Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
by confoundedinterest17 Was Freddie King correct? Is the US economy going down?? The US Treasury yield curve (10Y-2Y) has inverted to the positive side after a prolonged NEGATIVE inversion (from July 6, 2022 to Sept 5, 2024) marking the longest period of negative inversion since August 18, 1978 – May 1, 1980. Each negative inversion was …
We've never seen the S&P 500 at all time highs with breadth this negative. Let's do this. pic.twitter.com/3GuAVcn1l7 — Mac10 (@SuburbanDrone) December 13, 2024 Linkhttps://t.co/A9JxrqvurY pic.twitter.com/8qaDVxDPM3 — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) December 13, 2024 ⚠️CENTRAL BANKS ARE CUTTING RATES AS IF GLOBAL RECESSION IS HERE⚠️ Bank of Canada cut rates by 0.50% on Wednesday for the …
by Jhoffman12 To start, I am not a Doomer and I have money in the market. I was looking at the unemployment rate recently just out of curiosity and saw a correlation between a recession and whenever there was a rise, which makes sense of course. What struck me though is when I started adding other …
by mrmrmrj This chart demonstrates the historical relationship between yield curve inversions and subsequent recessions. As you can see, there is a strong correlation between the two phenomena. In other words, when the yield curve inverted (i.e., when short-term interest rates rose above long-term interest rates), a recession soon followed. This suggests that an inverted …
by mrmrmrj Blue line goes below black line = recession
via unherd: Americans who are married with children are now leading happier and more prosperous lives, on average, than men and women who are single and childless. Is that statement surprising? In an age that prizes individualism, workism, and a host of other self-centric “isms” above marriage and family, it may well be. But the …
