Independent thinking for complex markets and current events
Earnings beat but everything else is collapsing now. Why would people buy houses when AI is replacing their jobs. Here are the numbers for $SPY earnings +27.8% vs +13.9% est. Big tech is absolutely smashing analyst estimates pic.twitter.com/J2ytNQYuqr — Simplifying Stocks, CPA (@FinFluentialx) May 1, 2026 Tech layoffs are skyrocketing: Tech companies announced 81,747 layoffs …
From the barrage of bot posts every two minutes on a deal pending during market hours to “we hope” and they must “choose wisely” by JD 😂 What a circus. No one is talking or negotiating; this is pure propaganda. Guess what happens next? https://t.co/jlDTKTfFXA — The Great Martis (@great_martis) April 14, 2026 Iran says …
A Record 34% of February Home Sellers Cut Their List Price More than one-third (34.2%) of February home sellers lowered their list price. That’s up from 31.5% a year earlier and represents the highest February share in records dating back to 2012. Fed minutes show willingness to consider interest rate increases Some Federal Reserve officials …
by confoundedinterest17 What I like about the South. US pending home sales bounced modestly in February (up 1.8% MoM vs -0.6% MoM exp and -10.% MoM prior). Year-over-year home sales continue to decline (down 0.6% YoY). Source: Bloomberg Pending home sales in the South, the biggest home-selling region in the country, increased 2.7%. They rose …
We’re just going to pretend this part was normal and “because covid” pic.twitter.com/jn6qHOrh10 — Jeff Rey (@Est1986) March 5, 2026 The all-important spring housing market is off and running, and while the pace isn’t expected to be strong, there are signs of optimism, at least among sellers. Some who gave up last year are jumping …
🚨 WARNING: THE SYSTEM IS COLLAPSING IN REAL TIME!! Pending Home Sales just fell to the LOWEST LEVEL ever recorded. That means demand for homes is now weaker than it was in 2008. And if you think housing has no impact on other markets YOU ARE WRONG! Housing is one of the… pic.twitter.com/o8fMhr6m0d — Wimar.X …
*HUNDREDS OF TARIFF REFUND LAWSUITS PENDING IN US TRADE COURT — *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) February 20, 2026 Factcheck: Yes, recent reports confirm hundreds of tariff refund lawsuits are pending in the US Court of International Trade, especially after today’s Supreme Court ruling striking down Trump’s tariffs. Sources estimate potential refunds exceeding $175 billion. This is …
It's mind-blowing how Democrats dodge straight government facts for cherry-picked think-tank spins. 🇺🇸 In that CNN clip, Bakari Sellers touts CATO's 73% "no criminal records" – but that's strictly no convictions, ignoring pending charges entirely. Meanwhile, DHS's own data… — SilentPatriot47 (@ShadowPatriotUS) February 5, 2026 Cato is right that many ICE detainees have no criminal …
Pending Home Sales Plunge across the US. Midwest Sees Worst Sales on Record, Northeast 2nd Worst.For the US overall, worst sales for any December on record. The housing market took a bad turn, from already low levelshttps://t.co/sKbLut3JA8Here's the situation in the Midwest: pic.twitter.com/LGgCgrr3U9 — Wolf Richter (@wolfofwolfst) January 21, 2026 Pending Home Sales fall to …
BREAKING: US Pending Home Sales collapsed -9.3% month-over-month, missing expectations of -0.3% forecast. This marks the steepest decline since 2020. pic.twitter.com/nz69fmYVmQ — Hedgeye (@Hedgeye) January 21, 2026 The only thing that matters: More M2=higher stock prices. Keep printing those trillions. 🧻 https://t.co/8m362hlg4m — QE Infinity (@StealthQE4) January 21, 2026
New data from the National Association of Realtors show a significant decline in pending sale contracts on the U.S. Housing Market. This is the biggest drop since 2022, and a signal that the U.S. Housing Market correction is gaining steam.
