IS STARTING IN JAPAN JPY-USD: ALL TIME LOW JPY-EUR: ALL TIME LOW JPY-GOLD: ALL TIME LOW This is a WARNING. You don’t see this in a normal market. Japan is the key domino. When JPY slides like this, it …
Every warning light is flashing red and Wall Street is still pretending this is just a vibes problem. “The last lender” before the Fed – is it starting to approach critical levels?🛑 JPMorgan’s LCR in Q4 2025 stood at 115%… the lowest level since 2019. And this is after the bank reduced its repo book …
Rate cuts work. We need more of them. Then yields will go up to 20% — Data Driven Stocks (@stockdatamarket) December 12, 2025 Rates barely reacted, reinforcing the idea that the Fed is now pushing on a string. The market – not policy – has the wheel. Next 3 months: 2-yr drifting toward 3.50–4.00% 10-yr …
The pic.twitter.com/n5DK9NBjyU — David Levenson. I am increasing low beta leverage. (@PolarityRadio) December 8, 2025 The US 10-year yield has been in a downtrend since May (highlighted). Now it looks more like a breakout. pic.twitter.com/rVzSNwmvfi — Jim Bianco (@biancoresearch) December 8, 2025 A BIG STORM IS COMING!!! Look at these yields… – U.S. 10Y is …
Michael Burry warns the U.S. stock market could face a crash worse than the 2000 dot‑com bubble. The veteran investor says several tough years may be ahead for investors. He points to the surge in AI and tech stock valuations, combined with the dominance of passive investing, as key risks. Burry, known for predicting the …
Recent headlines warned of gold’s “largest sell-off in a decade.” In reality, gold prices barely moved – and major banks like JPMorgan now see $6,000 by 2028. This week, Peter Reagan explains why today’s dips may mark a “new normal” for gold… By Peter Reagan Your News to Know rounds up the most important stories …
This technical pattern on $BTC shows a top is in, plus gold is dominating now. pic.twitter.com/aAY1ipWqxF — Curtis (@curtis90335) October 17, 2025 YOU WON’T BELIEVE IT IF I TOLD YOU THERE IS A BLACK SWAN EVENT UNFOLDING RIGHT NOW WE ALL KNOW WHAT HAPPENS NEXT pic.twitter.com/kHLRrzQMU5 — Shibo (@GodsBurnt) October 17, 2025 Leverage >>>> 20x …
VIX was highly compressed for weeks. Boom. This decline isn’t just about Trump. That’s simply the fuse. The signals were flashing 🚧 for 2 weeks. All those gap up sell offs. 🎯 pic.twitter.com/4oy3nhAZa9 — John (@market_sleuth) October 10, 2025 No Slowdown? Heavy Truck Sales? Unemployment Level? Really? https://t.co/H5TijNUK1k pic.twitter.com/60z7P6tMVH — Henrik Zeberg (@HenrikZeberg) October 10, …
IBM has now slid 9 out of its last 10 trading days. That’s a 17% drop, and it landed squarely on its 200-day moving average, historically a trampoline but right now more like a stress test. https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/IBM/technical-analysis Volume hasn’t picked up. No clear buyers stepping in. Technical indicators are flashing strong sell, RSI around 41, …
The Bank of Japan is shrinking its balance sheet at a record pace: The Bank of Japan’s bond holdings dropped by -6.2 trillion Yen in Q1 2025, the most on record. Over the last 5 quarters, the BoJ's holdings have now declined by -14.2 trillion Yen. As a result, the BoJ's… pic.twitter.com/JJjLSzhyka — The Kobeissi …
BREAKING: $340,000,000 liquidated from the crypto market in the past 60 minutes. — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) June 12, 2025 "The more assets you hold on Coinbase, the more bitcoin you earn on your purchases." Why do they want to hold your bitcoin? Very weird stipulation to include if they aren't making money on your assets. https://t.co/yvdnPRHvve …
It’s very unusual for the dollar to selloff in risk-off periods. This is EM style behavior. It’s getting violent now. As the dollar sells off, it raises import inflation. Which will make the tariff situation worse. That’s the Doom Loop. — Danny Dayan (@DannyDayan5) June 12, 2025 At what point does a major gold/silver producer …
Yields don’t move like this unless something under the surface is breaking or already has byu/RobertBartus inEconomyCharts A sale of 20-year U.S. government bonds saw weak demand Wednesday, pushing the Treasuries to new lows for the year as yields climbed. https://www.barrons.com/articles/20-year-treasury-bond-auction-bba9d889 Unpopular Opinion: This market move is closer to just starting than finishing. Ask yourself …
