Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
I listed a property for sale about 22 days ago and have not received a single call or showing request. I believe the home is competitively priced, and with rates dropping recently, I expected more interest. Even the open houses only get one or two families. I’ve spoken with a few agents in my office, …
US Announces $567 Million for Taiwan’s Defense Biden’s approval came as Taiwan was on heightened alert due to the recent firings by the CCP’s Rocket Force and army in inland China. https://www.theepochtimes.com/us/us-announces-567-million-for-taiwans-defense-5732477?utm_source=partner&utm_campaign=TheLibertyDaily
by Michael If the ground under your feet is moving “up to 10 inches a week”, that might be a sign that it is time to relocate. What is currently taking place in Rancho Palos Verdes is perhaps the most extreme example of the geophysical instability that is plaguing much of the state of California at …
WARNING: Labor market conditions index has been steadily declining This systematically happens prior to recessions pic.twitter.com/w3YYWHR566 — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) August 26, 2024 US firms’ ‘low firing’ approach may turn to more layoffs, Fed’s Barkin tells BBG WASHINGTON, Aug 26 (Reuters) – The “low-hiring, low-firing” approach that U.S. businesses currently take to their employment decisions …
From the "worst VP in history" to "our savior" within weeks. One of the largest coordinated psyops we've ever seen.Pretty incredible.pic.twitter.com/sYVn23zwWd https://t.co/5J8DJxkNiO — Financelot (@FinanceLancelot) August 22, 2024
US PPI Final Demand (M/M) Jul: 0.1% (est 0.2%; prev 0.2%)– PPI Ex Food And Energy (M/M) Jul: 0.0% (est 0.2%; prev 0.4%)– PPI Final Demand (Y/Y) Jul: 2.2% (est 2.3%; prev 2.6%)– PPI Ex Food And Energy (Y/Y) Jul: 2.4% (est 2.6%; prev 3.0%) — LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) August 13, 2024 Futures on a tear …
by Michael What in the world has happened to our military? When I was growing up, I was proud that my father was an officer in the U.S. Navy. At that time we possessed the most powerful military in the entire world by a wide margin, and as a result nobody wanted to mess with …
The speed of this crash already exceeds the 2022 bear market. When the 50 dma (blue line) breaks, the decline will accelerate. pic.twitter.com/Ammt0BemoF — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) July 23, 2024 NVIDIA execs sold 5.7 million shares, 77% of all sales, in three months. 🚨NVIDIA Insider Activity alert: The number of sales by NVIDIA executives rose to …
Ain’t looking pretty. Hurricane Hunters fly tomorrow. Stay tuned for updates. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ Saturday AM latest overnight https://t.co/3cvwpvVJ22 runs. GFS/EURO/CMC in that order. All eyes on Beryl. Can't forget the one showing behind. Pressure maps here. Blues lower. Reds higher. https://t.co/Hk3pbO7x8H pic.twitter.com/absLmaTH3K — Mike's Weather Page (@tropicalupdate) June 29, 2024 #Beryl is looking good this morning. …
This is insane. Goldman Sachs just reported that hedge funds are aggressively offloading tech stocks at a rapid rate we haven't seen in years June is already a record month pic.twitter.com/pxEEWNVYha — Michael Burry Stock Tracker ♟ (@burrytracker) June 27, 2024 The 15 Most Held Stocks by Hedge Funds – Microsoft $MSFT is #1 pic.twitter.com/VpGWkG1kQM …
Recent economic updates from the U.S. paint a bleak picture, stirring deep unease among investors. The latest indicators, including the sharp decline in the Bloomberg Economic Surprise Index, signal a worrisome underperformance reminiscent of the tumultuous trends observed in 2019. This downturn in economic sentiment comes at a precarious moment, with all eyes fixed on …
China has rapidly expanded its space weapons arsenal which poses a threat to the entire planet, experts have warned. Beijing recently launched a robotic spacecraft on a round trip to the far side of the Moon. The Change-6 is aiming to get samples from the part of the Moon which permanently faces away from Earth. …
Central banks around are now cutting rates rapidly ht g.o.t. pic.twitter.com/WET0DuptRS — Win Smart, CFA (@WinfieldSmart) April 30, 2024
by betsharks0 The volatility (vol) of equities (stocks) is decreasing quickly compared to the volatility of interest rates. It’s measured by the ratio of the respective 1-month (1M) and 50-day (50D) volatility. This suggests that the relative volatility between stocks (equities) and interest rates is shifting. If equity volatility is declining rapidly compared to rate …