A federal appeals court in a 2-1 decision Wednesday refused to lift U.S. District Judge James Boasberg’s order blocking the Trump administration from swiftly deporting migrants under the Alien Enemies Act. The Justice Department had urged the three-judge panel on the U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit to immediately block Boasberg’s order, …
Mortgage payments now make up 40% of the average household income – the highest levels in over 30 years By the classic rule of keeping payments under a third of income, about 70% of Americans today can’t afford a mortgage Housing affordability is at a breaking point pic.twitter.com/qwn079KFPb — Bravos Research (@bravosresearch) February 27, 2025 …
Fed Minutes (January 2025) Fed can maintain policy at restrictive level if economy strong Several participants suggest halting or slowing balance sheet reduction pending debt ceiling resolution Two participants believe risks to achieving inflation mandate outweigh risks to employment mandate Most participants judged risks to dual mandate objectives were roughly in balance Fed wants further …
by confoundedinterest17 We are now seeing the aftermath of Biden’s failed, top-down, Soviet-style economic policies (or follicies). And it is grim. Bidenomics is now fully exposed like The Fully Month. Except this is The Full Joe! The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2025 is -1.5 …
God Bless America! https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/General/President/ https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/General/US-Senate/ https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/2024/General/US-House/ Clean Sweep:– Popular Vote: Trump– Electoral College: Trump– House: GOP– Senate: GOP– Statehouses: GOP= MANDATE pic.twitter.com/WivK6uhLVL — @amuse (@amuse) November 6, 2024
by confoundedinterest17 More evidence of how destructive Biden/Harris economic policies have been. The NAR data show existing home sales down 2.5 percent in August to a 3.86 million unit seasonally adjusted annual rate after a small upward revision to 3.96 million units in July. US existing home sales fell in August to near 14-year lows. …
https://twitter.com/RaymieMark/status/1829162596492292106 What stage? https://t.co/nl1mq3RFPD — KKGB (@INArteCarloDoss) August 29, 2024 Pending Home Sales in the United States decreased 8.50 percent in July of 2024 over the same month in the previous year.https://t.co/NHmalX7Rux pic.twitter.com/WOKdO4kX1W — TRADING ECONOMICS (@tEconomics) August 29, 2024 The other sectors of the economy are pulling the rest of the weight, buoyed by …
The national Association of realtors has been keeping track of pending home sale data since 2001 and May 2024 was literally the worst month on record since then. Pending home sales have now fallen into an all-time low in this supposedly fantastic housing market. I think the data speaks for itself and shows how few …
The number of NEW single-family houses for sale has surged to 480,000 in April, the highest since the 2008 Financial Crisis. Excluding the 2008-2009 housing crisis this is by far the largest supply of new homes in US history. Here’s the FRED chart in case anyone questions the veracity of the chart: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/HNFSEPUSSA New home …
US housing has become the most expensive in history: The median sale price of houses sold in the US hit another all-time high of $387,600 in May, measured as a 4-week average. Prices increased 4% year-over-year and exceeded the June 2023 record. Since 2021, the median home… pic.twitter.com/K9ltjcfI85 — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) May 30, …
They know pic.twitter.com/y8yh6PPLRb — Life curious 🤔 (@ThelifeCurious) December 2, 2023 Pending home sales in the US have moved down to their lowest level since April 2020, a month where much of US economy was shut down. The housing market is frozen. pic.twitter.com/tg5dDVL24H — Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) November 30, 2023 Car payments now look like …
No one can afford mortgages except the rich. Even upper middle class people can’t afford them now. It’s ridiculous. Pending home sales drop to a record low, even worse than during the financial crisis https://t.co/IP4AWS5sdW — Eldredge Woodworks of Cape Cod (@Josh_Eldredge_) December 1, 2023 Pending home sales, a measure of signed contracts on existing …
by confoundedinterest17 Bidenomics is the gift that keeps on giving … if you are one of the top 1% of income. But if you are in the middle class, Bidenomics is like a horror movie. Pending home sales fell 7.1% in August 2023, with all four regions of the U.S. posting month-over-month and year-over-year declines …
Pending Home Sales Puked In August To The Lowest On Record https://t.co/shhpLC0DTR — zerohedge (@zerohedge) September 28, 2023
by confoundedinterest17 The US housing market is slippin’ into darkness under Bidenomics. With existing home sales at their lowest since 2010 and new home sales finally hitting the wall, pending home sales were expected to decline MoM in August after an uptick in July (amid soaring mortgage rates and plunging affordability) and they did…hugely. Pending home …
by confoundedinterest17 The Biden Administration is gushing about Q2’s Real GDP report of 2.4% QoQ. Wow, after trillions of dollars of stimulus spending and The Fed going wild with monetary stimulus, all we got was 2.4% growth?? But let’s turn the cameras on the housing market. Pending home sales crashed -14.8% YoY in June. Is …
by confoundedinterest17 Bidenomics? Yes, an economy where inflation crushes the middle class and low wage workers with 2 years of negative wage growth and now 24 or the last 25 months of negative growth rates of Pending Home Sales YoY. After existing home sales were flat and new home sales exploded higher, pending home sales …