BUY THE DIP AFTER MOODY’S DOWNGRADE: MORGAN STANLEY’S WILSON Morgan Stanley’s Michael Wilson sees the recent U.S. stock selloff after Moody’s credit downgrade as a buying opportunity, driven more by interest rate fears than fundamentals. He notes that Moody’s is the last major agency to downgrade U.S. debt—following moves that began back in 2011. Rising …
Housing supply is skyrocketing across Southwest states like Arizona, Nevada, Utah, and Colorado, suggesting that the 2025 housing market is amid a correction in these states. Access our Home Price Forecast for your area at www.reventure.app under a premium plan. This means that homebuyers in these states could have their best opportunity to buy a …
The trade deficit will find another level but the situation is actually worse once people step back and think about sht for more than a degenerate price tick. The underlying problem with this disorderly “Flood the Zone” manner in which the current ‘rebalancing’ of US trade is being conducted is that trade disruptions are happening …
The recent spike in 10-year Treasury yield coincided with China fixing the Yuan weaker. That's no coincidence. The falling Yuan had contagion effects to all of EM, causing EM reserve managers to sell Treasuries. This shows how much power China has over US markets … and policy. pic.twitter.com/gCO47YV0r4 — Robin Brooks (@robin_j_brooks) April 24, 2025
The selloff we’re seeing in the markets these past few days? It’s not Trump’s doing, it’s the negotiators at work. The attempt to manipulate sentiment and create market panic is palpable. Investors are being played by those behind the scenes who are using the market to force political pressure, all in an effort to extract …
Markets shed 2% yesterday, and Bloomberg acts like it’s business as usual—except they’re not talking about it. A 2% drop is a big deal. That’s billions wiped out in hours, a clear sign of shifting sentiment, yet Bloomberg is laser-focused on a military “leak.” Are they financial journalists or state mouthpieces? Investors deserve answers. What’s …
BREAKING: #Bitcoin tumbles under 94K. pic.twitter.com/sn0IuI52Qv — Jacob King (@JacobKinge) December 27, 2024 They need liquidity 😈 — TrippyMike (@TrippyMike_TC) December 27, 2024 The market woke up and realized rates are high, liquidity is drying up and Powell is still serious about not cutting as much as what is desired. NASDAQ down over 2% S&P …
Since US yields started rising after the Fed meeting in Sept, global bond yields are higher, while the dollar and gold are surging, reflecting an increasingly global debt contagion. While many in the US are laser focused on the US yield rise in recent weeks, what is notable is how it looks to be flowing …
If this global selloff continues next week, it will be MOAC – Mother of All Clusterfucks. Powell falling downstairs juggling pies. pic.twitter.com/63u4m6hQ2N — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) September 6, 2024 That's the week. It was the worst week for Tech stocks in over four years, since March 2020. This is the chart of the week: pic.twitter.com/hPLnOSFkY3 — …
🇺🇸 S&P 500 and equal-weight S&P 500 3-month rolling correlation. At historic lows! Chart: @t1alpha pic.twitter.com/szTRHIBpDj — Alex Joosten (@joosteninvestor) May 16, 2024 The S&P 500 is a stock market index that tracks the performance of 500 large companies in the U.S. The equal-weight S&P 500 is similar, but each company is given the same …
Nasdaq’s prolonged overbought status, extending six months, raises concerns. Comparisons between December and April suggest that while December’s overbought condition resulted in an oversold selloff, April’s less pronounced overbought state triggered a more significant market downturn. The Nasdaq is also six months overbought. What we see is that in December, that overbought reading led to …
Florida’s Housing Market has hit an inflection point in 2024. Where inventory and new listings are surging, in part due to a big selloff from Airbnb investors happening in cities like Orlando, Tampa, and Miami. These Airbnb investors bought in Florida’s real estate market during the bubble in 2021 and 2022. But now many are …