Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
BREAKING: US stock market futures fall at the open as President Trump declares Tuesday as “Power Plant and Bridge Day" in Iran: 1. S&P 500: -0.7%2. Nasdaq 100: -0.8%3. Dow Jones: -0.7%4. WTI Crude: +3.0%5. Natural Gas: +1.0%6. Gold: -0.9% President Trump's deadline is now… — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) April 5, 2026 BREAKING: US …
Nonfarm payrolls in February fell by 92,000, compared to the estimate for 50,000 and below the downwardly revised January total of 126,000. It was the third time in five months that the economy lost jobs. Health care, the primary growth driver in payrolls, saw a loss of 28,000 due largely to a strike at Kaiser …
Plumes of smoke were seen rising across various parts of Tehran on Thursday morning as U.S.-Israeli airstrikes continued to pound the Iranian capital. (AP video: Saeed Sarmadi)
NEW from Reuters/Ipsos: 🚨Trump's disapproval hits 60% 🚨Trump's immigration approval hits -17%, a second-term LOW 🚨The poll shows support for Trump's handling of immigration has fallen significantly AMONG MEN in recent weeks 🚨Trump's economic approval falls to -23% pic.twitter.com/dZIlx0IB4p — CJ Warnke (@cjwarnke) February 17, 2026 Summary Trump’s immigration approval falls to lowest since return …
US asset demand shows no sign of abating. Demand for bonds rises and bond yields decline.https://t.co/MKLFCKQfrf pic.twitter.com/Y7YdQtGapA — Daniel Lacalle (@dlacalle_IA) February 14, 2026 NY Fed's Q4 GDP forecast now at 2.71% – getting closer to ATL Fed's 3.68% pic.twitter.com/zUGsltCT9n — E.J. Antoni, Ph.D. (@RealEJAntoni) February 14, 2026 Average American's weekly paycheck buys ~2% more …
Heavy snow, sleet and freezing rain are slamming large parts of the U.S. as the dangerously cold weather causes major power outages and travel disruptions. What we know Roughly 185 million people are under winter alerts today as dangerous cold grips much of the central and eastern U.S. Wind chills in some areas are as …
via notayesmanseconomics After yesterday’s disappointing employment numbers then there may have been some hopes of a further fall in UK inflation this morning. But such hopes were in for a rude awakening. The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) rose by 3.4% in the 12 months to December 2025, up from 3.2% in the 12 months to …
Gold is closing in on $4,700, and even longtime skeptics now admit the real story is currency decay. Meanwhile, mainstream investment house VanEck asks an interesting question: What is gold really worth if money breaks? By Peter Reagan Your News to Know rounds up the most important developments in precious metals and the broader economy. …
San Francisco’s rejection of progressivism shows what happens when ideology collides with reality. SAN FRANCISCO — If Zohran Mamdani represents the rise of progressive politics in America, San Francisco is fast becoming the deflating counterpoint for the left. It isn’t just that liberal lion Nancy Pelosi is on her way out or that moderate Democrats, …
The Powerball jackpot surged to an estimated $1.6 billion ahead of Monday night’s drawing, making it the fifth-largest prize in U.S. lottery history. The pot grew after no ticket matched all six numbers from Saturday night’s drawing. The white balls were 4, 5, 28, 52 and 69. The red Powerball was 20 and the Power …
The Tesla paradox: the more profits fall, the more the stock rises. byu/cxr_cxr2 inTheTicker Over the past three years, the stock has risen by more than 120%, while revenue has grown by only 17% and profits have FALLEN by nearly 60%. h/t cxr_cxr2
The system is quietly trapping everyone while pretending nothing’s wrong. According to the BLM's most recent numbers, private employers are reporting 13,500 job cuts a WEEK. These are PRIVATE EMPLOYERS. NOT GOVERNMENT JOBS. The BLM reports we are seeing the worst job numbers since 2008. If you can HONESTLY justify that, you're a lot of …
HONG KONG (AP) — The death toll from a massive fire that broke out at a residential apartment complex in Hong Kong has risen to 55, as firefighters continued to battle the blaze, among the deadliest in the city’s modern history. Hong Kong authorities said Thursday 51 people had been found dead on the scene, …
by confoundedinterest17 Good news! Consumer prices rose only 3% YoY. Lower than the growth in M2 Money of 4.66% YoY and Federal government spending of 7.8% YoY. While consumer prices rose only 3% YoY, housing (shelter) rose 3.65 YoY. The US Treasury yield curve remains upward sloping from 2Y-30Y.
