Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
The dollar index bounces as fears of a yen bailout ease and euro cools down. via Bloomberg pic.twitter.com/07NO9OTEFf — Daniel Lacalle (@dlacalle_IA) January 27, 2026 Europeans are piling into US stocks: European investors now own a record $10.4 trillion in US stocks. Ownership has surged +$4.9 trillion, or +91%, over the last 3 years. Denmark, …
Folks piling in over a month ago, someone always knows 👀 https://t.co/sM5fpaIW69 — Financhle (@Financhle) January 25, 2026 The Trump administration is taking a 10% stake in USA Rare Earth as part of a $1.6 billion debt-and-equity investment package aimed at helping the company develop a domestic mine and magnet facility, two sources familiar with …
Goldman Sachs says the AI boom now looks like tech stocks did in 1997, several years before the dot-com bubble burst. The bank flagged five warning signs from the late 1990s investors should watch: peak investment spending, falling corporate profits, rising corporate debt, Fed rate cuts, and widening credit spreads. The Warnings Today Investment spending: …
Japan's government says it may "intervene" before the Japanese Yen to US Dollar ratio reaches 160. Over the last 2 months, the Yen has gone from 145 to 157 as a $110B+ stimulus package is coming byu/RobertBartus inEconomyCharts I agree, but does it really solve anything for Japan? With all the helicopter money, a demographic …
Buckle up pic.twitter.com/Btz5dSdNdp — Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) June 23, 2025 It boils down to this: In terms of condos, sales that closed in May fell further and hit the lowest point in the data, along with Lockdown May 2020, seasonally adjusted; supply spiked to the highest level since the Housing Bust. In terms of single-family …
There are so many problems are in our economy today that is hard to even keep track, but I’m gonna list quite a few of them here in this video. And the worst part is nothing is being done about it. We all standby and watch it get worse as most of us are powerless …
A record $6.4 Trillion in money market funds and another $2.870 Trillion in Certificates of Deposit (CD) balances reported… Source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MMMFFAQ027S Certificate of deposit balances at US banks jumped by more than a trillion in 2023, with concentration reaching its highest level in about 10 years amid growing rates in the market. In aggregate, certificate of …
What could be the trigger? What Caused The Black Monday Crash (1987): “Economic growth had slowed while inflation was rearing its head. The strong dollar was putting pressure on U.S. exports. The stock market and economy were diverging for the first time in the bull market, and, as a result, valuations climbed to excessive levels, …
via Lance Roberts As the financial markets grind higher, retirement savers have consciously decided to add more to equity risk. Such was the result of a recent Bloomberg survey. “Retirement savers want more stocks in their portfolios as a hedge against inflation, potentially offering a long-term tailwind for equities as societies age, according to the latest Bloomberg Markets …
by SurveillanceBalloon I recently read this article written by a former Capital One product manager, and thought this subreddit might find it interesting: https://newrepublic.com/article/155212/worked-capital-one-five-years-justified-piling-debt-poor-customers It’s a pretty quick read, but has a few interesting anecdotes and explanations of things like Cap1’s proactive increase strategy with the goal of getting users to carry balances and pay …
Various economic concerns, including a significant contraction in credit impulse, slowing savings, and negative credit impulse when adjusted for deposits. This suggests a reduction in the flow of new credit into the economy, potentially impacting economic growth and liquidity. Additionally, both real and nominal M1 growth have contracted more than during the Global Financial Crisis …
via ktla: With COVID-era protections gone, the number of renters facing eviction in Los Angeles continues to climb by the thousands each month. From February through the end of August, approximately 50,000 eviction notices were filed by landlords in the city, according to figures released on Monday by the L.A. Controller’s Office. A spokesperson said …
via fee.org: In April, the International Energy Agency released a report in which it predicted EV sales to increase 35 percent after a record-breaking year. But economists I spoke with said such predictions were overly optimistic considering current macroeconomic conditions. This invites important questions. Is the glut of EVs simply a product of tightened money …
#recession … #GFC2 US edition The similarities to 2008 keep piling up! https://t.co/aJtSdrXFJs pic.twitter.com/EL1Y1i91Cm — Invariant Perspective (@InvariantPersp1) July 20, 2023 The Leading Economic Index Declined in June for the 15th Month in a Row, Longest Down Since 2007–08 The U.S. economy, while currently still growing, shows alarming signs of a looming recession. The leading …
Spread between S&P 500's forward earnings yield and 10y U.S. Treasury yield has fallen to lowest since mid-2007 pic.twitter.com/n3yxB1MylX — Liz Ann Sonders (@LizAnnSonders) June 8, 2023 Investors are piling into calls Intraday put/call ratio reached levels not seen since July 2021 pic.twitter.com/ngjgLv8Gds — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) June 8, 2023 https://twitter.com/NorthmanTrader/status/1666851230503645192 Apple cuts Vision Pro …