‘Veterinarians are warning each other to wear PPE if seeing cats with neurological signs after 40 cats on a dairy farm die and test positive for H5N1. 100% mortality in cats so far, spreading rapidly, death within 24-48hrs of symptom onset.’ 'Veterinarians are warning each other to wear PPE if seeing cats with neurological signs …
https://twitter.com/_/status/1769260783630750135 A mystery flesh-eating disease that kills around 30% of people who become infected is spreading rapidly around Japan. In the first two months of 2024, some 378 cases of streptococcal toxic shock syndrome (STSS) were detected in the country. Last year it is believed there were 941 cases, which has caused concern that this …
Like Japan before it, a declining birthrate and an aging population have precipitated a drop in the proportion of the working-age population and the savings rates in China, impacting long-term economic growth In response, China needs to boost the supply of labor through relaxing birth restrictions and raising the retirement age China also needs to …
All he can do is read the teleprompter. It starts at 11 minutes. Biden won’t debate Trump And he won’t be the nominee. He took ONE question. ONE QUESTION. Then walked away. And that ONE QUESTION had the slowest most pathetic response I have ever seen. I watched it live and Holy Shit it was …
A gang of illegal immigrants is robbing pedestrians in New York City. The NYPD shared a video of a woman being dragged by a moped by a migrant who tried to steal her phone. This situation is out of control. A gang of illegal immigrants is robbing pedestrians in New York City. The NYPD shared …
Source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20240124a.htm TLDRS: The Federal Reserve Board announces the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) will cease making new loans as scheduled on March 11 This past week, total outstanding amount of all advances from the liquidity fairy under the Bank Term Funding Program was $161,501,000,000 As of 10/31/23 total outstanding amount of all advances from the …
by DesmondMilesDant So basically when global CB’s raises rates to fight inflation the yields on bonds started going up. Now if the money was moving from stock market to bond market to chase higher yields then why didn’t the market crashed coz the vol must have gone up. Reason being banks create SP’s that dampens …
Maybe we could all learn something from the Amish… pic.twitter.com/1UQ20YzLIs — Marc 🇺🇸 (@gopher_marc) December 1, 2023
QUOTE US dictionary reveals ‘word of the year’ The term ‘gaslighting’ was listed by Merriam-Webster as being last year’s most-defining word US dictionary reveals ‘word of the year’ In a year where artificial intelligence (AI) ushered in a new dimension to the digital age and where social media has at times been a battleground for …
The alarming contraction in bank credit, an event occurring only once in the past 50 years, adds a foreboding dimension to the rapid depletion of the 2 trillion-dollar Reverse Repo pot. As Wall Street grapples with financing challenges for Washington’s deficits, the ominous trajectory raises concerns about the stability of the financial system. At this …
Consumer spending rose 4% in the July to September period, fueling a blowout quarter for economic growth, according to government data. — unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) October 31, 2023 https://twitter.com/RJRCapital/status/1719306931871834515
The rapid steepening of the yield curve from inverted levels suggests an impending economic downturn. Caution: Yield curve has begun steepening rapidly from inverted levels This brings the economy closer to an economic downturn Buckle up pic.twitter.com/JfBgBxOZgq — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) October 29, 2023 BREAKING: Americans spent money at the fastest rate in nearly two …
Total US Debt just crossed $33 TRILLION China and Japan are dumping US treasuries at a record pace This won’t end well A thread 🧵 pic.twitter.com/CpJWfb2574 — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) October 24, 2023 16/ Interestingly, this rise in insurance purchases coincides with an unprecedented selloff in US Treasury bonds US Treasury yields have also broken …
by David Haggith Photo by Micah Williams on Unsplash Wolf Richter is calling it a “bond bloodbath,” which he says is happening because delusions about the Fed’s fight with inflation are finally giving way. Reality struck home in the latest retail report that showed high increases in retail sales that were in good part due to high increases in …
by absoluteunitVolcker For basically all of its history, the Fed is self-funded, turns a profit and sends it to the Treasury (the taxpayer). Now the Fed is rapidly losing money, underwater on its investments and its liabilities will soon exceed its assets: Technically since the Fed can fabricate money infinitely, it can’t actually go bankrupt. …