by Michael Nobody can deny that there is chaos in the streets of America, and both sides just continue to escalate matters. Incidents of civil conflict are literally occurring on a nightly basis, and in some cities such as Portland violent leftists are allowed to do pretty much whatever they want for months on end. …
On today’s episode of CNBC Crypto World, eToro introduces staking for U.S. customers, who can now earn rewards for crypto assets, including Cardano’s ADA token, ether, and Solana’s SOL token. Plus, the Blockchain Association sends a letter to lawmakers reaffirming the support of the digital assets industry for the GENIUS Act, which is now law …
PCE 0.3% MoM, Exp. 0.3% PCE 2.7% YoY, Exp. 2.7% PCE Core 0.2% MoM, Exp. 0.2% PCE Core 2.9% YoY, Exp. 2.9% But the trend is one – inflation goes UP pic.twitter.com/TmrXCFoc3C — Data Driven Stocks (@stockdatamarket) September 26, 2025 The Fed has to keep cutting rates. The cost of borrowing is far too high …
Week ending September 10 in Vaughan did not just nudge the market downward, it slammed it into a pit nobody wants to admit exists. Detached median sold price fell to $1.36 million, one of the lowest points anyone remembers, down 21 percent year-over-year, and every headline pretends this is just a seasonal wobble, as if …
by Michael Remember these days, because these are the days when global leaders could have reversed course before it was too late. 2025 has certainly been a year of war, and it appears that things are poised to go to an entirely new level in the months ahead. If we do not choose to step …
by confoundedinterest17 Not exactly the Guns Of August. More like a wet cap gun firing. The jobs report for August showed only 22k jobs added. U-3 unemployment rate rose to 4.3%. U-6 unemployment and part-time rose to 8.1%. Total private jobs added was 38k while manufacturing jobs added was down -12k. Government jobs dropped -16k. …
Powerball jackpot rises to $1.7 billion after no one won tonight pic.twitter.com/Ru4OmWDDJA — BNO News Live (@BNODesk) September 4, 2025
When investors flee currency for a tangible asset, it signals fear of fiscal collapse and unchecked debt. It's really unusual for 30-year Treasury yield to rise in a Fed easing cycle. It's even more unusual for 30-year yield to rise with all the world's major central banks in an easing cycle. This tells you monetary …
Yup. Basically pic.twitter.com/mKedOV6P44 — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) August 31, 2025 The Federal Reserve is facing pressure on two fronts as inflation picks up and the labor market shows signs of slipping. Sevens Report Research founder Tom Essaye joins Opening Bid to explain why this puts the central bank in a difficult policy spot heading into …
Judicial Watch President @TomFitton joins “Just the News: No Noise” to discsuss Judicial Watch’s election integrity case going up to the Supreme Court of the United States. WATCH NOW!
Home values are sliding across the country, with Zillow reporting declines in 27 states. The latest data confirms what many homeowners feared—prices are no longer climbing at the breakneck pace seen in previous years. The housing market is shifting, and sellers are feeling the pressure. The biggest drops have been recorded in Florida, Colorado, California, …
The world is arming itself at the fastest rate since near the end of the Cold War, according to a new report, as major wars rage in Ukraine and Gaza and military tensions spike from Europe to Asia. The 9.4% year-on-year rise to $2.718 trillion in global military spending in 2024 is the highest figure …
You can feel it in the bond markets. You can see it in the headlines. But most of all, you can sense it in the way central bankers speak now. No longer with the confidence of engineers controlling a machine. Now with the anxiety of firefighters trying to contain a blaze. Global debt has crossed …
Central banks almost never say they intervene in currency markets. In a survey, half said they do. Central banks report they were likely to boost gold holding while none reported crypto holdings The 21st annual Central Banking survey, sponsored by HSBC, has revealed that currency market intervention by central banks is far more common than …
Core inflation is back on the rise, and this is a trend we can’t ignore. With economic growth forecasts slipping, this kind of data paints a bleak picture for what’s to come. This isn’t a simple uptick; it’s a warning signal. We’re looking at the possibility of stagflation becoming a serious concern by 2025. Rising …
