pre-crisis Archives - Citizen Watch Report

Job market stalls in eerie replay of pre-crisis calm

July 8, 2025 10:06 pm

Job openings are falling. Unemployment is flat.We’ve seen this movie before. The 2020–2025 labor market setup is starting to rhyme with 2007, when JOLTS rolled over quietly, and the unemployment rate held steady… until it didn’t. Not a perfect correlation …

2025 rally mirrors 2007 pattern early warning signs emerge, Q2 rebound fades setup echoes pre-crisis symmetry

July 1, 2025 9:48 pm

https://twitter.com/SoccerMomTrades/status/1939835719872106645

Copper/gold ratio collapse signals economic implosion. High Yield Spread tightens to levels last seen in early 2007’s pre-crisis era.

November 22, 2024 10:04 pmNovember 22, 2024 8:21 pm

#recession … #StockMarket Bubble edition https://t.co/vl8Sc7lSwq — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) November 22, 2024 #recession … #GFC2 US edition https://t.co/5LZ6pkEmk0 — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) November 22, 2024 There is also a divergence between the SP500 and the HY Bond A-D Line. …